St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.7#310
Achievement Rating-12.4#326
Pace61.3#339
Improvement-1.8#261

Offense
Total Offense-7.8#335
First Shot-7.9#337
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#166
Layup/Dunks-0.5#186
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#323
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#300
Freethrows-0.5#215
Improvement-3.7#316

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#194
First Shot-2.8#257
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#29
Layups/Dunks-1.1#233
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#40
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#241
Freethrows-2.3#312
Improvement+1.9#87
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 1.9% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 1.4% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 60.1% 42.2% 70.4%
First Four1.5% 1.9% 1.2%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Rider (Home) - 36.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 295   Lafayette W 93-86 56%     1 - 0 -3.3 +3.3 -7.4
  Nov 10, 2018 249   Delaware L 75-78 47%     1 - 1 -10.9 -11.5 +0.8
  Nov 14, 2018 326   @ Bryant L 63-71 48%     1 - 2 -16.3 -12.6 -4.3
  Nov 20, 2018 32   @ North Carolina St. L 57-85 3%     1 - 3 -13.4 -8.3 -5.7
  Nov 24, 2018 138   @ North Texas L 66-75 11%     1 - 4 -4.3 +1.6 -6.5
  Nov 28, 2018 14   @ Auburn L 49-99 1%     1 - 5 -31.6 -20.3 -7.2
  Dec 01, 2018 314   Maine W 63-59 63%     2 - 5 -8.1 -13.2 +5.2
  Dec 04, 2018 30   @ Clemson L 60-65 2%     2 - 6 +10.1 +5.4 +4.1
  Dec 08, 2018 270   LIU Brooklyn L 58-74 51%     2 - 7 -25.0 -18.0 -7.4
  Dec 15, 2018 262   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 53-56 29%     2 - 8 -6.1 -14.2 +7.9
  Dec 19, 2018 250   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 74-83 28%     2 - 9 -11.5 -5.5 -5.8
  Dec 29, 2018 241   Hampton W 83-80 45%     3 - 9 -4.4 +1.8 -6.2
  Jan 03, 2019 251   Siena W 65-60 48%     4 - 9 1 - 0 -3.1 +6.4 -8.2
  Jan 05, 2019 271   @ Monmouth L 44-61 31%     4 - 10 1 - 1 -20.5 -24.2 +2.6
  Jan 10, 2019 286   @ Fairfield L 57-60 33%     4 - 11 1 - 2 -7.3 -9.0 +1.3
  Jan 13, 2019 235   Marist W 72-63 44%     5 - 11 2 - 2 +1.8 -1.0 +3.4
  Jan 17, 2019 308   Manhattan L 56-58 60%     5 - 12 2 - 3 -13.2 -9.2 -4.3
  Jan 22, 2019 299   @ Niagara W 74-72 36%     6 - 12 3 - 3 -3.1 +2.1 -5.1
  Jan 27, 2019 211   @ Quinnipiac L 58-77 21%     6 - 13 3 - 4 -19.3 -11.3 -9.8
  Jan 31, 2019 195   @ Rider L 51-59 19%     6 - 14 3 - 5 -7.3 -22.3 +15.2
  Feb 02, 2019 308   @ Manhattan L 50-64 38%     6 - 15 3 - 6 -19.7 -15.4 -5.8
  Feb 07, 2019 271   Monmouth L 51-53 51%     6 - 16 3 - 7 -11.0 -14.7 +3.3
  Feb 10, 2019 247   Canisius L 60-64 47%     6 - 17 3 - 8 -11.9 -9.2 -3.2
  Feb 15, 2019 222   @ Iona L 46-62 22%     6 - 18 3 - 9 -16.7 -21.7 +2.3
  Feb 17, 2019 195   Rider L 66-70 36%    
  Feb 19, 2019 251   @ Siena L 54-60 27%    
  Feb 22, 2019 235   @ Marist L 59-66 25%    
  Feb 24, 2019 299   Niagara W 69-67 58%    
  Mar 01, 2019 211   Quinnipiac L 63-66 40%    
  Mar 03, 2019 286   Fairfield W 63-62 55%    
Projected Record 8.4 - 21.6 5.4 - 12.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 0.1 0.2 0.3 6th
7th 0.1 1.3 0.1 1.6 7th
8th 2.6 2.0 0.0 4.6 8th
9th 1.5 13.1 10.5 0.8 26.0 9th
10th 1.5 15.3 12.8 0.9 0.0 30.5 10th
11th 5.1 17.4 13.2 1.1 0.0 36.9 11th
Total 5.1 18.8 30.1 27.1 14.1 4.2 0.5 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.5% 6.6% 6.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5
8-10 4.2% 3.2% 3.2% 16.0 0.1 4.1
7-11 14.1% 2.2% 2.2% 16.0 0.3 13.8
6-12 27.1% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.5 26.6
5-13 30.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.4 29.8
4-14 18.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.2 18.7
3-15 5.1% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.1
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 16.0 1.5 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.0% 100.0% 16.0 100.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 3.7%