South Dakota St.
Summit League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.4#77
Achievement Rating+5.1#104
Pace74.7#56
Improvement-1.8#265

Offense
Total Offense+5.8#40
First Shot+7.4#15
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#285
Layup/Dunks+2.4#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#39
Freethrows+0.4#144
Improvement-1.7#260

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#152
First Shot-0.5#187
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#70
Layups/Dunks+4.2#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.9#349
Freethrows+2.9#16
Improvement-0.1#193
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 58.4% 59.4% 52.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.2 13.0 13.8
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 94.1% 97.3% 76.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round58.4% 59.4% 52.9%
Second Round10.4% 11.0% 7.3%
Sweet Sixteen2.8% 3.0% 1.8%
Elite Eight0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Purdue Fort Wayne (Home) - 84.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 14 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 102   Grand Canyon W 79-74 66%     1 - 0 +7.1 +4.4 +2.5
  Nov 08, 2018 320   Alabama St. W 78-61 95%     2 - 0 +4.2 +8.9 -2.7
  Nov 16, 2018 230   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 78-84 77%     2 - 1 -7.5 -1.9 -5.0
  Nov 19, 2018 290   Tulane L 80-84 89%     2 - 2 -11.3 +1.4 -12.4
  Nov 20, 2018 134   Texas San Antonio W 99-79 66%     3 - 2 +22.2 +20.7 +0.3
  Nov 21, 2018 178   Colorado St. W 78-65 83%     4 - 2 +9.1 +2.5 +7.0
  Nov 28, 2018 229   UMKC W 75-47 89%     5 - 2 +21.1 +1.0 +21.0
  Dec 01, 2018 180   Northern Iowa W 82-50 77%     6 - 2 +30.8 +9.9 +21.6
  Dec 04, 2018 76   @ Memphis L 80-88 39%     6 - 3 +1.2 +0.7 +1.5
  Dec 07, 2018 342   Southern W 101-92 98%     7 - 3 -8.2 +16.5 -25.1
  Dec 11, 2018 348   Savannah St. W 139-72 98%     8 - 3 +48.9 +23.1 +10.1
  Dec 15, 2018 13   @ Nevada L 68-72 12%     8 - 4 +14.9 +4.0 +10.9
  Dec 18, 2018 238   @ Eastern Washington W 74-64 78%     9 - 4 +8.2 -2.3 +10.2
  Dec 22, 2018 109   Montana L 74-85 68%     9 - 5 -9.5 +2.1 -11.7
  Dec 28, 2018 285   @ Western Illinois W 100-58 84%     10 - 5 1 - 0 +37.8 +23.5 +13.4
  Jan 03, 2019 181   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 88-104 68%     10 - 6 1 - 1 -14.5 +0.2 -12.5
  Jan 06, 2019 231   @ South Dakota W 79-61 78%     11 - 6 2 - 1 +16.4 +7.2 +9.3
  Jan 10, 2019 297   Denver W 78-66 93%     12 - 6 3 - 1 +1.5 -2.9 +4.3
  Jan 12, 2019 280   Oral Roberts W 84-65 92%     13 - 6 4 - 1 +9.5 +0.5 +8.3
  Jan 16, 2019 273   @ North Dakota W 78-74 83%     14 - 6 5 - 1 +0.3 +3.6 -3.3
  Jan 24, 2019 194   North Dakota St. W 87-69 85%     15 - 6 6 - 1 +13.2 -0.3 +11.5
  Jan 26, 2019 171   Nebraska Omaha W 83-73 82%     16 - 6 7 - 1 +6.8 +0.3 +6.1
  Jan 31, 2019 280   @ Oral Roberts W 86-80 83%     17 - 6 8 - 1 +2.1 +2.4 -0.8
  Feb 03, 2019 297   @ Denver W 92-82 85%     18 - 6 9 - 1 +5.0 +12.0 -7.2
  Feb 09, 2019 273   North Dakota W 80-55 92%     19 - 6 10 - 1 +15.8 +2.7 +12.6
  Feb 14, 2019 171   @ Nebraska Omaha L 84-85 65%     19 - 7 10 - 2 +1.4 +4.3 -2.9
  Feb 16, 2019 194   @ North Dakota St. W 78-77 71%     20 - 7 11 - 2 +1.7 +10.0 -8.2
  Feb 21, 2019 181   Purdue Fort Wayne W 90-80 84%    
  Feb 23, 2019 231   South Dakota W 82-68 90%    
  Mar 02, 2019 285   Western Illinois W 84-68 94%    
Projected Record 22.7 - 7.3 13.7 - 2.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 1.4 21.2 71.4 94.1 1st
2nd 0.1 1.7 4.1 5.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
Total 0.1 3.2 25.3 71.4 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2 100.0% 71.4    59.7 11.8
13-3 83.8% 21.2    11.7 9.5
12-4 45.1% 1.4    0.3 0.8 0.4
11-5 8.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 94.1% 94.1 71.6 22.0 0.4 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2 71.4% 60.3% 60.3% 12.9 0.0 0.6 9.7 25.2 7.4 0.2 28.4
13-3 25.3% 54.3% 54.3% 13.8 0.2 4.0 8.1 1.4 0.0 11.5
12-4 3.2% 47.8% 47.8% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.6
11-5 0.1% 46.9% 46.9% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 58.4% 58.4% 0.0% 13.2 0.0 0.6 9.9 29.4 16.5 2.0 0.0 41.6 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 43.1% 100.0% 12.9 0.0 1.3 22.6 58.5 17.2 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 11.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 10.6%
Lose Out 0.0%