Savannah St.
Mid-Eastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-16.0#348
Achievement Rating-11.7#322
Pace92.9#3
Improvement+2.8#63

Offense
Total Offense-7.0#330
First Shot-6.3#324
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#221
Layup/Dunks-3.4#292
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.2#351
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.0#15
Freethrows-3.7#340
Improvement+1.0#130

Defense
Total Defense-9.0#350
First Shot-6.4#336
After Offensive Rebounds-2.6#343
Layups/Dunks-5.4#339
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.9#317
Freethrows-0.6#218
Improvement+1.7#90
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.7% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 65.7% 87.8% 50.2%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.3% 1.7% 0.9%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida A&M (Home) - 41.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 86   @ Texas A&M L 83-98 2%     0 - 1 -6.4 -6.8 +4.3
  Nov 09, 2018 111   @ Georgia L 76-110 3%     0 - 2 -27.2 -14.1 -4.3
  Nov 13, 2018 329   Tennessee Tech W 97-83 42%     1 - 2 -0.1 -1.4 -2.0
  Nov 16, 2018 222   Gardner-Webb L 77-97 18%     1 - 3 -26.3 -9.0 -15.3
  Nov 20, 2018 149   @ Kent St. L 84-104 4%     1 - 4 -16.0 -3.0 -9.6
  Nov 24, 2018 349   Alcorn St. W 80-75 51%     2 - 4 -11.3 -2.2 -9.4
  Nov 25, 2018 96   @ Liberty L 56-82 2%     2 - 5 -18.2 -19.8 +4.6
  Nov 27, 2018 117   @ Vanderbilt L 85-120 3%     2 - 6 -28.5 -1.6 -19.7
  Dec 01, 2018 222   @ Gardner-Webb L 60-97 9%     2 - 7 -37.9 -20.4 -14.5
  Dec 11, 2018 77   @ South Dakota St. L 72-139 2%     2 - 8 -57.9 -15.7 -26.5
  Dec 13, 2018 14   @ Wisconsin L 60-101 0.5%    2 - 9 -22.6 -1.6 -20.9
  Dec 20, 2018 329   @ Tennessee Tech L 80-91 24%     2 - 10 -19.6 +2.3 -21.3
  Dec 22, 2018 28   @ Iowa L 64-110 1%     2 - 11 -30.4 -11.5 -14.5
  Jan 05, 2019 345   @ Coppin St. L 67-73 36%     2 - 12 0 - 1 -18.4 -16.1 -1.7
  Jan 07, 2019 334   @ Morgan St. W 88-87 27%     3 - 12 1 - 1 -8.6 -1.3 -7.4
  Jan 12, 2019 325   @ Florida A&M L 64-69 22%     3 - 13 1 - 2 -13.0 -8.6 -4.3
  Jan 19, 2019 265   Norfolk St. L 76-82 24%     3 - 14 1 - 3 -14.8 -12.5 -1.3
  Jan 26, 2019 342   South Carolina St. W 92-88 53%     4 - 14 2 - 3 -12.7 +3.0 -16.0
  Jan 28, 2019 314   NC Central L 78-82 35%     4 - 15 2 - 4 -16.0 -3.8 -12.0
  Feb 02, 2019 353   @ Delaware St. W 76-73 60%     5 - 15 3 - 4 -15.7 -3.8 -11.8
  Feb 04, 2019 352   @ Maryland Eastern Shore W 68-63 57%     6 - 15 4 - 4 -12.9 -13.2 +0.2
  Feb 09, 2019 345   Coppin St. W 71-62 57%     7 - 15 5 - 4 -8.8 -10.6 +1.4
  Feb 11, 2019 334   Morgan St. W 88-85 46%     8 - 15 6 - 4 -12.0 +0.5 -12.8
  Feb 16, 2019 325   Florida A&M L 73-76 41%    
  Feb 18, 2019 306   Bethune-Cookman L 83-88 35%    
  Feb 23, 2019 314   @ NC Central L 74-83 18%    
  Feb 25, 2019 324   @ N.C. A&T L 76-84 22%    
  Mar 02, 2019 313   Howard L 87-91 36%    
  Mar 07, 2019 342   South Carolina St. W 85-84 54%    
Projected Record 10.1 - 18.9 8.1 - 7.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-Eastern Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 1.5 1.6 0.2 3.4 2nd
3rd 1.9 5.8 0.6 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.2 8.4 2.0 0.0 10.6 4th
5th 0.0 4.4 9.7 0.1 14.2 5th
6th 0.9 15.0 2.3 18.1 6th
7th 0.7 13.1 11.0 0.1 24.9 7th
8th 3.2 9.9 0.8 14.0 8th
9th 3.9 1.4 5.3 9th
10th 1.0 0.1 1.1 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 8.9 25.4 31.4 22.4 9.4 2.3 0.2 Total



Mid-Eastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 10.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-5 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4 0.2% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-5 2.3% 5.2% 5.2% 16.0 0.1 2.2
10-6 9.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.3 9.1
9-7 22.4% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.4 22.0
8-8 31.4% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.3 31.1
7-9 25.4% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 25.3
6-10 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.9
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 16.0 1.3 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 5.8%