Southern Miss
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#146
Achievement Rating+4.9#118
Pace64.0#322
Improvement-1.4#282

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#178
First Shot+1.2#146
After Offensive Rebound-1.3#249
Layup/Dunks+0.0#177
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#110
Freethrows-3.0#313
Improvement-1.9#313

Defense
Total Defense+1.2#131
First Shot+0.2#171
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#104
Layups/Dunks+5.7#20
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#206
3 Pt Jumpshots-7.6#348
Freethrows+2.5#51
Improvement+0.5#136
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.0% 12.4% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Average Seed 13.1 12.4 13.2
.500 or above 72.5% 91.7% 70.8%
.500 or above in Conference 72.6% 85.4% 71.4%
Conference Champion 7.8% 13.7% 7.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.6% 0.4% 1.7%
First Four0.3% 0.7% 0.2%
First Round6.9% 12.1% 6.4%
Second Round1.0% 2.7% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.2% 0.2% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas St. (Away) - 8.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2018 101   @ SMU W 74-64 25%     1 - 0 +18.1 +14.9 +4.9
  Nov 15, 2018 203   @ Troy W 81-66 52%     2 - 0 +15.6 +16.3 +1.0
  Nov 20, 2018 187   North Florida L 48-64 61%     2 - 1 -17.8 -30.3 +13.7
  Nov 21, 2018 307   Western Carolina W 68-63 81%     3 - 1 -3.3 -8.1 +4.8
  Nov 28, 2018 197   South Alabama W 71-67 72%     4 - 1 -1.0 +3.9 -4.5
  Dec 15, 2018 117   @ Wichita St. L 60-63 29%     4 - 2 +3.9 -8.2 +12.1
  Dec 19, 2018 25   @ Kansas St. L 55-70 8%    
  Dec 21, 2018 166   @ South Dakota L 64-66 44%    
  Dec 29, 2018 121   @ Louisiana Tech L 66-72 30%    
  Jan 03, 2019 317   @ Rice W 76-68 77%    
  Jan 05, 2019 125   @ North Texas L 64-69 32%    
  Jan 10, 2019 250   Middle Tennessee W 70-61 81%    
  Jan 12, 2019 193   UAB W 70-64 71%    
  Jan 17, 2019 311   @ Charlotte W 68-61 72%    
  Jan 19, 2019 93   @ Old Dominion L 57-65 25%    
  Jan 24, 2019 90   Western Kentucky L 68-70 43%    
  Jan 26, 2019 126   Marshall W 75-74 53%    
  Jan 31, 2019 212   @ Florida International W 80-79 54%    
  Feb 02, 2019 219   @ Florida Atlantic W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 09, 2019 121   Louisiana Tech W 70-69 51%    
  Feb 14, 2019 182   Texas San Antonio W 73-67 68%    
  Feb 16, 2019 217   UTEP W 69-62 74%    
Projected Record 12.4 - 9.6 7.9 - 6.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.9 2.9 2.7 1.2 0.2 7.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 4.7 3.6 0.6 9.6 2nd
3rd 0.2 4.0 5.3 1.0 0.0 10.5 3rd
4th 0.0 2.7 6.6 1.6 0.0 10.9 4th
5th 1.0 6.5 3.5 0.1 11.2 5th
6th 0.2 4.2 5.8 0.4 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 1.7 6.5 1.5 0.0 9.6 7th
8th 0.5 5.0 3.4 0.2 9.1 8th
9th 0.2 2.1 4.2 0.5 0.0 7.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 3.2 1.4 0.0 5.4 10th
11th 0.3 2.0 1.5 0.1 3.9 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 1.2 0.3 2.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.8 0.3 1.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 14th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.2 4.4 7.6 12.5 15.7 16.9 15.4 12.5 7.4 3.3 1.2 0.2 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.2    0.2
13-1 100.0% 1.2    1.0 0.1
12-2 81.1% 2.7    1.5 1.0 0.2
11-3 38.5% 2.9    0.8 1.2 0.7 0.2 0.0
10-4 6.8% 0.9    0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
9-5 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 7.8% 7.8 3.6 2.5 1.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.2% 36.4% 27.3% 9.1% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 12.5%
13-1 1.2% 30.2% 22.4% 7.8% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.8 10.0%
12-2 3.3% 22.2% 18.3% 3.9% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 2.6 4.8%
11-3 7.4% 22.5% 22.1% 0.4% 12.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.1 5.7 0.5%
10-4 12.5% 11.2% 11.1% 0.1% 13.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.4 0.0 11.1 0.1%
9-5 15.4% 8.7% 8.7% 13.7 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.2 0.0 14.0
8-6 16.9% 4.4% 4.4% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.2 16.2
7-7 15.7% 2.5% 2.5% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 15.3
6-8 12.5% 1.7% 1.7% 15.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 12.3
5-9 7.6% 0.9% 0.9% 15.3 0.1 0.0 7.5
4-10 4.4% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.0 4.4
3-11 2.2% 2.2
2-12 0.6% 0.6
1-13 0.1% 0.1
0-14 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.0% 6.7% 0.3% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.1 1.9 0.7 0.1 93.0 0.3%