San Francisco
West Coast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.8#47
Achievement Rating+14.0#35
Pace68.5#217
Improvement-1.8#299

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#104
First Shot+1.7#130
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#105
Layup/Dunks+7.1#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#286
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#173
Freethrows-3.2#315
Improvement-0.7#242

Defense
Total Defense+7.2#24
First Shot+6.1#30
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#101
Layups/Dunks+2.3#98
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#317
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.6#25
Freethrows+0.9#129
Improvement-1.0#264
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.6% 1.6% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 46.4% 47.4% 25.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 39.7% 40.7% 19.8%
Average Seed 9.3 9.2 10.1
.500 or above 99.9% 99.9% 99.2%
.500 or above in Conference 94.1% 94.4% 88.8%
Conference Champion 11.1% 11.3% 6.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.1% 0.2%
First Four9.1% 9.2% 7.0%
First Round41.7% 42.7% 21.7%
Second Round20.1% 20.7% 9.2%
Sweet Sixteen6.4% 6.6% 2.4%
Elite Eight2.4% 2.5% 0.8%
Final Four0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Home) - 95.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 224   @ UC Davis W 76-42 84%     1 - 0 +33.4 +9.1 +24.9
  Nov 10, 2018 329   Maine W 93-50 98%     2 - 0 +28.6 +23.9 +8.3
  Nov 18, 2018 236   LIU Brooklyn W 84-52 91%     3 - 0 +27.4 +4.8 +21.5
  Nov 21, 2018 93   Harvard W 61-57 75%     4 - 0 +6.6 -12.3 +18.7
  Nov 24, 2018 238   Dartmouth W 84-65 94%     5 - 0 +11.2 +5.1 +6.1
  Nov 30, 2018 159   Stephen F. Austin W 76-58 82%     6 - 0 +18.1 +5.5 +12.9
  Dec 01, 2018 23   Buffalo L 81-85 38%     6 - 1 +8.9 +5.7 +3.6
  Dec 05, 2018 178   @ California W 79-60 78%     7 - 1 +20.7 +12.1 +10.4
  Dec 13, 2018 248   Eastern Washington W 77-59 95%    
  Dec 16, 2018 167   Cal St. Fullerton W 75-62 89%    
  Dec 19, 2018 317   Northern Arizona W 84-61 98%    
  Dec 22, 2018 96   Stanford W 72-65 75%    
  Dec 29, 2018 147   @ UC Santa Barbara W 68-62 71%    
  Jan 03, 2019 51   St. Mary's W 69-66 62%    
  Jan 05, 2019 225   @ Pepperdine W 79-69 83%    
  Jan 12, 2019 2   Gonzaga L 74-80 28%    
  Jan 17, 2019 161   @ Pacific W 72-65 73%    
  Jan 19, 2019 66   BYU W 76-71 69%    
  Jan 24, 2019 271   Portland W 81-62 96%    
  Jan 26, 2019 79   @ San Diego W 67-66 51%    
  Feb 02, 2019 51   @ St. Mary's L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 07, 2019 2   @ Gonzaga L 71-83 13%    
  Feb 09, 2019 273   Santa Clara W 77-58 96%    
  Feb 14, 2019 225   Pepperdine W 82-66 93%    
  Feb 16, 2019 271   @ Portland W 78-65 88%    
  Feb 21, 2019 66   @ BYU L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 23, 2019 273   @ Santa Clara W 74-61 88%    
  Feb 28, 2019 79   San Diego W 70-64 72%    
  Mar 02, 2019 134   Loyola Marymount W 69-59 82%    
Projected Record 22.1 - 6.9 10.8 - 5.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected West Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.4 4.3 2.0 0.3 11.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 8.3 13.5 8.7 2.0 34.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.1 8.5 9.6 3.1 0.2 23.5 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 6.1 6.0 1.3 0.0 15.1 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 3.8 3.5 0.6 0.0 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.8 1.7 0.3 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.5 3.6 7.3 12.1 16.9 19.3 17.6 12.3 6.4 2.0 0.3 Total



West Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.3    0.3
15-1 100.0% 2.0    1.6 0.3
14-2 68.1% 4.3    2.4 1.9 0.0
13-3 27.4% 3.4    1.1 2.0 0.4 0.0
12-4 6.2% 1.1    0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-5 0.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 11.1% 11.1 5.5 4.7 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.3% 99.3% 39.7% 59.6% 3.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9%
15-1 2.0% 97.0% 33.3% 63.7% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 95.5%
14-2 6.4% 92.3% 24.3% 68.0% 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.5 89.8%
13-3 12.3% 82.4% 18.9% 63.6% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.6 2.2 2.0 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.2 78.4%
12-4 17.6% 67.1% 14.0% 53.0% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.7 3.1 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 5.8 61.7%
11-5 19.3% 47.5% 9.9% 37.6% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.5 3.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.1 41.8%
10-6 16.9% 28.1% 6.5% 21.6% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.7 1.3 0.3 0.0 12.2 23.1%
9-7 12.1% 15.0% 4.8% 10.1% 11.4 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 10.3 10.6%
8-8 7.3% 6.8% 3.4% 3.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.8 3.5%
7-9 3.6% 2.5% 1.9% 0.6% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.5 0.6%
6-10 1.5% 1.1% 1.1% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.5
5-11 0.6% 0.5% 0.5% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.6
4-12 0.2% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2
3-13 0.0% 0.0
2-14 0.0% 0.0
1-15 0.0% 0.0
0-16
Total 100% 46.4% 11.0% 35.3% 9.3 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.5 2.4 3.8 5.5 7.2 9.2 9.5 4.8 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.0 53.6 39.7%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 2.0 31.9 45.1 16.5 6.6
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 100.0% 2.9 5.4 31.1 40.5 13.5 6.8 1.4 1.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.0% 97.4% 3.3 2.6 18.4 36.8 23.7 15.8