St. Peter's
Metro Atlantic Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#266
Achievement Rating-13.5#318
Pace63.9#320
Improvement-0.3#199

Offense
Total Offense-5.9#317
First Shot-6.2#320
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#145
Layup/Dunks-2.4#250
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#177
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#268
Freethrows-1.0#230
Improvement-1.1#271

Defense
Total Defense-0.1#170
First Shot-1.7#233
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#80
Layups/Dunks+2.6#86
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#54
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#286
Freethrows-3.0#313
Improvement+0.8#110
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.4% 5.5% 3.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 16.3% 25.1% 9.9%
.500 or above in Conference 47.1% 53.8% 42.3%
Conference Champion 3.9% 5.1% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 11.5% 8.7% 13.5%
First Four3.2% 3.7% 3.0%
First Round2.9% 3.9% 2.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis Brooklyn (Away) - 41.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 316   Lafayette W 93-86 74%     1 - 0 -5.5 +3.0 -9.2
  Nov 10, 2018 218   Delaware L 75-78 51%     1 - 1 -9.3 -12.2 +3.2
  Nov 14, 2018 340   @ Bryant L 63-71 66%     1 - 2 -18.3 -13.8 -5.0
  Nov 20, 2018 28   @ North Carolina St. L 57-85 3%     1 - 3 -12.3 -9.6 -3.3
  Nov 24, 2018 124   @ North Texas L 66-75 13%     1 - 4 -2.6 -0.3 -2.9
  Nov 28, 2018 8   @ Auburn L 49-99 1%     1 - 5 -29.0 -19.1 -5.8
  Dec 01, 2018 329   Maine W 63-59 79%     2 - 5 -10.4 -12.7 +2.4
  Dec 04, 2018 50   @ Clemson L 60-65 5%     2 - 6 +7.6 +1.5 +5.4
  Dec 08, 2018 236   LIU Brooklyn L 58-74 57%     2 - 7 -23.6 -18.4 -5.7
  Dec 15, 2018 281   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 65-67 42%    
  Dec 19, 2018 258   @ Fairleigh Dickinson L 67-71 37%    
  Dec 29, 2018 241   Hampton W 69-67 57%    
  Jan 03, 2019 269   Siena W 64-61 61%    
  Jan 05, 2019 306   @ Monmouth L 63-64 47%    
  Jan 10, 2019 246   @ Fairfield L 67-71 36%    
  Jan 13, 2019 205   Marist L 62-63 49%    
  Jan 17, 2019 320   Manhattan W 60-53 74%    
  Jan 22, 2019 261   @ Niagara L 67-70 38%    
  Jan 27, 2019 245   @ Quinnipiac L 61-65 36%    
  Jan 31, 2019 127   @ Rider L 67-79 14%    
  Feb 02, 2019 320   @ Manhattan W 57-56 53%    
  Feb 07, 2019 306   Monmouth W 66-61 68%    
  Feb 10, 2019 227   Canisius W 65-64 54%    
  Feb 15, 2019 203   @ Iona L 67-73 28%    
  Feb 17, 2019 127   Rider L 70-76 30%    
  Feb 19, 2019 269   @ Siena L 61-64 40%    
  Feb 22, 2019 205   @ Marist L 60-66 29%    
  Feb 24, 2019 261   Niagara W 70-67 59%    
  Mar 01, 2019 245   Quinnipiac W 64-62 57%    
  Mar 03, 2019 246   Fairfield W 70-68 58%    
Projected Record 11.7 - 18.3 8.3 - 9.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Metro Atlantic Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.9 2.1 0.8 0.1 0.0 7.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.2 4.2 2.4 0.5 0.0 9.5 3rd
4th 0.1 2.1 5.1 2.8 0.4 0.0 10.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 5.4 3.4 0.4 0.0 10.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.0 4.4 0.6 0.0 10.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.9 5.4 1.2 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.4 1.8 0.1 10.5 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 2.4 4.8 2.3 0.1 0.0 10.0 9th
10th 0.1 0.6 2.1 3.6 2.2 0.2 0.0 8.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.9 2.2 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.7 11th
Total 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.4 4.6 7.5 10.5 12.6 13.9 13.4 11.7 9.1 6.3 3.7 1.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Metro Atlantic Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 97.3% 0.3    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-3 85.3% 0.6    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 57.1% 1.1    0.6 0.4 0.1
13-5 30.7% 1.1    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 8.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.9% 3.9 1.9 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 29.0% 29.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 25.9% 25.9% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
15-3 0.7% 22.7% 22.7% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6
14-4 1.9% 17.1% 17.1% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.6
13-5 3.7% 14.4% 14.4% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 3.2
12-6 6.3% 11.1% 11.1% 15.9 0.0 0.7 5.6
11-7 9.1% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.0 0.7 8.4
10-8 11.7% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7 10.9
9-9 13.4% 3.6% 3.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 12.9
8-10 13.9% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.3 13.6
7-11 12.6% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.2 12.5
6-12 10.5% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 10.4
5-13 7.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 7.5
4-14 4.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 4.6
3-15 2.4% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-16 0.9% 0.9
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.4% 4.4% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 4.0 95.6 0.0%