Southern Utah
Big Sky
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-5.3#253
Achievement Rating-2.6#196
Pace76.1#59
Improvement-2.4#319

Offense
Total Offense-2.0#235
First Shot-2.1#242
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#159
Layup/Dunks+2.6#101
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#300
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#200
Freethrows-1.3#244
Improvement+0.9#98

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#273
First Shot-0.8#198
After Offensive Rebounds-2.5#319
Layups/Dunks+1.1#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#56
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#178
Freethrows-3.8#329
Improvement-3.4#343
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.1% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.3 15.2 15.6
.500 or above 30.7% 41.0% 18.3%
.500 or above in Conference 42.9% 49.4% 35.0%
Conference Champion 2.5% 3.2% 1.5%
Last Place in Conference 10.7% 7.9% 14.1%
First Four0.9% 0.9% 0.9%
First Round2.8% 3.6% 1.8%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pepperdine (Home) - 54.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 325   @ San Jose St. W 66-59 60%     1 - 0 -0.8 -7.6 +6.9
  Nov 18, 2018 169   @ Seattle W 73-70 23%     2 - 0 +5.5 -0.5 +5.8
  Nov 23, 2018 136   @ UNLV L 71-76 16%     2 - 1 +0.3 +3.2 -3.0
  Dec 05, 2018 197   @ Long Beach St. L 71-82 28%     2 - 2 -10.2 -9.7 +0.9
  Dec 08, 2018 173   @ Central Michigan L 86-95 24%     2 - 3 -6.8 +7.9 -14.2
  Dec 15, 2018 225   Pepperdine W 81-80 55%    
  Dec 21, 2018 94   @ USC L 72-86 10%    
  Dec 29, 2018 297   Montana St. W 83-78 69%    
  Dec 31, 2018 111   Montana L 72-79 27%    
  Jan 03, 2019 244   @ Idaho St. L 77-80 38%    
  Jan 05, 2019 154   @ Weber St. L 76-85 21%    
  Jan 12, 2019 318   Northern Arizona W 83-76 75%    
  Jan 17, 2019 234   Portland St. W 84-82 58%    
  Jan 19, 2019 228   Sacramento St. W 77-75 56%    
  Jan 24, 2019 137   @ Northern Colorado L 76-86 18%    
  Jan 28, 2019 318   @ Northern Arizona W 80-79 55%    
  Feb 02, 2019 246   @ Eastern Washington L 73-76 39%    
  Feb 04, 2019 286   @ Idaho L 74-75 45%    
  Feb 07, 2019 154   Weber St. L 79-82 40%    
  Feb 09, 2019 244   Idaho St. W 80-77 59%    
  Feb 14, 2019 228   @ Sacramento St. L 74-78 36%    
  Feb 16, 2019 234   @ Portland St. L 81-85 37%    
  Feb 21, 2019 246   Eastern Washington W 76-73 60%    
  Feb 23, 2019 286   Idaho W 77-72 66%    
  Mar 02, 2019 111   @ Montana L 69-82 13%    
  Mar 04, 2019 297   @ Montana St. L 80-81 47%    
  Mar 07, 2019 137   Northern Colorado L 79-83 36%    
Projected Record 11.6 - 15.4 9.0 - 11.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 1.3 1.7 1.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 5.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.9 1.4 0.4 0.0 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.0 3.7 1.4 0.2 0.0 10.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 1.8 4.8 4.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 5.1 4.0 1.0 0.1 0.0 12.3 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 1.8 4.9 4.1 1.0 0.1 12.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.7 4.6 3.8 0.9 0.1 11.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.7 4.0 3.4 0.9 0.0 10.3 9th
10th 0.1 0.5 1.8 3.2 2.5 0.7 0.0 0.0 8.8 10th
11th 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.7 1.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 6.5 11th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.0 6.3 8.7 10.7 11.7 12.1 11.4 10.1 7.9 5.7 3.7 2.2 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 97.4% 0.2    0.2 0.0
17-3 83.5% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
16-4 59.2% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 30.7% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
14-6 10.4% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.5% 2.5 1.3 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.0% 19.0% 16.7% 2.4% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.9%
18-2 0.2% 29.8% 29.8% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
17-3 0.5% 23.7% 23.7% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
16-4 1.1% 19.1% 19.1% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.9
15-5 2.2% 15.5% 15.5% 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 1.9
14-6 3.7% 11.5% 11.5% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 3.3
13-7 5.7% 9.2% 9.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 5.2
12-8 7.9% 5.9% 5.9% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 7.5
11-9 10.1% 4.2% 4.2% 15.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 9.7
10-10 11.4% 2.6% 2.6% 15.9 0.0 0.3 11.1
9-11 12.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.9
8-12 11.7% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 11.6
7-13 10.7% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 10.6
6-14 8.7% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 8.6
5-15 6.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.3
4-16 4.0% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 4.0
3-17 2.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.3
2-18 1.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.0
1-19 0.3% 0.3
0-20 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.7 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%