St. John's
Big East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#50
Achievement Rating+19.8#15
Pace75.6#65
Improvement+0.1#164

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#23
First Shot+10.1#5
After Offensive Rebound-2.8#331
Layup/Dunks+1.9#122
2 Pt Jumpshots+4.1#27
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#48
Freethrows-0.6#207
Improvement+1.9#42

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#103
First Shot-1.6#225
After Offensive Rebounds+3.9#13
Layups/Dunks+4.0#51
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#111
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.7#319
Freethrows-2.0#287
Improvement-1.8#296
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 5.9% 6.3% 1.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 51.8% 53.6% 33.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 46.8% 48.6% 29.7%
Average Seed 7.8 7.8 8.8
.500 or above 97.3% 97.9% 91.1%
.500 or above in Conference 60.7% 61.9% 49.2%
Conference Champion 10.9% 11.4% 5.7%
Last Place in Conference 7.5% 7.1% 11.9%
First Four4.8% 4.8% 4.9%
First Round49.3% 51.1% 31.4%
Second Round25.8% 26.9% 14.3%
Sweet Sixteen8.6% 9.1% 3.9%
Elite Eight3.0% 3.2% 1.2%
Final Four1.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Championship Game0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Princeton (Home) - 90.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 296   Loyola Maryland W 76-55 96%     1 - 0 +10.3 -12.6 +20.5
  Nov 09, 2018 203   Bowling Green W 84-80 91%     2 - 0 -1.6 +1.0 -3.0
  Nov 16, 2018 99   @ Rutgers W 84-65 55%     3 - 0 +27.3 +17.1 +9.7
  Nov 19, 2018 177   California W 82-79 84%     4 - 0 +1.8 +9.6 -7.7
  Nov 20, 2018 88   Virginia Commonwealth W 87-86 64%     5 - 0 +6.8 +7.2 -0.6
  Nov 27, 2018 347   Maryland Eastern Shore W 85-64 99%     6 - 0 +1.7 -0.3 +0.9
  Dec 01, 2018 78   Georgia Tech W 76-73 62%     7 - 0 +9.4 +9.5 -0.1
  Dec 05, 2018 340   Mount St. Mary's W 85-71 98%     8 - 0 -2.3 +5.3 -7.7
  Dec 09, 2018 183   Princeton W 80-66 91%    
  Dec 16, 2018 259   Wagner W 84-66 96%    
  Dec 19, 2018 289   St. Francis Brooklyn W 88-68 97%    
  Dec 22, 2018 290   Sacred Heart W 92-72 97%    
  Dec 29, 2018 60   @ Seton Hall L 77-79 44%    
  Jan 01, 2019 34   Marquette W 80-79 53%    
  Jan 05, 2019 87   @ Georgetown W 85-84 53%    
  Jan 08, 2019 21   @ Villanova L 71-78 27%    
  Jan 12, 2019 107   DePaul W 82-74 77%    
  Jan 16, 2019 42   Creighton W 86-84 57%    
  Jan 19, 2019 37   @ Butler L 73-78 33%    
  Jan 27, 2019 87   Georgetown W 88-81 73%    
  Jan 30, 2019 42   @ Creighton L 83-87 36%    
  Feb 02, 2019 1   @ Duke L 77-94 6%    
  Feb 05, 2019 34   @ Marquette L 77-82 32%    
  Feb 09, 2019 72   Providence W 79-73 69%    
  Feb 12, 2019 37   Butler W 76-75 53%    
  Feb 17, 2019 21   Villanova L 74-75 47%    
  Feb 20, 2019 72   @ Providence L 76-77 49%    
  Feb 23, 2019 60   Seton Hall W 80-76 65%    
  Feb 28, 2019 56   Xavier W 80-76 63%    
  Mar 03, 2019 107   @ DePaul W 79-77 57%    
  Mar 09, 2019 56   @ Xavier L 77-79 42%    
Projected Record 21.2 - 9.8 9.3 - 8.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.0 3.0 1.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 10.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.6 2.9 0.9 0.1 0.0 11.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 3.3 5.5 2.6 0.5 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.1 6.1 2.6 0.3 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 2.5 6.1 3.0 0.3 0.0 12.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.6 3.4 0.4 0.0 11.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.4 4.5 3.6 0.4 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 1.2 2.5 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 4.1 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.7 4.8 7.5 10.0 12.5 13.4 13.1 11.7 9.2 6.4 3.9 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 98.6% 0.8    0.7 0.0
15-3 94.7% 1.8    1.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 77.3% 3.0    2.0 0.9 0.1 0.0
13-5 47.4% 3.0    1.4 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0
12-6 18.1% 1.7    0.3 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
11-7 2.6% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 10.9% 10.9 6.3 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 100.0% 48.7% 51.3% 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 38.5% 61.5% 2.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.8% 100.0% 36.4% 63.6% 2.8 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.9% 99.8% 29.3% 70.5% 3.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
14-4 3.9% 98.7% 24.9% 73.8% 4.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 98.3%
13-5 6.4% 96.5% 20.4% 76.0% 5.9 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.5 1.4 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 95.5%
12-6 9.2% 92.9% 16.6% 76.3% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 1.7 2.0 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.7 91.5%
11-7 11.7% 85.3% 12.4% 72.9% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.9 2.4 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.7 83.2%
10-8 13.1% 72.5% 9.6% 62.9% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.8 2.5 2.2 1.3 0.3 0.0 0.0 3.6 69.6%
9-9 13.4% 53.2% 7.0% 46.2% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.0 1.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 6.3 49.6%
8-10 12.5% 22.5% 3.9% 18.5% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 9.7 19.3%
7-11 10.0% 5.9% 2.3% 3.6% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 9.4 3.7%
6-12 7.5% 1.9% 1.6% 0.3% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 7.3 0.3%
5-13 4.8% 0.9% 0.9% 13.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.8
4-14 2.7% 0.7% 0.7% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6
3-15 1.2% 0.2% 0.2% 14.7 0.0 0.0 1.2
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 51.8% 9.3% 42.5% 7.8 0.2 0.9 1.8 3.1 4.5 5.3 6.4 7.4 7.6 6.6 5.1 2.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 48.2 46.8%