St. Francis Brooklyn
Northeast
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.2#289
Achievement Rating-2.8#198
Pace71.4#138
Improvement-2.1#317

Offense
Total Offense-4.4#294
First Shot-2.3#245
After Offensive Rebound-2.1#294
Layup/Dunks-3.4#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#150
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#108
Freethrows-1.7#260
Improvement-1.5#299

Defense
Total Defense-2.8#261
First Shot-3.7#284
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#113
Layups/Dunks-4.5#313
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#267
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#50
Freethrows-2.2#295
Improvement-0.6#234
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.9% 9.2% 6.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 44.9% 55.1% 31.2%
.500 or above in Conference 57.1% 62.2% 50.2%
Conference Champion 8.8% 10.6% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 7.0% 5.3% 9.1%
First Four5.1% 5.5% 4.6%
First Round5.1% 6.2% 3.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Umass Lowell (Home) - 57.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2018 100   @ Boston College L 69-74 8%     0 - 1 +3.3 +2.5 +0.6
  Nov 14, 2018 172   @ Richmond L 66-88 19%     0 - 2 -19.7 -5.5 -15.4
  Nov 18, 2018 317   @ Lafayette W 84-72 48%     1 - 2 +5.4 -2.2 +6.3
  Nov 23, 2018 179   IUPUI L 48-68 29%     1 - 3 -21.3 -25.1 +4.5
  Nov 24, 2018 241   @ Niagara W 75-63 31%     2 - 3 +10.1 +0.6 +9.2
  Nov 28, 2018 305   @ Presbyterian W 90-86 43%     3 - 3 -1.2 +4.1 -5.6
  Dec 08, 2018 209   @ NJIT L 60-82 24%     3 - 4 -21.8 -13.1 -8.4
  Dec 11, 2018 268   Umass Lowell W 80-78 57%    
  Dec 15, 2018 265   St. Peter's W 67-65 57%    
  Dec 19, 2018 50   @ St. John's L 68-88 3%    
  Dec 23, 2018 310   Manhattan W 65-60 66%    
  Jan 03, 2019 339   @ Bryant W 78-75 59%    
  Jan 05, 2019 259   @ Wagner L 67-71 34%    
  Jan 10, 2019 281   Robert Morris W 71-68 60%    
  Jan 12, 2019 208   St. Francis (PA) L 74-75 45%    
  Jan 19, 2019 290   Sacred Heart W 78-75 61%    
  Jan 21, 2019 244   @ LIU Brooklyn L 74-79 32%    
  Jan 24, 2019 263   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 72-76 35%    
  Jan 26, 2019 340   @ Mount St. Mary's W 74-71 61%    
  Jan 31, 2019 260   @ Central Connecticut St. L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 02, 2019 290   @ Sacred Heart L 75-78 39%    
  Feb 07, 2019 259   Wagner W 70-68 55%    
  Feb 09, 2019 263   Fairleigh Dickinson W 75-73 56%    
  Feb 14, 2019 244   LIU Brooklyn W 77-76 53%    
  Feb 16, 2019 260   Central Connecticut St. W 73-71 55%    
  Feb 21, 2019 208   @ St. Francis (PA) L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 23, 2019 281   @ Robert Morris L 68-71 38%    
  Feb 28, 2019 339   Bryant W 81-72 77%    
  Mar 02, 2019 340   Mount St. Mary's W 77-68 79%    
Projected Record 13.9 - 15.1 9.0 - 9.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Northeast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.5 2.4 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 8.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.0 2.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 10.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.6 5.2 2.7 0.5 0.0 11.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.9 2.9 0.4 0.0 11.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.2 6.0 3.4 0.3 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.6 4.1 0.5 0.0 12.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 5.1 3.9 0.7 0.0 11.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 1.9 4.1 3.4 0.7 0.0 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.8 2.7 2.0 0.4 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.3 5.5 8.3 10.9 12.6 13.5 12.7 10.9 8.3 5.7 3.3 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.0 Total



Northeast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 98.4% 0.7    0.6 0.0
15-3 91.6% 1.6    1.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 73.5% 2.4    1.6 0.8 0.1 0.0
13-5 44.3% 2.5    1.0 1.1 0.4 0.0
12-6 14.5% 1.2    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-7 1.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 8.8% 8.8 5.0 2.6 0.9 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 41.4% 41.4% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.2% 40.8% 40.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.7% 35.3% 35.3% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4
15-3 1.8% 29.9% 29.9% 15.3 0.0 0.3 0.2 1.2
14-4 3.3% 22.7% 22.7% 15.6 0.0 0.2 0.5 2.5
13-5 5.7% 18.0% 18.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 0.8 4.7
12-6 8.3% 14.2% 14.2% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 7.1
11-7 10.9% 11.3% 11.3% 16.0 0.0 1.2 9.7
10-8 12.7% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 1.1 11.6
9-9 13.5% 6.3% 6.3% 16.0 0.9 12.7
8-10 12.6% 4.3% 4.3% 16.0 0.5 12.0
7-11 10.9% 2.4% 2.4% 16.0 0.3 10.6
6-12 8.3% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 8.2
5-13 5.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 5.4
4-14 3.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 3.3
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.6% 0.6
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.9% 7.9% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 1.0 6.7 92.1 0.0%