South Carolina
Southeastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#74
Achievement Rating+8.7#66
Pace76.1#42
Improvement+5.1#17

Offense
Total Offense+3.7#75
First Shot+1.1#149
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#32
Layup/Dunks-2.2#254
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#35
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#219
Freethrows+1.2#96
Improvement+4.3#24

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#92
First Shot+3.6#68
After Offensive Rebounds-0.6#246
Layups/Dunks+5.2#18
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#232
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#153
Freethrows-1.6#282
Improvement+0.8#128
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 15.9% 25.2% 8.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 15.5% 24.6% 8.0%
Average Seed 10.7 10.6 11.1
.500 or above 40.8% 59.1% 25.8%
.500 or above in Conference 96.8% 100.0% 94.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.6% 10.9% 4.8%
First Round11.4% 18.6% 5.4%
Second Round3.4% 5.7% 1.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 1.0% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Home) - 45.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 337   South Carolina Upstate W 65-52 97%     1 - 0 -2.3 -19.6 +16.3
  Nov 09, 2018 170   Stony Brook L 81-83 82%     1 - 1 -5.1 +5.8 -10.8
  Nov 13, 2018 261   Norfolk St. W 81-64 91%     2 - 1 +8.5 +4.8 +3.7
  Nov 17, 2018 80   Providence L 67-76 52%     2 - 2 -2.8 -1.3 -1.3
  Nov 18, 2018 256   George Washington W 90-55 87%     3 - 2 +29.5 +6.9 +18.7
  Nov 26, 2018 39   Wofford L 61-81 44%     3 - 3 -11.8 -16.4 +6.4
  Nov 30, 2018 163   Coastal Carolina W 85-79 82%     4 - 3 +3.1 +1.9 +0.5
  Dec 05, 2018 298   @ Wyoming L 64-73 86%     4 - 4 -14.1 -14.7 +1.4
  Dec 08, 2018 8   @ Michigan L 78-89 11%     4 - 5 +9.2 +16.5 -7.1
  Dec 19, 2018 3   Virginia L 52-69 12%     4 - 6 +2.2 -2.3 +1.9
  Dec 22, 2018 30   Clemson L 68-78 39%     4 - 7 -0.4 -0.9 +1.0
  Jan 05, 2019 29   @ Florida W 71-69 20%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +17.6 +7.8 +9.7
  Jan 08, 2019 23   Mississippi St. W 87-82 32%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +16.6 +4.2 +11.5
  Jan 13, 2019 89   Missouri W 85-75 64%     7 - 7 3 - 0 +13.0 +14.7 -1.7
  Jan 16, 2019 119   @ Vanderbilt W 74-71 50%     8 - 7 4 - 0 +9.5 +6.6 +3.0
  Jan 19, 2019 22   @ LSU L 67-89 16%     8 - 8 4 - 1 -4.9 -8.5 +6.3
  Jan 22, 2019 14   Auburn W 80-77 27%     9 - 8 5 - 1 +15.9 +8.7 +7.0
  Jan 26, 2019 86   @ Oklahoma St. L 70-74 42%     9 - 9 +4.6 +4.0 +0.5
  Jan 29, 2019 7   Tennessee L 70-92 17%     9 - 10 5 - 2 -5.3 +0.8 -5.9
  Feb 02, 2019 113   @ Georgia W 86-80 49%     10 - 10 6 - 2 +12.8 +16.8 -3.9
  Feb 05, 2019 5   @ Kentucky L 48-76 8%     10 - 11 6 - 3 -5.3 -12.3 +6.3
  Feb 09, 2019 58   Arkansas W 77-65 56%     11 - 11 7 - 3 +17.2 +5.4 +11.4
  Feb 13, 2019 7   @ Tennessee L 73-85 8%     11 - 12 7 - 4 +10.2 +9.1 +0.8
  Feb 16, 2019 85   Texas A&M W 84-77 63%     12 - 12 8 - 4 +10.2 +8.6 +1.2
  Feb 19, 2019 38   Mississippi L 76-78 45%    
  Feb 23, 2019 23   @ Mississippi St. L 72-82 15%    
  Feb 26, 2019 44   Alabama L 76-77 50%    
  Mar 02, 2019 89   @ Missouri L 70-72 42%    
  Mar 05, 2019 85   @ Texas A&M L 75-77 42%    
  Mar 09, 2019 113   Georgia W 80-75 70%    
Projected Record 14.7 - 15.3 10.7 - 7.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 1.7 0.4 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 2.8 17.3 15.8 3.9 0.1 40.0 4th
5th 0.4 10.8 10.9 1.2 0.0 23.3 5th
6th 0.0 2.6 10.9 1.2 14.7 6th
7th 0.2 5.7 3.4 0.0 9.4 7th
8th 1.0 4.6 0.4 0.0 6.0 8th
9th 1.7 1.1 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.3 0.0 0.3 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 3.2 14.4 28.3 29.5 18.1 5.8 0.7 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 1.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.7% 85.1% 1.1% 83.9% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 84.9%
13-5 5.8% 64.3% 1.6% 62.7% 10.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.1 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 2.1 63.7%
12-6 18.1% 37.1% 1.1% 36.0% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.5 2.5 1.5 0.3 0.0 11.4 36.4%
11-7 29.5% 14.7% 0.4% 14.3% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.5 1.4 0.3 0.0 25.2 14.3%
10-8 28.3% 1.7% 0.2% 1.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 27.8 1.5%
9-9 14.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.4 0.1%
8-10 3.2% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 3.2
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 15.9% 0.5% 15.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.7 5.4 3.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 84.1 15.5%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 98.2% 8.3 5.5 21.8 30.9 21.8 10.9 7.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 91.1% 9.0 0.9 10.2 16.4 34.7 19.6 8.0 1.3
Lose Out 2.4%