Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#104
Achievement Rating+3.1#137
Pace74.5#86
Improvement-2.1#315

Offense
Total Offense+4.9#52
First Shot+5.6#41
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#211
Layup/Dunks+0.4#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.4#55
Freethrows+1.9#87
Improvement-3.9#353

Defense
Total Defense+0.1#162
First Shot-3.2#274
After Offensive Rebounds+3.3#18
Layups/Dunks-1.0#215
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#27
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.6#341
Freethrows+1.4#110
Improvement+1.8#51
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 12.7% 15.0% 9.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 2.0% 3.0% 0.6%
Average Seed 12.2 11.9 12.8
.500 or above 81.9% 88.6% 72.4%
.500 or above in Conference 83.7% 86.4% 79.8%
Conference Champion 13.9% 16.0% 10.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.3% 0.6%
First Four1.2% 1.8% 0.5%
First Round12.1% 14.0% 9.3%
Second Round2.9% 3.5% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 0.9% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Loyola Chicago (Home) - 58.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 105   Old Dominion W 79-64 62%     1 - 0 +16.9 +16.0 +1.7
  Nov 12, 2018 304   Monmouth W 78-63 93%     2 - 0 +3.8 +3.4 +0.6
  Nov 15, 2018 156   Wake Forest W 89-69 67%     3 - 0 +20.4 +17.5 +3.4
  Nov 16, 2018 41   Central Florida L 57-77 29%     3 - 1 -9.4 -1.1 -10.9
  Nov 18, 2018 38   West Virginia L 90-97 27%     3 - 2 +4.3 +18.5 -13.8
  Nov 24, 2018 199   @ William & Mary L 85-87 65%     3 - 3 -1.2 +2.9 -4.0
  Nov 28, 2018 169   Illinois-Chicago W 89-75 79%     4 - 3 +10.5 +4.4 +4.8
  Dec 01, 2018 68   Temple L 70-77 53%     4 - 4 -2.9 -2.5 -0.2
  Dec 05, 2018 183   @ Princeton W 92-82 63%     5 - 4 +11.6 +17.1 -5.9
  Dec 08, 2018 21   @ Villanova L 58-70 14%     5 - 5 +4.3 -10.2 +14.9
  Dec 22, 2018 95   Loyola Chicago W 72-70 59%    
  Dec 29, 2018 259   Wagner W 81-67 90%    
  Jan 03, 2019 171   George Mason W 82-73 79%    
  Jan 06, 2019 279   George Washington W 83-68 91%    
  Jan 09, 2019 151   @ St. Bonaventure W 74-73 55%    
  Jan 12, 2019 160   @ Duquesne W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 15, 2019 79   Davidson W 77-75 56%    
  Jan 18, 2019 80   @ Saint Louis L 70-74 34%    
  Jan 23, 2019 172   Richmond W 82-73 78%    
  Jan 26, 2019 101   @ Penn L 75-78 39%    
  Jan 29, 2019 69   @ Dayton L 73-78 32%    
  Feb 02, 2019 139   Massachusetts W 84-78 71%    
  Feb 05, 2019 258   @ La Salle W 87-79 75%    
  Feb 08, 2019 80   Saint Louis W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 12, 2019 151   St. Bonaventure W 77-70 74%    
  Feb 15, 2019 79   @ Davidson L 74-78 35%    
  Feb 23, 2019 139   @ Massachusetts W 81-80 50%    
  Feb 27, 2019 239   @ Fordham W 75-68 73%    
  Mar 02, 2019 258   La Salle W 90-76 89%    
  Mar 05, 2019 113   Rhode Island W 75-71 62%    
  Mar 08, 2019 88   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 70-74 37%    
Projected Record 17.9 - 13.1 11.0 - 7.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 2.0 4.3 4.1 2.2 0.7 0.1 13.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.8 3.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 13.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 2.4 6.2 3.9 0.7 0.0 13.3 3rd
4th 0.0 1.4 5.8 4.4 0.7 0.0 12.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 4.6 5.1 0.9 0.0 11.3 5th
6th 0.2 2.7 5.1 1.4 0.0 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 4.2 2.1 0.1 7.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 2.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 6.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.4 0.6 0.0 4.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.8 0.8 0.0 3.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 2.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.2 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 14th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.4 4.6 7.6 10.7 13.7 15.1 14.6 12.3 8.9 5.2 2.3 0.7 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.9% 0.7    0.7 0.0
16-2 96.0% 2.2    1.9 0.3 0.0
15-3 80.4% 4.1    2.7 1.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 48.9% 4.3    1.7 1.9 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.1% 2.0    0.3 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 13.9% 13.9 7.6 4.3 1.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 72.3% 43.1% 29.2% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 51.4%
17-1 0.7% 60.4% 32.3% 28.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 41.5%
16-2 2.3% 48.7% 29.7% 18.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.2 26.9%
15-3 5.2% 35.2% 25.9% 9.3% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 3.3 12.5%
14-4 8.9% 25.5% 21.0% 4.5% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.6 5.7%
13-5 12.3% 18.4% 17.1% 1.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 10.1 1.6%
12-6 14.6% 13.9% 13.6% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 0.4 0.0 12.6 0.3%
11-7 15.1% 8.8% 8.7% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 13.8 0.1%
10-8 13.7% 5.3% 5.3% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 13.0 0.0%
9-9 10.7% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 10.4 0.0%
8-10 7.6% 2.3% 2.3% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.4
7-11 4.6% 1.8% 1.8% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.5
6-12 2.4% 0.7% 0.7% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.4
5-13 1.1% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1
4-14 0.5% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 0.5
3-15 0.1% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 12.7% 11.0% 1.8% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.3 4.1 3.2 1.6 0.4 0.1 87.3 2.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 6.8 11.1 3.7 3.7 7.4 14.8 14.8 25.9 3.7 3.7 11.1