San Jose St.
Mountain West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-13.4#339
Achievement Rating-17.5#341
Pace69.8#157
Improvement-6.2#345

Offense
Total Offense-8.8#341
First Shot-9.5#345
After Offensive Rebound+0.7#121
Layup/Dunks-4.2#314
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#262
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#282
Freethrows-0.7#229
Improvement-3.7#319

Defense
Total Defense-4.6#294
First Shot-5.8#328
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#65
Layups/Dunks-2.5#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#352
Freethrows+4.5#7
Improvement-2.6#302
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 98.2% 93.6% 98.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UNLV (Home) - 14.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 280   Southern Utah L 59-66 35%     0 - 1 -16.4 -16.8 +0.3
  Nov 15, 2018 171   Weber St. L 77-85 12%     0 - 2 -8.5 -6.5 -0.9
  Nov 17, 2018 191   Cal St. Bakersfield L 72-73 14%     0 - 3 -2.9 -1.9 -1.0
  Nov 18, 2018 148   Central Michigan L 74-76 9%     0 - 4 -0.7 +0.0 -0.7
  Nov 24, 2018 195   Santa Clara L 63-71 21%     0 - 5 -12.7 -8.2 -4.9
  Nov 28, 2018 198   Indiana St. L 57-86 21%     0 - 6 -33.9 -19.0 -14.0
  Dec 06, 2018 306   Bethune-Cookman W 67-65 42%     1 - 6 -9.3 -10.7 +1.3
  Dec 15, 2018 312   Northern Arizona W 79-74 45%     2 - 6 -7.0 -6.3 -1.0
  Dec 18, 2018 93   @ Stanford L 73-78 3%     2 - 7 +3.0 +0.9 +2.4
  Dec 21, 2018 257   @ California L 80-88 16%     2 - 8 -10.8 +5.4 -16.4
  Dec 29, 2018 49   @ St. Mary's L 45-75 2%     2 - 9 -18.0 -22.3 +2.5
  Jan 02, 2019 61   Fresno St. L 53-73 5%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -15.0 -13.8 -2.3
  Jan 09, 2019 13   @ Nevada L 53-92 1%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -20.1 -14.2 -3.8
  Jan 12, 2019 122   Boise St. L 64-87 10%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -22.3 -6.1 -17.3
  Jan 16, 2019 51   Utah St. L 63-81 4%     2 - 13 0 - 4 -11.5 -6.1 -5.7
  Jan 19, 2019 150   @ UNLV L 56-94 7%     2 - 14 0 - 5 -34.3 -22.1 -9.3
  Jan 23, 2019 295   @ Wyoming L 46-59 21%     2 - 15 0 - 6 -18.0 -19.8 -0.4
  Jan 26, 2019 238   Air Force L 71-73 28%     2 - 16 0 - 7 -9.2 -17.9 +9.1
  Jan 30, 2019 51   @ Utah St. L 73-103 2%     2 - 17 0 - 8 -18.1 +0.2 -16.0
  Feb 02, 2019 113   San Diego St. L 56-67 9%     2 - 18 0 - 9 -9.8 -9.3 -1.9
  Feb 09, 2019 122   @ Boise St. L 57-105 5%     2 - 19 0 - 10 -41.9 -12.3 -30.5
  Feb 13, 2019 151   @ New Mexico L 60-92 7%     2 - 20 0 - 11 -28.4 -15.3 -10.8
  Feb 16, 2019 150   UNLV L 67-79 15%    
  Feb 20, 2019 180   Colorado St. L 67-77 19%    
  Feb 23, 2019 238   @ Air Force L 61-73 14%    
  Feb 27, 2019 151   New Mexico L 69-81 14%    
  Mar 02, 2019 113   @ San Diego St. L 59-79 3%    
  Mar 06, 2019 295   Wyoming L 68-71 40%    
  Mar 09, 2019 61   @ Fresno St. L 57-81 1%    
Projected Record 3.1 - 25.9 1.1 - 16.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 3.3 3.4 1.0 0.1 0.0 7.7 10th
11th 31.0 40.4 18.0 2.8 0.1 92.2 11th
Total 31.0 40.4 21.2 6.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 0.0% 0.0
5-13 0.1% 0.1
4-14 1.1% 1.1
3-15 6.1% 6.1
2-16 21.2% 21.2
1-17 40.4% 40.4
0-18 31.0% 31.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 29.3%