Sacred Heart
Northeast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.5#255
Achievement Rating-6.8#271
Pace78.4#22
Improvement+1.2#128

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#208
First Shot-1.4#223
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#154
Layup/Dunks+1.1#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#330
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#213
Freethrows+1.6#67
Improvement-1.3#248

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#293
First Shot-4.5#307
After Offensive Rebounds+0.1#174
Layups/Dunks-3.8#316
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#166
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#233
Freethrows+0.3#162
Improvement+2.6#59
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.3% 16.6% 12.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 10.2% 21.6% 3.1%
.500 or above in Conference 94.4% 100.0% 90.9%
Conference Champion 11.7% 24.6% 3.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four12.4% 12.8% 12.2%
First Round8.6% 10.7% 7.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Away) - 38.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 234   @ Holy Cross L 81-93 36%     0 - 1 -13.7 +9.1 -23.1
  Nov 16, 2018 246   Army W 79-78 48%     1 - 1 -4.0 +0.2 -4.4
  Nov 17, 2018 154   @ Brown L 77-82 20%     1 - 2 -1.7 +6.2 -7.7
  Nov 18, 2018 236   Umass Lowell L 90-94 46%     1 - 3 -8.6 +5.6 -13.8
  Nov 24, 2018 336   @ Binghamton L 73-78 66%     1 - 4 -14.7 -4.0 -10.6
  Nov 27, 2018 188   Hartford W 98-89 46%     2 - 4 +4.5 +8.0 -4.6
  Nov 29, 2018 97   @ Boston College L 73-81 11%     2 - 5 -0.2 -3.1 +3.7
  Dec 02, 2018 295   @ Lafayette W 64-62 47%     3 - 5 -2.8 -13.7 +10.9
  Dec 10, 2018 203   @ Dartmouth L 73-82 29%     3 - 6 -8.7 -5.0 -3.3
  Dec 19, 2018 50   @ Seton Hall L 76-90 6%     3 - 7 -2.0 +0.8 -1.2
  Dec 22, 2018 42   @ St. John's L 82-104 5%     3 - 8 -8.7 +5.9 -11.9
  Dec 29, 2018 236   Umass Lowell L 91-100 57%     3 - 9 -16.3 -5.9 -8.6
  Jan 03, 2019 270   LIU Brooklyn W 79-75 63%     4 - 9 1 - 0 -5.0 -7.0 +1.5
  Jan 05, 2019 305   Central Connecticut St. W 73-61 71%     5 - 9 2 - 0 +0.9 -8.9 +9.4
  Jan 10, 2019 275   @ Wagner L 73-76 43%     5 - 10 2 - 1 -6.8 +3.7 -10.6
  Jan 12, 2019 326   Bryant W 98-70 79%     6 - 10 3 - 1 +14.2 +6.6 +5.0
  Jan 19, 2019 262   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 85-92 41%     6 - 11 3 - 2 -10.1 +2.9 -12.2
  Jan 21, 2019 275   Wagner W 62-38 64%     7 - 11 4 - 2 +14.7 -9.3 +25.1
  Jan 24, 2019 272   @ Robert Morris L 64-72 42%     7 - 12 4 - 3 -11.5 -9.1 -2.2
  Jan 26, 2019 240   @ St. Francis (PA) L 78-79 36%     7 - 13 4 - 4 -2.9 +1.1 -4.0
  Jan 31, 2019 327   @ Mount St. Mary's W 87-79 62%     8 - 13 5 - 4 -0.5 +6.7 -7.6
  Feb 02, 2019 262   St. Francis Brooklyn W 71-62 62%     9 - 13 6 - 4 +0.4 -7.8 +7.7
  Feb 07, 2019 250   Fairleigh Dickinson W 69-63 60%     10 - 13 7 - 4 -2.1 -10.2 +8.1
  Feb 09, 2019 327   Mount St. Mary's L 73-76 79%     10 - 14 7 - 5 -17.0 -8.1 -8.8
  Feb 14, 2019 326   @ Bryant W 105-104 61%     11 - 14 8 - 5 -7.3 +24.0 -31.4
  Feb 16, 2019 270   @ LIU Brooklyn L 84-92 42%     11 - 15 8 - 6 -11.5 -2.6 -7.7
  Feb 21, 2019 250   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 79-82 38%    
  Feb 23, 2019 305   @ Central Connecticut St. W 80-79 50%    
  Feb 28, 2019 272   Robert Morris W 75-71 64%    
  Mar 02, 2019 240   St. Francis (PA) W 83-81 58%    
Projected Record 13.1 - 16.9 10.1 - 7.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 5.2 6.5 11.7 1st
2nd 3.3 17.8 1.6 22.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 14.5 4.3 19.0 3rd
4th 0.0 3.1 15.1 0.1 18.3 4th
5th 0.3 10.8 3.4 14.5 5th
6th 2.9 8.0 0.1 11.0 6th
7th 2.4 0.4 2.7 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 5.6 22.5 36.4 27.4 8.1 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 80.2% 6.5    2.1 3.8 0.6
11-7 18.9% 5.2    0.0 0.7 2.1 1.9 0.5 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 11.7% 11.7 2.2 4.5 2.7 1.9 0.5 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 8.1% 22.1% 22.1% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.5 6.3
11-7 27.4% 17.1% 17.1% 16.0 0.0 4.7 22.7
10-8 36.4% 13.6% 13.6% 16.0 0.0 4.9 31.4
9-9 22.5% 10.8% 10.8% 16.0 2.4 20.1
8-10 5.6% 8.1% 8.1% 16.0 0.5 5.2
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 14.3% 14.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3 14.0 85.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 1.8% 100.0% 15.9 0.1 13.3 86.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.3%
Lose Out 3.2%