St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+0.7#151
Achievement Rating-6.8#257
Pace66.8#258
Improvement+4.9#2

Offense
Total Offense-1.5#216
First Shot+1.2#149
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#329
Layup/Dunks+0.5#159
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#69
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#158
Freethrows-2.1#283
Improvement+1.1#83

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#106
First Shot+2.7#90
After Offensive Rebounds-0.5#215
Layups/Dunks+2.6#83
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#129
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#192
Freethrows-0.1#177
Improvement+3.8#3
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.6% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.7 14.3
.500 or above 23.4% 38.5% 18.0%
.500 or above in Conference 50.1% 58.4% 47.1%
Conference Champion 2.8% 4.0% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 4.2% 2.7% 4.7%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round2.6% 3.5% 2.3%
Second Round0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Vermont (Away) - 25.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 162   Bucknell L 85-88 64%     0 - 1 -6.0 +0.6 -6.2
  Nov 10, 2018 337   Jackson St. W 67-36 93%     1 - 1 +15.4 -13.0 +26.8
  Nov 12, 2018 241   @ Niagara L 72-80 60%     1 - 2 -9.9 -2.7 -7.0
  Nov 19, 2018 108   Georgia St. L 65-75 35%     1 - 3 -5.4 -5.6 -0.1
  Nov 20, 2018 127   Boise St. L 52-72 41%     1 - 4 -17.1 -14.1 -4.9
  Nov 21, 2018 130   Akron L 49-61 42%     1 - 5 -9.3 -11.1 -0.6
  Nov 28, 2018 226   Canisius W 70-55 77%     2 - 5 +8.0 -1.7 +10.3
  Dec 01, 2018 353   Delaware St. W 90-61 98%     3 - 5 +5.3 +1.8 +1.9
  Dec 05, 2018 269   Siena W 82-40 82%     4 - 5 +32.9 +12.1 +26.6
  Dec 08, 2018 23   Buffalo L 62-80 19%     4 - 6 -8.0 -8.2 +0.5
  Dec 18, 2018 110   @ Vermont L 63-70 26%    
  Dec 21, 2018 85   @ Northeastern L 66-74 22%    
  Dec 29, 2018 31   @ Syracuse L 57-72 9%    
  Jan 06, 2019 171   @ George Mason L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 09, 2019 104   Saint Joseph's L 73-74 45%    
  Jan 12, 2019 239   Fordham W 68-60 78%    
  Jan 16, 2019 113   @ Rhode Island L 62-69 27%    
  Jan 19, 2019 69   Dayton L 66-69 38%    
  Jan 23, 2019 139   @ Massachusetts L 70-74 35%    
  Jan 26, 2019 172   @ Richmond L 69-71 44%    
  Feb 01, 2019 79   Davidson L 66-69 40%    
  Feb 06, 2019 160   @ Duquesne L 67-69 41%    
  Feb 09, 2019 88   Virginia Commonwealth L 63-65 42%    
  Feb 12, 2019 104   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-77 26%    
  Feb 17, 2019 171   George Mason W 71-67 65%    
  Feb 20, 2019 258   La Salle W 78-69 80%    
  Feb 23, 2019 239   @ Fordham W 65-63 59%    
  Feb 27, 2019 160   Duquesne W 70-66 62%    
  Mar 02, 2019 279   @ George Washington W 70-66 65%    
  Mar 06, 2019 79   @ Davidson L 63-72 22%    
  Mar 09, 2019 80   Saint Louis L 62-65 41%    
Projected Record 13.1 - 17.9 8.5 - 9.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.2 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 4.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.5 2.8 1.3 0.2 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 1.2 3.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 7.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.3 0.4 0.0 8.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 3.1 4.8 1.1 0.0 9.4 6th
7th 0.1 2.2 5.6 2.1 0.1 10.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.3 5.3 3.6 0.3 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.7 4.2 4.7 0.8 0.0 10.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.0 4.9 1.6 0.1 9.8 10th
11th 0.2 2.1 4.1 2.0 0.1 0.0 8.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.4 3.0 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.9 14th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.8 6.7 9.9 12.7 14.2 13.9 12.4 9.8 6.7 4.0 2.0 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 96.8% 0.3    0.2 0.0
15-3 80.6% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 50.4% 1.0    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 16.5% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 35.6% 27.1% 8.5% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.6%
16-2 0.3% 22.0% 19.9% 2.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 2.7%
15-3 0.9% 17.9% 17.0% 0.9% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1.1%
14-4 2.0% 13.7% 13.7% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.7
13-5 4.0% 9.4% 9.4% 13.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.6
12-6 6.7% 7.4% 7.4% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.2
11-7 9.8% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 9.4 0.0%
10-8 12.4% 2.4% 2.4% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 12.1
9-9 13.9% 1.5% 1.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 13.7
8-10 14.2% 1.1% 1.1% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 14.0
7-11 12.7% 0.6% 0.6% 15.8 0.0 0.1 12.6
6-12 9.9% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 9.9
5-13 6.7% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 6.7
4-14 3.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.8
3-15 1.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.8
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.3 97.4 0.0%