Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.5#121
Achievement Rating+4.6#110
Pace66.1#259
Improvement-3.1#297

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#233
First Shot-4.9#302
After Offensive Rebound+3.0#16
Layup/Dunks+0.2#166
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#177
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#324
Freethrows+0.2#162
Improvement+0.9#143

Defense
Total Defense+5.4#42
First Shot+5.9#32
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#236
Layups/Dunks-0.7#205
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#55
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#16
Freethrows+0.0#181
Improvement-4.0#332
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.9% 8.5% 4.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.0 12.8 13.1
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 96.0% 100.0% 94.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.4% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round5.9% 8.5% 4.9%
Second Round0.8% 1.3% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 27.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 315   Southeast Missouri St. W 75-65 92%     1 - 0 -2.3 -4.3 +1.9
  Nov 10, 2018 233   Troy W 62-58 84%     2 - 0 -3.2 -11.6 +8.8
  Nov 13, 2018 319   North Alabama W 69-58 93%     3 - 0 -1.8 -8.1 +6.3
  Nov 17, 2018 50   @ Seton Hall W 66-64 21%     4 - 0 +14.0 -0.9 +14.9
  Nov 21, 2018 91   Pittsburgh L 73-75 42%     4 - 1 +3.5 +4.3 -0.8
  Nov 24, 2018 302   Central Arkansas W 73-61 90%     5 - 1 +1.2 -7.7 +8.6
  Dec 01, 2018 46   Butler W 64-52 38%     6 - 1 +18.7 -6.0 +24.8
  Dec 05, 2018 145   @ Southern Illinois L 56-61 46%     6 - 2 -0.6 -16.2 +15.7
  Dec 09, 2018 75   Oregon St. W 65-61 49%     7 - 2 +7.8 -4.0 +12.0
  Dec 16, 2018 20   @ Houston L 64-68 10%     7 - 3 +13.7 +4.8 +8.7
  Dec 19, 2018 309   NC Central W 74-65 91%     8 - 3 -2.5 -4.2 +1.6
  Dec 22, 2018 18   Florida St. L 59-81 13%     8 - 4 -6.6 -7.6 +1.8
  Dec 30, 2018 191   Appalachian St. W 83-55 78%     9 - 4 +23.4 +8.8 +15.7
  Jan 06, 2019 140   Rhode Island W 60-53 67%     10 - 4 1 - 0 +6.0 -8.7 +15.0
  Jan 09, 2019 190   Massachusetts W 65-62 78%     11 - 4 2 - 0 -1.6 -4.6 +3.3
  Jan 12, 2019 198   @ La Salle W 71-64 61%     12 - 4 3 - 0 +7.5 -0.3 +7.8
  Jan 15, 2019 226   @ Fordham W 63-60 67%     13 - 4 4 - 0 +1.8 -0.2 +2.5
  Jan 18, 2019 182   Saint Joseph's W 68-57 77%     14 - 4 5 - 0 +6.9 -7.0 +14.1
  Jan 23, 2019 152   @ Duquesne L 73-77 50%     14 - 5 5 - 1 -0.6 -5.4 +5.2
  Jan 26, 2019 79   Davidson L 53-54 50%     14 - 6 5 - 2 +2.5 -5.4 +7.6
  Jan 30, 2019 179   Richmond L 81-84 76%     14 - 7 5 - 3 -6.9 +2.4 -9.3
  Feb 02, 2019 140   @ Rhode Island L 54-65 46%     14 - 8 5 - 4 -6.5 -5.9 -2.3
  Feb 05, 2019 72   Dayton W 73-60 48%     15 - 8 6 - 4 +17.1 +9.1 +9.6
  Feb 08, 2019 182   @ Saint Joseph's L 61-91 58%     15 - 9 6 - 5 -28.6 -5.3 -26.8
  Feb 13, 2019 256   @ George Washington W 73-58 73%     16 - 9 7 - 5 +12.2 +5.6 +7.5
  Feb 16, 2019 198   La Salle W 62-49 79%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +8.0 -9.8 +18.2
  Feb 23, 2019 72   @ Dayton L 63-69 27%    
  Feb 26, 2019 47   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 58-67 20%    
  Mar 02, 2019 139   George Mason W 68-64 67%    
  Mar 06, 2019 152   Duquesne W 70-64 71%    
  Mar 09, 2019 133   @ St. Bonaventure L 60-62 43%    
Projected Record 19.3 - 11.7 10.3 - 7.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 0.6 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 3.0 6.9 0.9 10.8 3rd
4th 1.0 13.1 3.0 17.2 4th
5th 0.1 11.5 11.3 0.3 23.3 5th
6th 0.0 5.1 19.1 1.6 0.0 25.9 6th
7th 1.6 11.5 3.6 16.6 7th
8th 1.9 2.3 0.1 4.2 8th
9th 0.6 0.1 0.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 4.0 19.2 35.3 29.2 10.8 1.5 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 6.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 1.5% 15.6% 15.4% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.2%
12-6 10.8% 12.2% 12.2% 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.6 0.1 9.5
11-7 29.2% 7.1% 7.1% 13.0 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.5 0.0 27.1
10-8 35.3% 4.6% 4.6% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.5 0.0 33.7
9-9 19.2% 3.0% 3.0% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 18.6
8-10 4.0% 2.2% 2.2% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 3.9
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.9% 5.9% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.0 1.4 0.1 94.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 11.7 5.0 36.4 43.1 15.1 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5% 0.4% 12.5 0.2 0.2
Lose Out 1.7%