South Carolina Upstate
Big South
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.6#330
Achievement Rating-13.7#320
Pace71.3#142
Improvement+2.9#24

Offense
Total Offense-5.6#315
First Shot-4.4#292
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#236
Layup/Dunks-3.0#273
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#199
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#57
Freethrows-5.2#351
Improvement+3.7#5

Defense
Total Defense-6.0#328
First Shot-1.9#238
After Offensive Rebounds-4.1#348
Layups/Dunks-5.3#326
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#44
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#52
Freethrows-3.1#320
Improvement-0.8#247
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 n/a 16.0
.500 or above 0.3% 2.4% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 12.7% 19.0% 12.7%
Conference Champion 0.2% 2.4% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 26.9% 19.0% 26.9%
First Four0.3% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina St. (Away) - 0.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 120   @ South Carolina L 52-65 5%     0 - 1 -6.3 -19.3 +14.1
  Nov 14, 2018 333   @ VMI L 72-78 40%     0 - 2 -15.0 -7.7 -7.1
  Nov 21, 2018 290   @ Portland L 56-73 24%     0 - 3 -21.2 -22.6 +2.3
  Nov 23, 2018 138   Texas St. L 50-82 11%     0 - 4 -29.9 -18.0 -13.0
  Nov 24, 2018 306   Cal Poly L 74-75 37%     0 - 5 -9.1 -6.5 -2.5
  Nov 28, 2018 206   Gardner-Webb L 61-74 28%     0 - 6 -18.6 -10.2 -9.9
  Dec 01, 2018 201   @ Western Michigan W 71-66 13%     1 - 6 +5.7 -0.5 +6.3
  Dec 05, 2018 267   @ Eastern Kentucky L 77-79 21%     1 - 7 -5.1 -10.2 +5.5
  Dec 08, 2018 89   Furman L 60-74 9%     1 - 8 -11.0 -11.1 +0.1
  Dec 15, 2018 343   South Carolina St. W 88-84 68%     2 - 8 -12.6 +2.9 -15.6
  Dec 22, 2018 20   @ North Carolina St. L 68-96 0.4%   
  Jan 02, 2019 80   @ Georgia Tech L 57-78 2%    
  Jan 05, 2019 269   @ Presbyterian L 73-81 20%    
  Jan 10, 2019 128   Radford L 64-76 15%    
  Jan 12, 2019 206   @ Gardner-Webb L 66-78 13%    
  Jan 16, 2019 226   @ High Point L 61-72 16%    
  Jan 19, 2019 184   Winthrop L 77-84 25%    
  Jan 21, 2019 269   Presbyterian L 76-78 41%    
  Jan 24, 2019 244   @ Hampton L 70-80 19%    
  Jan 26, 2019 303   Longwood L 66-67 48%    
  Jan 30, 2019 344   @ UNC Asheville W 69-68 52%    
  Feb 02, 2019 228   Charleston Southern L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 09, 2019 247   @ Campbell L 70-80 19%    
  Feb 13, 2019 344   UNC Asheville W 71-65 71%    
  Feb 16, 2019 303   @ Longwood L 63-70 28%    
  Feb 21, 2019 228   @ Charleston Southern L 68-79 17%    
  Feb 27, 2019 247   Campbell L 73-77 37%    
  Mar 02, 2019 244   Hampton L 73-77 38%    
Projected Record 7.0 - 21.0 4.9 - 11.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big South Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.6 0.6 0.0 0.0 2.8 4th
5th 0.6 2.1 1.0 0.1 3.7 5th
6th 0.5 3.4 2.9 0.4 7.1 6th
7th 0.4 3.4 4.8 1.0 0.0 9.5 7th
8th 0.4 3.9 6.1 2.2 0.1 12.6 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 6.0 9.1 3.3 0.2 19.7 9th
10th 0.1 2.9 8.4 9.3 4.0 0.5 25.1 10th
11th 0.8 3.7 6.0 4.7 1.5 0.2 16.9 11th
Total 0.8 3.9 8.9 14.2 17.2 17.5 13.7 11.3 6.5 3.4 1.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-3 75.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-4 17.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0
11-5 5.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0
14-2 0.0% 0.0
13-3 0.1% 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.3% 0.3
11-5 0.7% 4.4% 4.4% 16.0 0.0 0.7
10-6 1.8% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.8
9-7 3.4% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 3.3
8-8 6.5% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.1 6.4
7-9 11.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.3
6-10 13.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 13.6
5-11 17.5% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 17.4
4-12 17.2% 17.2
3-13 14.2% 14.2
2-14 8.9% 8.9
1-15 3.9% 3.9
0-16 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 16.0 0.3 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.8%