San Jose St.
Mountain West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-10.8#325
Achievement Rating-16.9#337
Pace68.3#223
Improvement-1.0#253

Offense
Total Offense-7.9#333
First Shot-6.8#328
After Offensive Rebound-1.1#233
Layup/Dunks-7.8#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#126
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#202
Freethrows+0.9#128
Improvement-0.5#213

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#263
First Shot-2.1#245
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#227
Layups/Dunks-7.8#347
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#231
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#92
Freethrows+3.8#17
Improvement-0.6#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 72.1% 68.7% 76.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northern Arizona (Home) - 57.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 253   Southern Utah L 59-66 40%     0 - 1 -15.3 -18.1 +2.8
  Nov 15, 2018 154   Weber St. L 77-85 15%     0 - 2 -7.5 -6.3 -0.1
  Nov 17, 2018 210   Cal St. Bakersfield L 72-73 23%     0 - 3 -3.9 +0.0 -3.9
  Nov 18, 2018 173   Central Michigan L 74-76 18%     0 - 4 -2.8 +0.5 -3.3
  Nov 24, 2018 273   Santa Clara L 63-71 44%     0 - 5 -17.2 -10.7 -6.9
  Nov 28, 2018 141   Indiana St. L 57-86 18%     0 - 6 -30.2 -16.5 -12.9
  Dec 06, 2018 308   Bethune-Cookman W 67-65 53%     1 - 6 -9.6 -11.9 +2.2
  Dec 15, 2018 318   Northern Arizona W 73-71 57%    
  Dec 18, 2018 95   @ Stanford L 58-77 4%    
  Dec 21, 2018 179   @ California L 62-75 12%    
  Dec 29, 2018 52   @ St. Mary's L 56-79 2%    
  Jan 02, 2019 61   Fresno St. L 60-76 7%    
  Jan 09, 2019 10   @ Nevada L 58-89 0.2%   
  Jan 12, 2019 128   Boise St. L 63-74 17%    
  Jan 16, 2019 50   Utah St. L 63-80 6%    
  Jan 19, 2019 136   @ UNLV L 61-77 7%    
  Jan 23, 2019 221   @ Wyoming L 67-77 17%    
  Jan 26, 2019 243   Air Force L 64-67 40%    
  Jan 30, 2019 50   @ Utah St. L 60-83 2%    
  Feb 02, 2019 69   San Diego St. L 63-78 9%    
  Feb 09, 2019 128   @ Boise St. L 60-77 7%    
  Feb 13, 2019 146   @ New Mexico L 70-85 9%    
  Feb 16, 2019 136   UNLV L 64-74 19%    
  Feb 20, 2019 208   Colorado St. L 69-74 33%    
  Feb 23, 2019 243   @ Air Force L 61-70 22%    
  Feb 27, 2019 146   New Mexico L 73-82 22%    
  Mar 02, 2019 69   @ San Diego St. L 60-81 3%    
  Mar 06, 2019 221   Wyoming L 70-74 35%    
  Mar 09, 2019 61   @ Fresno St. L 57-79 3%    
Projected Record 4.3 - 24.7 2.6 - 15.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.9 0.5 0.0 4.8 8th
9th 0.1 1.3 4.3 3.8 1.0 0.1 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.7 4.8 9.5 6.7 1.6 0.1 23.3 10th
11th 10.0 19.7 18.2 8.5 1.8 0.1 0.0 58.3 11th
Total 10.0 20.3 23.1 19.3 13.2 7.5 3.8 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.2% 0.2
8-10 0.7% 0.7
7-11 1.7% 1.7
6-12 3.8% 3.8
5-13 7.5% 7.5
4-14 13.2% 13.2
3-15 19.3% 19.3
2-16 23.1% 23.1
1-17 20.3% 20.3
0-18 10.0% 10.0
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.5%