TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.8#301
Achievement Rating-12.1#311
Pace65.9#280
Improvement+0.3#146

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#329
First Shot-8.7#345
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#67
Layup/Dunks-3.6#284
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#37
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#267
Freethrows-5.7#352
Improvement-2.0#319

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#197
First Shot-1.7#234
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#121
Layups/Dunks-0.9#217
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#105
Freethrows-5.1#344
Improvement+2.3#31
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.6% 3.8% 2.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 13.8% 23.2% 8.1%
.500 or above in Conference 47.2% 55.6% 42.1%
Conference Champion 2.8% 4.1% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.5% 3.6% 6.7%
First Four1.7% 2.1% 1.4%
First Round1.8% 2.7% 1.3%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Home) - 37.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2018 222   UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-76 45%     0 - 1 -13.5 +1.6 -15.7
  Nov 16, 2018 254   @ Texas Arlington W 73-67 30%     1 - 1 +3.7 +2.0 +1.8
  Nov 17, 2018 223   UC Davis L 54-57 34%     1 - 2 -6.6 -16.6 +10.1
  Nov 26, 2018 222   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 59-68 24%     1 - 3 -9.5 -8.1 -2.0
  Dec 02, 2018 9   @ Tennessee L 51-79 1%     1 - 4 -7.2 -10.7 +3.0
  Dec 05, 2018 142   Texas St. L 55-61 27%     1 - 5 -7.4 -14.3 +6.7
  Dec 20, 2018 187   Texas San Antonio L 67-70 38%    
  Dec 22, 2018 138   @ Louisiana Tech L 62-75 12%    
  Dec 29, 2018 73   @ Oklahoma St. L 58-76 5%    
  Jan 02, 2019 278   Central Arkansas W 73-71 57%    
  Jan 05, 2019 230   @ Lamar L 63-70 27%    
  Jan 09, 2019 347   @ Northwestern St. W 68-63 69%    
  Jan 16, 2019 291   @ Sam Houston St. L 62-66 37%    
  Jan 19, 2019 263   New Orleans W 64-63 53%    
  Jan 23, 2019 255   Nicholls St. W 68-67 52%    
  Jan 30, 2019 164   @ Abilene Christian L 59-70 17%    
  Feb 02, 2019 284   @ Houston Baptist L 73-77 36%    
  Feb 06, 2019 288   SE Louisiana W 64-62 57%    
  Feb 09, 2019 339   Incarnate Word W 71-63 77%    
  Feb 13, 2019 291   Sam Houston St. W 65-63 58%    
  Feb 16, 2019 263   @ New Orleans L 61-66 33%    
  Feb 20, 2019 159   @ Stephen F. Austin L 62-73 17%    
  Feb 23, 2019 230   Lamar L 66-67 48%    
  Feb 27, 2019 164   Abilene Christian L 62-67 34%    
  Mar 02, 2019 339   @ Incarnate Word W 68-66 58%    
  Mar 06, 2019 310   @ McNeese St. L 67-69 43%    
  Mar 09, 2019 284   Houston Baptist W 76-74 57%    
Projected Record 9.9 - 17.1 8.3 - 9.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.4 1.8 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 2.0 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.7 1.6 0.2 0.0 7.7 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 1.6 4.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 8.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 4.5 3.7 0.5 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.8 4.9 1.0 0.0 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.3 2.9 5.4 1.9 0.1 10.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.2 5.1 2.8 0.2 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.9 4.5 3.1 0.5 0.0 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 1.7 3.7 2.7 0.5 0.0 9.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 1.4 2.4 1.7 0.4 0.0 6.3 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.1 0.0 2.8 13th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.6 5.0 7.6 10.2 12.2 13.5 13.3 11.3 9.0 6.3 3.8 2.2 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
16-2 94.3% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 73.4% 0.7    0.5 0.2 0.0
14-4 46.5% 1.0    0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 15.7% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 2.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.8% 2.8 1.4 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 31.3% 31.3% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
16-2 0.3% 28.0% 28.0% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2
15-3 1.0% 25.9% 25.9% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7
14-4 2.2% 20.6% 20.6% 15.8 0.1 0.4 1.7
13-5 3.8% 14.3% 14.3% 15.9 0.0 0.5 3.2
12-6 6.3% 7.9% 7.9% 16.0 0.0 0.5 5.8
11-7 9.0% 3.7% 3.7% 16.0 0.3 8.7
10-8 11.3% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.2 11.0
9-9 13.3% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.2 13.2
8-10 13.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 13.4
7-11 12.2% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 12.2
6-12 10.2% 10.2
5-13 7.6% 7.6
4-14 5.0% 5.0
3-15 2.6% 2.6
2-16 1.2% 1.2
1-17 0.4% 0.4
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 2.6% 2.6% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.3 97.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%