Seton Hall
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.4#60
Achievement Rating+7.3#91
Pace71.6#134
Improvement-0.8#234

Offense
Total Offense+3.9#76
First Shot+5.0#50
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#227
Layup/Dunks+8.3#7
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#260
Freethrows+0.2#160
Improvement-0.9#247

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#62
First Shot+0.4#156
After Offensive Rebounds+4.0#11
Layups/Dunks+2.1#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#232
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#275
Freethrows+2.2#71
Improvement+0.1#168
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.7% 3.9% 0.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 33.0% 47.1% 27.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 28.5% 42.4% 22.9%
Average Seed 8.8 8.2 9.2
.500 or above 58.5% 74.9% 51.8%
.500 or above in Conference 49.2% 57.4% 45.8%
Conference Champion 6.6% 9.1% 5.6%
Last Place in Conference 12.2% 8.7% 13.6%
First Four5.0% 5.4% 4.8%
First Round30.4% 44.3% 24.7%
Second Round14.4% 22.2% 11.2%
Sweet Sixteen4.3% 7.1% 3.2%
Elite Eight1.4% 2.4% 1.0%
Final Four0.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Kentucky (Neutral) - 29.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 259   Wagner W 89-49 93%     1 - 0 +31.3 +16.3 +16.6
  Nov 14, 2018 17   @ Nebraska L 57-80 20%     1 - 1 -5.9 -8.1 +2.1
  Nov 17, 2018 80   Saint Louis L 64-66 69%     1 - 2 +1.4 -3.6 +4.9
  Nov 22, 2018 120   Grand Canyon W 82-75 68%     2 - 2 +10.4 +11.9 -1.4
  Nov 23, 2018 186   Hawaii W 64-54 82%     3 - 2 +8.5 -2.2 +11.8
  Nov 25, 2018 45   Miami (FL) W 83-81 44%     4 - 2 +11.9 +7.2 +4.5
  Dec 01, 2018 32   Louisville L 65-70 47%     4 - 3 +4.1 -3.5 +7.5
  Dec 04, 2018 343   New Hampshire W 77-57 98%     5 - 3 +2.8 -0.1 +3.5
  Dec 08, 2018 16   Kentucky L 73-79 29%    
  Dec 15, 2018 99   Rutgers W 70-64 71%    
  Dec 19, 2018 290   Sacred Heart W 86-67 96%    
  Dec 22, 2018 29   @ Maryland L 68-75 25%    
  Dec 29, 2018 50   St. John's W 79-77 56%    
  Jan 02, 2019 56   @ Xavier L 72-75 38%    
  Jan 06, 2019 107   @ DePaul W 73-72 53%    
  Jan 09, 2019 37   Butler L 71-72 49%    
  Jan 12, 2019 34   @ Marquette L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 15, 2019 72   @ Providence L 71-73 44%    
  Jan 19, 2019 107   DePaul W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 27, 2019 21   @ Villanova L 66-74 23%    
  Jan 30, 2019 72   Providence W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 02, 2019 37   @ Butler L 68-74 29%    
  Feb 09, 2019 42   Creighton W 81-80 53%    
  Feb 13, 2019 87   Georgetown W 82-77 69%    
  Feb 17, 2019 42   @ Creighton L 78-83 32%    
  Feb 20, 2019 56   Xavier W 75-72 59%    
  Feb 23, 2019 50   @ St. John's L 76-80 35%    
  Mar 02, 2019 87   @ Georgetown L 79-80 48%    
  Mar 06, 2019 34   Marquette L 74-75 48%    
  Mar 09, 2019 21   Villanova L 69-71 43%    
Projected Record 15.7 - 14.3 8.5 - 9.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.0 1.7 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 6.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.4 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.0 4.4 1.8 0.3 0.0 9.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.5 2.2 0.2 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.6 6.1 2.7 0.2 0.0 11.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.1 6.0 3.3 0.3 0.0 11.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.8 5.5 3.8 0.5 0.0 11.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.7 3.8 0.6 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.0 3.7 2.9 0.6 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.8 2.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 7.1 10th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.4 7.2 9.9 12.3 13.3 13.3 11.9 9.5 6.6 4.2 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 99.4% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 93.7% 1.0    0.8 0.1 0.0
14-4 76.7% 1.7    1.2 0.5 0.1
13-5 48.3% 2.0    0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 18.1% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.8% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.6% 6.6 3.6 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 100.0% 35.1% 64.9% 2.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 99.7% 27.3% 72.4% 3.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.6%
15-3 1.0% 98.6% 24.3% 74.3% 4.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.2%
14-4 2.2% 97.2% 21.9% 75.3% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 96.5%
13-5 4.2% 92.5% 17.5% 75.0% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 91.0%
12-6 6.6% 85.6% 14.0% 71.6% 8.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.2 1.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.0 83.3%
11-7 9.5% 71.3% 11.0% 60.4% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.2 1.6 1.4 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.7 67.8%
10-8 11.9% 53.9% 8.4% 45.5% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.4 1.6 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 5.5 49.7%
9-9 13.3% 33.5% 6.1% 27.4% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 1.4 0.8 0.2 0.0 8.9 29.2%
8-10 13.3% 12.0% 4.0% 8.0% 11.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 11.7 8.3%
7-11 12.3% 3.3% 2.0% 1.3% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.9 1.3%
6-12 9.9% 1.5% 1.3% 0.1% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 9.7 0.1%
5-13 7.2% 0.9% 0.9% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 7.1
4-14 4.4% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.4
3-15 2.3% 0.4% 0.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 2.3
2-16 1.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.0
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 33.0% 6.4% 26.6% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.7 2.5 3.5 4.3 5.4 5.3 5.1 2.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 67.0 28.5%