Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-9.5#315
Achievement Rating-11.4#317
Pace69.6#161
Improvement-3.5#308

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#296
First Shot-3.3#275
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#301
Layup/Dunks-2.6#275
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#110
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#175
Freethrows-1.8#302
Improvement+0.1#187

Defense
Total Defense-4.4#291
First Shot-4.8#311
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#139
Layups/Dunks-0.6#200
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#134
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#311
Freethrows-1.2#256
Improvement-3.6#324
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 41.1% 8.2% 44.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Austin Peay (Away) - 8.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 121   @ Saint Louis L 65-75 8%     0 - 1 -3.8 -1.7 -2.0
  Nov 10, 2018 156   @ Bradley L 57-68 12%     0 - 2 -7.8 -11.3 +3.3
  Nov 16, 2018 248   Jacksonville W 77-71 33%     1 - 2 +0.9 -1.1 +1.7
  Nov 17, 2018 292   Chattanooga W 63-42 42%     2 - 2 +13.6 -14.7 +28.5
  Nov 19, 2018 220   @ South Alabama L 58-79 20%     2 - 3 -21.6 -15.0 -6.7
  Dec 01, 2018 285   Western Illinois L 63-70 51%     2 - 4 -16.8 -12.8 -4.1
  Dec 04, 2018 350   @ Mississippi Valley W 77-57 70%     3 - 4 +5.1 -2.5 +7.3
  Dec 08, 2018 145   Southern Illinois L 73-83 21%     3 - 5 -11.2 +4.0 -15.8
  Dec 15, 2018 278   @ The Citadel L 74-86 29%     3 - 6 -15.9 -12.6 -1.9
  Dec 17, 2018 18   @ Florida St. L 68-85 1%     3 - 7 +1.2 +5.0 -3.9
  Dec 21, 2018 169   Abilene Christian L 68-70 27%     3 - 8 -5.1 -8.4 +3.4
  Jan 03, 2019 332   @ SIU Edwardsville L 88-94 47%     3 - 9 0 - 1 -14.8 +9.5 -24.2
  Jan 05, 2019 300   Tennessee Martin W 74-69 54%     4 - 9 1 - 1 -5.7 -19.0 +12.5
  Jan 10, 2019 137   Austin Peay L 60-78 20%     4 - 10 1 - 2 -18.7 -10.9 -9.0
  Jan 12, 2019 71   Murray St. L 67-85 11%     4 - 11 1 - 3 -13.8 +1.3 -16.8
  Jan 17, 2019 268   @ Morehead St. L 69-73 27%     4 - 12 1 - 4 -7.3 -0.6 -7.1
  Jan 19, 2019 277   @ Eastern Kentucky L 83-85 29%     4 - 13 1 - 5 -5.8 +1.4 -7.0
  Jan 24, 2019 332   SIU Edwardsville L 86-87 68%     4 - 14 1 - 6 -15.3 -13.9 -1.2
  Jan 26, 2019 296   Eastern Illinois W 64-59 54%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -5.5 -9.8 +4.8
  Jan 31, 2019 69   @ Belmont L 71-97 5%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -16.2 -8.0 -5.2
  Feb 02, 2019 312   @ Tennessee St. L 50-79 37%     5 - 16 2 - 8 -35.0 -20.0 -17.6
  Feb 07, 2019 328   Tennessee Tech W 71-66 67%     6 - 16 3 - 8 -9.1 -10.3 +0.8
  Feb 09, 2019 129   Jacksonville St. L 64-81 18%     6 - 17 3 - 9 -16.8 -6.7 -10.0
  Feb 14, 2019 300   @ Tennessee Martin L 72-81 33%     6 - 18 3 - 10 -14.1 -5.7 -8.4
  Feb 16, 2019 296   @ Eastern Illinois W 88-79 33%     7 - 18 4 - 10 +4.1 +9.6 -5.7
  Feb 21, 2019 137   @ Austin Peay L 68-82 9%    
  Feb 23, 2019 71   @ Murray St. L 64-83 3%    
  Feb 28, 2019 312   Tennessee St. W 72-70 58%    
  Mar 02, 2019 69   Belmont L 71-85 10%    
Projected Record 7.8 - 21.2 4.8 - 13.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.1 0.0 0.1 5th
6th 0.5 0.5 0.0 1.0 6th
7th 3.6 0.4 0.0 4.0 7th
8th 4.0 5.9 0.1 10.0 8th
9th 19.2 1.8 0.0 21.0 9th
10th 4.1 23.9 0.1 28.2 10th
11th 21.8 6.1 27.9 11th
12th 7.8 0.1 8.0 12th
Total 33.7 53.3 11.9 1.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 0.0% 0.0
7-11 1.0% 1.0
6-12 11.9% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 11.9
5-13 53.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 53.3
4-14 33.7% 33.7
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 33.7%