San Diego
West Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.7#101
Achievement Rating+4.8#108
Pace66.8#241
Improvement-3.0#295

Offense
Total Offense+1.8#125
First Shot+4.7#49
After Offensive Rebound-2.9#343
Layup/Dunks-1.6#229
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#12
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#166
Freethrows+1.2#101
Improvement-3.3#308

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#96
First Shot+1.1#138
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#25
Layups/Dunks+5.9#12
2 Pt Jumpshots-7.4#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#51
Freethrows-0.5#213
Improvement+0.3#163
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.7 12.7 12.4
.500 or above 99.5% 100.0% 90.4%
.500 or above in Conference 28.3% 29.5% 4.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Portland (Home) - 95.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 171   Weber St. W 83-66 78%     1 - 0 +13.8 +7.5 +6.1
  Nov 09, 2018 204   @ UC Davis W 76-57 68%     2 - 0 +19.0 +9.3 +10.7
  Nov 12, 2018 37   @ Washington L 63-66 19%     2 - 1 +11.0 +4.6 +6.2
  Nov 20, 2018 69   Colorado W 70-64 52%     3 - 1 +10.3 +2.0 +8.4
  Nov 24, 2018 331   Jackson St. W 76-58 95%     4 - 1 +3.7 -0.6 +3.9
  Nov 28, 2018 39   @ Mississippi L 86-93 20%     4 - 2 +6.7 +14.0 -6.9
  Dec 01, 2018 216   Long Beach St. W 74-70 84%     5 - 2 -2.1 -1.2 -0.9
  Dec 05, 2018 113   @ San Diego St. W 73-61 43%     6 - 2 +18.6 +8.4 +11.1
  Dec 09, 2018 272   Cal St. Northridge W 82-68 90%     7 - 2 +4.9 -0.8 +5.4
  Dec 12, 2018 55   @ Oregon L 55-65 27%     7 - 3 +1.2 -3.3 +3.3
  Dec 15, 2018 178   Northern Colorado W 85-65 78%     8 - 3 +16.5 +7.2 +8.4
  Dec 22, 2018 165   Washington St. W 82-75 68%     9 - 3 +6.8 +6.9 +0.0
  Dec 23, 2018 129   Drake L 103-110 57%     9 - 4 -4.1 +10.0 -12.6
  Dec 29, 2018 104   Grand Canyon W 61-58 61%     10 - 4 +4.9 -3.4 +8.7
  Jan 03, 2019 195   @ Santa Clara L 56-68 65%     10 - 5 0 - 1 -11.3 -15.0 +3.7
  Jan 05, 2019 186   Pacific W 73-64 80%     11 - 5 1 - 1 +4.9 +1.5 +3.7
  Jan 12, 2019 168   Pepperdine L 71-76 77%     11 - 6 1 - 2 -8.1 -3.9 -4.2
  Jan 17, 2019 318   @ Portland W 76-55 86%     12 - 6 2 - 2 +14.0 -3.1 +15.7
  Jan 19, 2019 49   @ St. Mary's L 59-76 24%     12 - 7 2 - 3 -5.0 -8.4 +2.7
  Jan 24, 2019 140   Loyola Marymount W 71-58 70%     13 - 7 3 - 3 +12.4 +7.0 +6.7
  Jan 26, 2019 62   San Francisco W 67-63 49%     14 - 7 4 - 3 +8.9 -2.0 +11.0
  Feb 02, 2019 2   @ Gonzaga L 69-85 3%     14 - 8 4 - 4 +10.7 +6.3 +4.3
  Feb 07, 2019 140   @ Loyola Marymount W 65-63 50%     15 - 8 5 - 4 +6.8 +2.3 +4.7
  Feb 09, 2019 168   @ Pepperdine L 67-70 59%     15 - 9 5 - 5 -0.7 -3.5 +2.8
  Feb 14, 2019 75   BYU L 82-88 54%     15 - 10 5 - 6 -2.3 +2.0 -3.8
  Feb 16, 2019 2   Gonzaga L 67-79 7%     15 - 11 5 - 7 +9.3 +5.3 +3.3
  Feb 21, 2019 318   Portland W 76-59 95%    
  Feb 23, 2019 49   St. Mary's L 68-70 44%    
  Feb 28, 2019 62   @ San Francisco L 65-71 29%    
  Mar 02, 2019 75   @ BYU L 73-77 34%    
Projected Record 17.0 - 13.0 7.0 - 9.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.7 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 1.0 2.3 3.3 4th
5th 0.9 21.0 20.7 1.8 44.5 5th
6th 0.0 7.6 18.1 1.6 27.2 6th
7th 0.2 13.1 2.8 16.1 7th
8th 1.1 6.7 0.1 7.9 8th
9th 0.2 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 10th
Total 1.5 28.3 42.0 23.4 4.9 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 4.9% 1.2% 0.8% 0.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.9 0.4%
8-8 23.4% 0.8% 0.8% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 23.2
7-9 42.0% 0.6% 0.6% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 41.7
6-10 28.3% 0.4% 0.4% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 28.2
5-11 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 14.0 0.0 1.5
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.0 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.3% 1.1% 12.0 1.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.2% 0.8% 12.8 0.3 0.3 0.2
Lose Out 0.5%