Seton Hall
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#50
Achievement Rating+11.8#40
Pace72.1#99
Improvement-0.3#203

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#57
First Shot+3.7#63
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#132
Layup/Dunks+7.3#4
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#303
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#277
Freethrows+1.9#57
Improvement-0.4#207

Defense
Total Defense+5.0#50
First Shot+3.8#60
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#64
Layups/Dunks+1.6#107
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#225
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#115
Freethrows+1.1#109
Improvement+0.0#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 83.3% 89.5% 67.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 81.9% 88.5% 65.3%
Average Seed 8.9 8.8 9.4
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 77.4% 87.7% 50.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.6%
First Four7.3% 6.0% 10.6%
First Round79.2% 86.1% 61.2%
Second Round31.7% 35.2% 22.9%
Sweet Sixteen5.1% 5.8% 3.5%
Elite Eight1.5% 1.7% 1.0%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Xavier (Home) - 72.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 275   Wagner W 89-49 95%     1 - 0 +30.7 +18.5 +13.8
  Nov 14, 2018 35   @ Nebraska L 57-80 31%     1 - 1 -8.7 -7.6 -1.2
  Nov 17, 2018 121   Saint Louis L 64-66 79%     1 - 2 -1.3 -5.2 +4.0
  Nov 22, 2018 102   Grand Canyon W 82-75 67%     2 - 2 +11.8 +11.9 +0.0
  Nov 23, 2018 160   Hawaii W 64-54 81%     3 - 2 +9.9 -1.5 +12.5
  Nov 25, 2018 60   Miami (FL) W 83-81 56%     4 - 2 +9.8 +7.0 +2.6
  Dec 01, 2018 16   Louisville L 65-70 37%     4 - 3 +7.7 -0.4 +8.1
  Dec 04, 2018 347   New Hampshire W 77-57 99%     5 - 3 +2.0 +2.2 +0.4
  Dec 08, 2018 5   Kentucky W 84-83 16%     6 - 3 +21.0 +12.6 +8.2
  Dec 15, 2018 90   Rutgers W 72-66 73%     7 - 3 +8.8 +3.4 +5.4
  Dec 19, 2018 255   Sacred Heart W 90-76 94%     8 - 3 +5.7 +1.0 +3.1
  Dec 22, 2018 21   @ Maryland W 78-74 22%     9 - 3 +21.3 +16.4 +5.0
  Dec 29, 2018 42   St. John's W 76-74 56%     10 - 3 1 - 0 +9.7 +1.4 +8.1
  Jan 02, 2019 82   @ Xavier W 80-70 52%     11 - 3 2 - 0 +18.8 +11.5 +7.5
  Jan 06, 2019 98   @ DePaul L 74-75 56%     11 - 4 2 - 1 +6.8 +0.7 +6.1
  Jan 09, 2019 46   Butler W 76-75 60%     12 - 4 3 - 1 +7.7 +2.6 +5.0
  Jan 12, 2019 24   @ Marquette L 66-70 25%     12 - 5 3 - 2 +12.4 -3.5 +16.1
  Jan 15, 2019 80   @ Providence L 63-72 51%     12 - 6 3 - 3 +0.0 -6.4 +6.9
  Jan 19, 2019 98   DePaul L 93-97 75%     12 - 7 3 - 4 -1.7 +14.0 -15.4
  Jan 27, 2019 19   @ Villanova L 52-80 21%     12 - 8 3 - 5 -10.2 -13.2 +1.9
  Jan 30, 2019 80   Providence W 65-63 71%     13 - 8 4 - 5 +5.5 -3.4 +8.9
  Feb 02, 2019 46   @ Butler L 68-70 39%     13 - 9 4 - 6 +10.2 +7.0 +3.0
  Feb 09, 2019 51   Creighton W 63-58 61%     14 - 9 5 - 6 +11.5 -8.6 +20.1
  Feb 13, 2019 68   Georgetown W 90-75 68%     15 - 9 6 - 6 +19.3 +19.7 +0.0
  Feb 17, 2019 51   @ Creighton W 81-75 40%     16 - 9 7 - 6 +18.0 +11.9 +6.1
  Feb 20, 2019 82   Xavier W 75-69 72%    
  Feb 23, 2019 42   @ St. John's L 74-78 35%    
  Mar 02, 2019 68   @ Georgetown L 79-80 47%    
  Mar 06, 2019 24   Marquette L 74-76 45%    
  Mar 09, 2019 19   Villanova L 70-73 40%    
Projected Record 18.4 - 11.6 9.4 - 8.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 0.8 1.5 2nd
3rd 0.1 6.2 18.4 12.4 2.0 39.1 3rd
4th 0.0 5.5 21.0 10.2 0.6 37.3 4th
5th 0.3 8.8 4.7 0.2 14.0 5th
6th 1.7 3.8 0.2 5.7 6th
7th 1.6 0.2 1.8 7th
8th 0.5 0.0 0.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 4.1 18.5 32.1 28.9 13.7 2.8 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 2.8% 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 13.7% 99.4% 11.7% 87.7% 7.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 3.8 5.1 2.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 99.3%
10-8 28.9% 96.8% 8.8% 88.0% 8.6 0.0 0.4 3.1 9.3 10.0 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 0.9 96.5%
9-9 32.1% 90.1% 7.0% 83.2% 9.2 0.0 0.1 1.1 5.9 11.0 7.3 3.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 3.2 89.4%
8-10 18.5% 52.2% 4.2% 48.0% 10.6 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 3.3 1.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 8.8 50.1%
7-11 4.1% 9.9% 2.0% 8.0% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 3.7 8.1%
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 83.3% 7.6% 75.7% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.1 9.0 21.1 25.3 14.6 7.5 2.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 16.7 81.9%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.4% 100.0% 4.8 3.1 31.8 47.6 15.9 1.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.5% 100.0% 6.6 0.4 8.4 33.3 45.5 10.4 1.8 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9% 100.0% 7.1 0.2 2.7 21.4 45.7 24.8 4.7 0.5
Lose Out 1.9%