South Florida
American Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#193
Achievement Rating+2.2#146
Pace65.1#298
Improvement-0.8#237

Offense
Total Offense-3.2#261
First Shot-1.7#232
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#260
Layup/Dunks+2.8#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#314
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#297
Freethrows+2.9#45
Improvement+0.1#158

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#131
First Shot+0.8#146
After Offensive Rebounds+0.5#143
Layups/Dunks+3.9#51
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#139
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.7#301
Freethrows-0.1#178
Improvement-0.8#248
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.9 12.6 13.8
.500 or above 39.3% 48.0% 24.1%
.500 or above in Conference 10.0% 11.8% 7.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 24.1% 21.4% 28.9%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Away) - 63.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 351   Alabama A&M W 80-63 95%     1 - 0 -3.8 -1.9 -2.3
  Nov 12, 2018 194   Austin Peay W 74-70 62%     2 - 0 -1.0 -10.7 +9.1
  Nov 16, 2018 153   Ohio W 73-46 40%     3 - 0 +27.6 -3.2 +28.5
  Nov 18, 2018 87   Georgetown L 73-76 23%     3 - 1 +2.9 -5.0 +8.1
  Nov 21, 2018 337   Florida A&M W 69-59 90%     4 - 1 -5.7 -3.8 -1.2
  Nov 24, 2018 184   The Citadel L 81-84 60%     4 - 2 -7.4 -2.8 -4.5
  Nov 28, 2018 338   Stetson W 75-71 90%     5 - 2 -11.7 -4.2 -7.4
  Nov 30, 2018 166   Colgate W 73-63 56%     6 - 2 +6.6 -1.0 +7.8
  Dec 09, 2018 307   @ Charlotte W 66-62 64%    
  Dec 15, 2018 180   Appalachian St. W 73-71 59%    
  Dec 18, 2018 229   @ Florida International L 78-79 47%    
  Dec 21, 2018 345   Alcorn St. W 73-56 94%    
  Dec 29, 2018 266   Fairleigh Dickinson W 73-66 74%    
  Jan 02, 2019 78   Connecticut L 69-74 31%    
  Jan 05, 2019 120   @ Tulsa L 62-71 21%    
  Jan 09, 2019 212   Tulane W 70-66 65%    
  Jan 12, 2019 68   @ Temple L 60-72 14%    
  Jan 15, 2019 25   @ Cincinnati L 52-70 5%    
  Jan 19, 2019 33   Houston L 56-67 16%    
  Jan 22, 2019 115   Wichita St. L 66-69 39%    
  Jan 26, 2019 259   @ East Carolina W 68-67 52%    
  Feb 02, 2019 116   Memphis L 71-74 40%    
  Feb 07, 2019 114   @ SMU L 61-70 21%    
  Feb 10, 2019 259   East Carolina W 71-64 73%    
  Feb 13, 2019 43   @ Central Florida L 55-70 9%    
  Feb 16, 2019 68   Temple L 63-69 30%    
  Feb 23, 2019 33   @ Houston L 53-70 7%    
  Feb 27, 2019 43   Central Florida L 58-67 21%    
  Mar 03, 2019 78   @ Connecticut L 66-77 16%    
  Mar 06, 2019 212   @ Tulane L 67-69 43%    
  Mar 10, 2019 114   SMU L 64-67 39%    
Projected Record 14.8 - 16.2 5.4 - 12.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.7 5th
6th 0.2 1.4 2.1 0.6 0.0 4.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.5 1.5 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.1 4.8 2.7 0.3 0.0 10.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.9 4.2 0.6 0.0 15.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 5.0 8.8 5.6 1.0 0.0 21.3 10th
11th 0.1 1.9 6.4 8.4 4.3 0.7 0.0 21.8 11th
12th 0.6 2.7 5.2 4.3 1.7 0.2 0.0 14.8 12th
Total 0.6 2.8 7.0 11.6 15.5 16.5 15.5 12.0 8.5 5.1 2.8 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 50.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 81.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 37.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 14.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 32.9% 11.4% 21.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 24.2%
13-5 0.2% 12.5% 3.4% 9.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 9.5%
12-6 0.5% 5.0% 3.0% 1.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 2.0%
11-7 1.4% 3.5% 2.7% 0.8% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.3 0.8%
10-8 2.8% 1.2% 1.0% 0.1% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.7 0.1%
9-9 5.1% 0.4% 0.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.1
8-10 8.5% 0.3% 0.3% 13.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.4
7-11 12.0% 0.2% 0.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.0
6-12 15.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.5
5-13 16.5% 0.1% 0.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 16.4
4-14 15.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.5
3-15 11.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.6
2-16 7.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 7.0
1-17 2.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.8
0-18 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7 0.1%