South Dakota St.
Summit League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.9#75
Achievement Rating+2.0#150
Pace73.6#99
Improvement+3.0#21

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#34
First Shot+8.6#11
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#311
Layup/Dunks-1.2#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#35
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#47
Freethrows+1.8#85
Improvement+0.8#114

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#147
First Shot-1.3#213
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#56
Layups/Dunks+2.8#81
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#288
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#320
Freethrows+2.4#53
Improvement+2.3#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 59.7% 60.6% 56.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.8 14.4
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
.500 or above in Conference 99.7% 99.7% 99.8%
Conference Champion 82.5% 83.7% 77.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.6% 0.5% 1.0%
First Round59.6% 60.5% 55.7%
Second Round11.4% 12.1% 8.2%
Sweet Sixteen3.8% 4.1% 2.2%
Elite Eight0.8% 0.9% 0.6%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Washington (Away) - 80.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 131   Grand Canyon W 79-74 76%     1 - 0 +4.6 +3.7 +0.8
  Nov 08, 2018 326   Alabama St. W 78-61 96%     2 - 0 +3.1 +8.0 -2.8
  Nov 16, 2018 236   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 78-84 79%     2 - 1 -7.6 -3.7 -3.3
  Nov 19, 2018 216   Tulane L 80-84 83%     2 - 2 -7.2 +1.6 -8.6
  Nov 20, 2018 182   Texas San Antonio W 99-79 79%     3 - 2 +18.6 +21.1 -3.6
  Nov 21, 2018 211   Colorado St. W 78-65 88%     4 - 2 +7.0 +1.3 +6.1
  Nov 28, 2018 266   UMKC W 75-47 92%     5 - 2 +19.0 +0.3 +19.6
  Dec 01, 2018 178   Northern Iowa W 82-50 78%     6 - 2 +30.8 +12.3 +19.2
  Dec 04, 2018 114   @ Memphis L 80-88 49%     6 - 3 -0.8 -1.2 +1.4
  Dec 07, 2018 332   Southern W 101-92 97%     7 - 3 -6.0 +14.6 -20.9
  Dec 11, 2018 352   Savannah St. W 139-72 99%     8 - 3 +45.7 +23.2 +6.8
  Dec 15, 2018 10   @ Nevada L 68-72 12%     8 - 4 +15.8 +2.6 +13.2
  Dec 18, 2018 253   @ Eastern Washington W 81-72 81%    
  Dec 22, 2018 110   Montana W 79-74 70%    
  Dec 28, 2018 272   @ Western Illinois W 80-70 83%    
  Jan 03, 2019 223   @ Purdue Fort Wayne W 87-80 76%    
  Jan 06, 2019 166   @ South Dakota W 75-71 65%    
  Jan 10, 2019 264   Denver W 85-69 93%    
  Jan 12, 2019 309   Oral Roberts W 86-68 96%    
  Jan 16, 2019 289   @ North Dakota W 83-72 85%    
  Jan 24, 2019 204   North Dakota St. W 83-71 87%    
  Jan 26, 2019 225   Nebraska Omaha W 87-73 90%    
  Jan 31, 2019 309   @ Oral Roberts W 83-71 87%    
  Feb 03, 2019 264   @ Denver W 82-72 82%    
  Feb 09, 2019 289   North Dakota W 86-69 94%    
  Feb 14, 2019 225   @ Nebraska Omaha W 84-76 75%    
  Feb 16, 2019 204   @ North Dakota St. W 80-74 71%    
  Feb 21, 2019 223   Purdue Fort Wayne W 90-77 89%    
  Feb 23, 2019 166   South Dakota W 78-68 82%    
  Mar 02, 2019 272   Western Illinois W 83-67 93%    
Projected Record 23.0 - 7.0 13.5 - 2.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 2.5 8.2 17.9 23.5 20.4 9.7 82.5 1st
2nd 0.1 1.5 3.9 4.2 2.4 0.4 12.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.4 3.4 7.4 12.7 20.3 24.0 20.4 9.7 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 9.7    9.7
15-1 100.0% 20.4    20.2 0.2
14-2 98.2% 23.5    22.1 1.5
13-3 88.4% 17.9    14.5 3.2 0.1
12-4 65.1% 8.2    4.6 3.1 0.5
11-5 33.3% 2.5    0.7 1.2 0.5 0.1
10-6 6.4% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0
9-7 1.4% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 82.5% 82.5 71.9 9.2 1.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 9.7% 74.3% 73.7% 0.6% 12.6 0.0 0.6 2.7 2.9 1.0 0.1 2.5 2.3%
15-1 20.4% 69.2% 69.1% 0.1% 13.4 0.1 1.5 6.3 5.3 0.9 6.3 0.3%
14-2 24.0% 63.5% 63.5% 13.9 0.4 4.1 7.8 2.8 0.1 8.8
13-3 20.3% 56.0% 56.0% 14.3 0.0 1.2 5.6 4.3 0.3 8.9
12-4 12.7% 51.2% 51.2% 14.8 0.1 2.0 3.7 0.7 6.2
11-5 7.4% 45.4% 45.4% 15.1 0.6 2.0 0.8 4.0
10-6 3.4% 37.8% 37.8% 15.4 0.0 0.7 0.6 2.1
9-7 1.4% 34.1% 34.1% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9
8-8 0.6% 32.1% 32.1% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.4
7-9 0.2% 23.8% 23.8% 16.0 0.1 0.2
6-10 0.1% 0.0 0.0
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 59.7% 59.7% 0.1% 13.9 0.0 0.7 4.7 14.6 22.3 14.6 3.0 40.3 0.2%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.9% 100.0% 12.3 0.4 11.4 50.3 35.1 2.6 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.7% 5.4% 12.5 4.1 1.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6% 1.7% 13.0 1.7