Sam Houston St.
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.1#288
Achievement Rating-14.0#323
Pace66.1#271
Improvement-2.6#322

Offense
Total Offense-4.7#302
First Shot-1.3#220
After Offensive Rebound-3.4#344
Layup/Dunks-3.2#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#135
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.9#92
Freethrows-1.8#269
Improvement-3.0#344

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#247
First Shot-3.4#278
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#110
Layups/Dunks+5.9#17
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#144
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#280
Freethrows-6.7#352
Improvement+0.5#138
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.4% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 15.9
.500 or above 12.0% 14.5% 4.6%
.500 or above in Conference 49.0% 52.2% 39.7%
Conference Champion 3.1% 3.5% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.4% 3.6% 6.7%
First Four2.0% 2.1% 1.6%
First Round2.1% 2.5% 1.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Home) - 74.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2018 121   @ Louisiana Tech L 69-76 10%     0 - 1 -0.3 -3.5 +3.2
  Nov 14, 2018 52   @ Clemson L 59-74 4%     0 - 2 -2.5 -1.3 -2.9
  Nov 16, 2018 108   @ Georgia L 64-75 9%     0 - 3 -3.4 +0.8 -4.9
  Nov 19, 2018 335   Jackson St. W 75-60 70%     1 - 3 +2.6 -3.6 +5.4
  Nov 20, 2018 133   @ East Tennessee St. L 63-77 12%     1 - 4 -8.6 +3.7 -14.1
  Nov 28, 2018 172   Central Michigan L 65-81 37%     1 - 5 -19.7 -15.2 -3.4
  Dec 01, 2018 245   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 52-79 31%     1 - 6 -29.0 -17.3 -13.5
  Dec 08, 2018 211   @ Colorado St. L 65-71 25%     1 - 7 -6.0 -9.9 +3.9
  Dec 18, 2018 326   Alabama St. W 72-65 74%    
  Dec 22, 2018 130   @ Utah Valley L 62-75 11%    
  Jan 05, 2019 164   Abilene Christian L 64-68 37%    
  Jan 09, 2019 279   @ Central Arkansas L 72-76 37%    
  Jan 12, 2019 339   Incarnate Word W 73-64 80%    
  Jan 16, 2019 302   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 66-62 63%    
  Jan 19, 2019 283   @ Houston Baptist L 76-79 38%    
  Jan 23, 2019 346   @ Northwestern St. W 70-64 70%    
  Jan 26, 2019 252   Lamar W 70-69 55%    
  Jan 30, 2019 298   @ SE Louisiana L 61-64 41%    
  Feb 02, 2019 159   Stephen F. Austin L 67-71 35%    
  Feb 06, 2019 308   McNeese St. W 72-68 65%    
  Feb 09, 2019 164   @ Abilene Christian L 61-71 19%    
  Feb 13, 2019 302   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi L 63-65 42%    
  Feb 16, 2019 252   @ Lamar L 67-72 34%    
  Feb 20, 2019 262   Nicholls St. W 71-69 55%    
  Feb 23, 2019 283   Houston Baptist W 79-76 59%    
  Feb 27, 2019 259   @ New Orleans L 62-67 35%    
  Mar 06, 2019 279   Central Arkansas W 75-73 58%    
  Mar 09, 2019 159   @ Stephen F. Austin L 64-74 18%    
Projected Record 10.3 - 17.7 8.4 - 9.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 2.2 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.4 4.1 1.5 0.2 8.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 4.4 2.4 0.2 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 4.8 3.7 0.5 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.6 5.2 1.0 0.0 10.3 7th
8th 0.2 2.9 5.5 1.8 0.1 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.3 2.0 5.2 3.0 0.3 10.7 9th
10th 0.3 2.1 4.5 3.1 0.6 10.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 1.6 3.7 2.4 0.6 0.0 8.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.2 1.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 5.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.1 13th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.2 4.3 7.8 9.6 12.4 13.4 13.8 11.9 9.6 6.4 3.8 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 94.4% 0.3    0.3 0.1
15-3 78.4% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 47.4% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 20.6% 0.8    0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.1% 3.1 1.5 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.4% 22.2% 22.2% 15.4 0.1 0.0 0.3
15-3 0.9% 19.3% 19.3% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7
14-4 2.1% 22.7% 22.7% 15.7 0.2 0.3 1.6
13-5 3.8% 14.9% 14.9% 15.9 0.1 0.5 3.3
12-6 6.4% 9.3% 9.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6 5.8
11-7 9.6% 5.1% 5.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.1
10-8 11.9% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.3 11.6
9-9 13.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.2 13.6
8-10 13.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.1 13.3
7-11 12.4% 12.4
6-12 9.6% 9.6
5-13 7.8% 7.8
4-14 4.3% 4.3
3-15 2.2% 2.2
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.4 2.7 96.9 0.0%