Saint Joseph's
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.4#182
Achievement Rating-1.5#185
Pace70.2#143
Improvement-5.7#341

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#161
First Shot+2.1#120
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#282
Layup/Dunks-1.7#235
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#239
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.2#31
Freethrows-0.2#191
Improvement-5.1#334

Defense
Total Defense-1.9#225
First Shot-2.7#255
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#95
Layups/Dunks-0.7#204
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#66
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#342
Freethrows+2.0#55
Improvement-0.6#213
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 2.3% 4.9% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 0.9% 2.2% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 0.5% 11.0%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.5% 0.7% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 40.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2018 111   Old Dominion W 79-64 39%     1 - 0 +16.4 +13.4 +3.9
  Nov 12, 2018 271   Monmouth W 78-63 77%     2 - 0 +6.0 +5.4 +0.8
  Nov 15, 2018 176   Wake Forest W 89-69 47%     3 - 0 +19.3 +17.6 +2.2
  Nov 16, 2018 52   Central Florida L 57-77 16%     3 - 1 -10.8 -3.5 -9.9
  Nov 18, 2018 105   West Virginia L 90-97 28%     3 - 2 -2.4 +14.6 -16.6
  Nov 24, 2018 204   @ William & Mary L 85-87 44%     3 - 3 -1.8 +5.5 -7.2
  Nov 28, 2018 196   Illinois-Chicago W 89-75 63%     4 - 3 +9.1 +6.1 +1.6
  Dec 01, 2018 70   Temple L 70-77 29%     4 - 4 -2.8 -2.6 +0.0
  Dec 05, 2018 164   @ Princeton W 92-82 35%     5 - 4 +12.6 +20.4 -8.1
  Dec 08, 2018 19   @ Villanova L 58-70 5%     5 - 5 +5.8 -10.7 +16.7
  Dec 22, 2018 116   Loyola Chicago W 45-42 40%     6 - 5 +4.1 -22.3 +26.7
  Dec 29, 2018 275   Wagner W 59-57 78%     7 - 5 -7.3 -5.2 -1.8
  Jan 03, 2019 139   George Mason L 60-85 48%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -25.9 -11.4 -15.0
  Jan 06, 2019 256   George Washington L 56-70 75%     7 - 7 0 - 2 -22.3 -20.1 -1.8
  Jan 09, 2019 133   @ St. Bonaventure L 47-73 27%     7 - 8 0 - 3 -21.0 -14.1 -10.5
  Jan 12, 2019 152   @ Duquesne L 84-85 32%     7 - 9 0 - 4 +2.4 +7.7 -5.2
  Jan 15, 2019 79   Davidson W 61-60 32%     8 - 9 1 - 4 +4.5 -3.2 +7.8
  Jan 18, 2019 121   @ Saint Louis L 57-68 23%     8 - 10 1 - 5 -4.8 -8.2 +3.2
  Jan 23, 2019 179   Richmond W 74-70 60%     9 - 10 2 - 5 +0.1 +0.1 +0.2
  Jan 26, 2019 132   Penn L 70-78 45%     9 - 11 -8.2 -3.7 -4.4
  Jan 29, 2019 72   @ Dayton L 64-75 15%     9 - 12 2 - 6 -1.4 -2.6 +0.6
  Feb 02, 2019 190   Massachusetts W 64-62 62%     10 - 12 3 - 6 -2.6 -8.9 +6.4
  Feb 05, 2019 198   @ La Salle L 69-83 43%     10 - 13 3 - 7 -13.5 +4.8 -19.7
  Feb 08, 2019 121   Saint Louis W 91-61 42%     11 - 13 4 - 7 +30.7 +32.7 +1.5
  Feb 12, 2019 133   St. Bonaventure L 51-76 47%     11 - 14 4 - 8 -25.5 -15.6 -11.7
  Feb 15, 2019 79   @ Davidson L 72-80 17%     11 - 15 4 - 9 +1.0 +5.6 -4.7
  Feb 23, 2019 190   @ Massachusetts L 72-74 41%    
  Feb 27, 2019 226   @ Fordham L 68-69 48%    
  Mar 02, 2019 198   La Salle W 76-72 64%    
  Mar 05, 2019 140   Rhode Island L 71-72 50%    
  Mar 08, 2019 47   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 63-76 10%    
Projected Record 13.1 - 17.9 6.1 - 11.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 0.5 1.3 7th
8th 0.0 2.7 5.1 0.3 8.2 8th
9th 1.7 11.2 3.0 0.0 15.9 9th
10th 1.6 16.8 10.9 0.4 29.7 10th
11th 0.2 10.3 15.0 1.6 0.0 27.1 11th
12th 1.9 8.8 1.5 0.0 12.2 12th
13th 3.0 1.7 0.0 4.7 13th
14th 0.9 0.1 0.9 14th
Total 6.0 22.5 35.0 26.4 9.3 0.9 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.9% 2.3% 2.3% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
8-10 9.3% 1.3% 1.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 9.2
7-11 26.4% 0.8% 0.8% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 26.2
6-12 35.0% 0.4% 0.4% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 34.9
5-13 22.5% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 22.4
4-14 6.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.0
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 13.3 4.8 66.7 23.8 4.8
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 3.0%