Southeast Missouri St.
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.3#276
Achievement Rating-7.4#260
Pace71.3#140
Improvement-1.0#254

Offense
Total Offense-3.6#270
First Shot-1.3#223
After Offensive Rebound-2.2#304
Layup/Dunks-0.9#206
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#87
Freethrows-3.5#323
Improvement+0.5#126

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#259
First Shot-1.0#203
After Offensive Rebounds-1.8#290
Layups/Dunks+0.5#161
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#136
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#197
Freethrows-1.5#264
Improvement-1.6#298
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.6% 1.1% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.4 15.2 15.5
.500 or above 15.3% 29.4% 11.2%
.500 or above in Conference 39.0% 48.7% 36.2%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.7% 4.2% 7.5%
First Four0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.6% 1.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Away) - 22.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 80   @ Saint Louis L 65-75 8%     0 - 1 -0.5 +0.7 -1.1
  Nov 10, 2018 128   @ Bradley L 57-68 13%     0 - 2 -5.2 -11.0 +5.7
  Nov 16, 2018 304   Jacksonville W 77-71 56%     1 - 2 -1.9 -1.6 -0.5
  Nov 17, 2018 308   Chattanooga W 63-42 59%     2 - 2 +12.4 -11.9 +24.5
  Nov 19, 2018 195   @ South Alabama L 58-79 24%     2 - 3 -20.0 -12.3 -7.8
  Dec 01, 2018 268   Western Illinois L 63-70 60%     2 - 4 -16.0 -11.4 -4.8
  Dec 04, 2018 346   @ Mississippi Valley W 77-57 74%     3 - 4 +6.9 -3.6 +10.2
  Dec 08, 2018 123   Southern Illinois L 73-83 26%     3 - 5 -9.6 +5.5 -15.8
  Dec 15, 2018 184   @ The Citadel L 84-92 23%    
  Dec 17, 2018 15   @ Florida St. L 63-87 1%    
  Dec 21, 2018 164   Abilene Christian L 67-70 38%    
  Jan 03, 2019 327   @ SIU Edwardsville W 75-73 57%    
  Jan 05, 2019 300   Tennessee Martin W 79-75 65%    
  Jan 10, 2019 196   Austin Peay L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 12, 2019 63   Murray St. L 63-74 15%    
  Jan 17, 2019 283   @ Morehead St. L 72-75 41%    
  Jan 19, 2019 272   @ Eastern Kentucky L 82-85 39%    
  Jan 24, 2019 327   SIU Edwardsville W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 26, 2019 318   Eastern Illinois W 74-68 72%    
  Jan 31, 2019 86   @ Belmont L 73-88 8%    
  Feb 02, 2019 278   @ Tennessee St. L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 07, 2019 332   Tennessee Tech W 77-68 78%    
  Feb 09, 2019 145   Jacksonville St. L 70-75 33%    
  Feb 14, 2019 300   @ Tennessee Martin L 76-78 44%    
  Feb 16, 2019 318   @ Eastern Illinois W 71-70 52%    
  Feb 21, 2019 196   @ Austin Peay L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 23, 2019 63   @ Murray St. L 60-77 6%    
  Feb 28, 2019 278   Tennessee St. W 73-70 61%    
  Mar 02, 2019 86   Belmont L 76-85 21%    
Projected Record 11.4 - 17.6 7.8 - 10.2





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.2 1.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 4.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 3.2 3.8 2.0 0.5 0.0 10.7 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.6 5.2 2.1 0.4 0.0 15.2 5th
6th 0.1 1.7 6.0 5.4 1.6 0.1 0.0 14.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.7 5.5 1.4 0.1 13.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.3 5.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 11.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.0 1.6 0.1 9.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.0 1.7 0.1 0.0 8.1 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 5.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.3 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.9 5.7 9.0 12.4 14.8 14.9 13.5 10.4 7.3 4.4 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 82.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 40.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 10.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 16.4% 16.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 12.0% 12.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.9% 9.4% 9.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
13-5 2.2% 4.6% 4.6% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.1
12-6 4.4% 2.7% 2.7% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 4.3
11-7 7.3% 1.6% 1.6% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 7.2
10-8 10.4% 0.8% 0.8% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.3
9-9 13.5% 0.4% 0.4% 15.9 0.0 0.0 13.5
8-10 14.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 14.9
7-11 14.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.7
6-12 12.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.4
5-13 9.0% 9.0
4-14 5.7% 5.7
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 15.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 99.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%