South Dakota
Summit League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.4#231
Achievement Rating-7.6#278
Pace67.7#214
Improvement-5.0#336

Offense
Total Offense-3.4#272
First Shot-0.6#199
After Offensive Rebound-2.7#336
Layup/Dunks-2.2#258
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#115
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#261
Freethrows+2.9#22
Improvement+1.1#129

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#196
First Shot-2.8#256
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#37
Layups/Dunks-1.3#241
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#101
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#129
Freethrows-3.7#346
Improvement-6.1#350
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.1% 3.9% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.7% 3.5% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 12.6% 3.0% 21.6%
First Four2.7% 3.3% 2.3%
First Round2.0% 2.6% 1.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Western Illinois (Away) - 48.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2018 307   Northern Arizona W 90-74 74%     1 - 0 +4.8 +4.7 -0.8
  Nov 16, 2018 225   High Point L 56-60 48%     1 - 1 -7.9 -7.4 -1.1
  Nov 18, 2018 239   Air Force L 62-65 51%     1 - 2 -7.6 -10.6 +2.9
  Nov 19, 2018 219   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 58-52 46%     2 - 2 +2.7 -14.6 +17.1
  Nov 27, 2018 33   @ Baylor L 57-63 5%     2 - 3 +8.5 -3.2 +11.0
  Dec 01, 2018 200   Cal St. Bakersfield W 68-56 53%     3 - 3 +6.9 -2.9 +10.8
  Dec 04, 2018 66   @ Colorado L 58-82 10%     3 - 4 -14.1 -8.5 -5.7
  Dec 08, 2018 229   UMKC L 63-65 60%     3 - 5 -8.9 -8.6 -0.5
  Dec 16, 2018 178   @ Colorado St. W 68-63 28%     4 - 5 +6.6 +1.3 +6.0
  Dec 18, 2018 11   @ Kansas L 53-89 2%     4 - 6 -16.8 -12.7 -1.9
  Dec 21, 2018 127   Southern Miss L 60-66 32%     4 - 7 -5.6 -6.0 -0.3
  Dec 29, 2018 194   @ North Dakota St. L 65-71 31%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -5.3 -5.8 +0.1
  Jan 02, 2019 297   @ Denver W 71-70 52%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -4.0 -0.7 -3.2
  Jan 06, 2019 77   South Dakota St. L 61-79 22%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -14.4 -12.1 -2.4
  Jan 13, 2019 181   Purdue Fort Wayne W 87-73 49%     6 - 9 2 - 2 +10.0 +4.0 +5.2
  Jan 17, 2019 280   @ Oral Roberts L 74-77 48%     6 - 10 2 - 3 -6.9 -3.0 -3.9
  Jan 20, 2019 171   @ Nebraska Omaha L 68-75 26%     6 - 11 2 - 4 -4.6 -2.2 -3.1
  Jan 23, 2019 273   @ North Dakota W 70-56 47%     7 - 11 3 - 4 +10.3 -0.2 +11.1
  Jan 26, 2019 285   Western Illinois L 59-65 70%     7 - 12 3 - 5 -15.8 -14.8 -1.3
  Jan 30, 2019 181   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 71-102 28%     7 - 13 3 - 6 -29.5 -11.5 -14.8
  Feb 07, 2019 171   Nebraska Omaha L 102-107 35%     7 - 14 3 - 7 -5.4 +8.6 -13.3
  Feb 10, 2019 280   Oral Roberts L 72-86 69%     7 - 15 3 - 8 -23.5 -3.5 -20.8
  Feb 16, 2019 285   @ Western Illinois L 68-69 49%    
  Feb 20, 2019 297   Denver W 74-68 73%    
  Feb 23, 2019 77   @ South Dakota St. L 68-82 10%    
  Feb 28, 2019 194   North Dakota St. W 71-70 52%    
  Mar 02, 2019 273   North Dakota W 72-67 68%    
Projected Record 9.5 - 17.5 5.5 - 10.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.5 0.5 4th
5th 11.5 13.5 1.2 26.2 5th
6th 12.7 21.1 2.6 36.4 6th
7th 2.5 15.8 1.1 19.4 7th
8th 0.4 9.9 3.3 0.0 13.6 8th
9th 2.1 1.7 0.0 3.8 9th
Total 2.5 14.2 31.7 33.8 16.1 1.7 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8 1.7% 6.1% 6.1% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.6
7-9 16.1% 4.9% 4.9% 16.0 0.0 0.8 15.3
6-10 33.8% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 1.2 32.5
5-11 31.7% 2.6% 2.6% 16.0 0.8 30.9
4-12 14.2% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 14.1
3-13 2.5% 2.5
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.1% 3.1% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 3.0 96.9 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 15.2 3.8 72.1 24.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 2.5%