TX A&M Corpus Christi
Southland
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.8#282
Achievement Rating-9.9#304
Pace65.5#278
Improvement-1.1#235

Offense
Total Offense-5.1#295
First Shot-5.5#316
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#152
Layup/Dunks-2.7#276
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#25
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.2#311
Freethrows-2.2#314
Improvement+2.1#81

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#218
First Shot-2.4#244
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#107
Layups/Dunks+0.6#146
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.4#5
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#289
Freethrows-3.6#343
Improvement-3.1#315
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.5% 0.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 37.9% 60.9% 23.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.2%
First Four1.2% 1.9% 0.9%
First Round0.9% 1.5% 0.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Stephen F. Austin (Away) - 37.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2018 186   UT Rio Grande Valley L 69-76 41%     0 - 1 -11.4 +4.5 -16.4
  Nov 16, 2018 175   @ Texas Arlington W 73-67 20%     1 - 1 +8.2 +5.0 +3.3
  Nov 17, 2018 207   UC Davis L 54-57 35%     1 - 2 -5.8 -18.9 +13.2
  Nov 26, 2018 186   @ UT Rio Grande Valley L 59-68 22%     1 - 3 -7.8 -5.4 -2.9
  Dec 02, 2018 7   @ Tennessee L 51-79 1%     1 - 4 -5.8 -13.9 +7.7
  Dec 05, 2018 124   Texas St. L 55-61 24%     1 - 5 -5.5 -13.9 +8.2
  Dec 20, 2018 134   Texas San Antonio L 50-64 27%     1 - 6 -14.6 -24.2 +9.7
  Dec 22, 2018 136   @ Louisiana Tech L 68-73 14%     1 - 7 -0.1 -1.0 +0.9
  Dec 29, 2018 86   @ Oklahoma St. L 59-69 8%     1 - 8 -1.4 -6.8 +4.9
  Jan 02, 2019 302   Central Arkansas W 87-75 65%     2 - 8 1 - 0 +1.2 -0.9 +0.8
  Jan 05, 2019 245   @ Lamar L 55-61 33%     2 - 9 1 - 1 -8.1 -18.5 +10.3
  Jan 09, 2019 331   @ Northwestern St. W 62-61 58%     3 - 9 2 - 1 -7.7 -3.5 -4.1
  Jan 16, 2019 173   @ Sam Houston St. L 50-72 20%     3 - 10 2 - 2 -19.7 -20.1 -0.2
  Jan 19, 2019 269   New Orleans W 76-61 59%     4 - 10 3 - 2 +6.0 -0.2 +5.7
  Jan 23, 2019 322   Nicholls St. W 75-73 73%     5 - 10 4 - 2 -11.2 -0.4 -10.7
  Jan 30, 2019 169   @ Abilene Christian L 71-78 19%     5 - 11 4 - 3 -4.5 +0.7 -5.3
  Feb 02, 2019 288   @ Houston Baptist L 72-73 41%     5 - 12 4 - 4 -5.4 -8.8 +3.4
  Feb 06, 2019 242   SE Louisiana L 58-64 53%     5 - 13 4 - 5 -13.5 -4.8 -9.8
  Feb 09, 2019 339   Incarnate Word W 70-61 81%     6 - 13 5 - 5 -7.3 +1.7 -7.0
  Feb 13, 2019 173   Sam Houston St. L 69-70 37%     6 - 14 5 - 6 -4.3 +9.4 -13.9
  Feb 16, 2019 269   @ New Orleans L 58-68 37%     6 - 15 5 - 7 -13.5 -10.4 -3.5
  Feb 20, 2019 274   @ Stephen F. Austin L 66-69 38%    
  Feb 23, 2019 245   Lamar W 69-68 54%    
  Feb 27, 2019 169   Abilene Christian L 63-67 37%    
  Mar 02, 2019 339   @ Incarnate Word W 70-66 63%    
  Mar 06, 2019 324   @ McNeese St. W 70-69 53%    
  Mar 09, 2019 288   Houston Baptist W 75-72 63%    
Projected Record 9.1 - 17.9 8.1 - 9.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southland Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.4 3rd
4th 0.2 2.4 1.6 4.2 4th
5th 0.1 3.9 6.2 0.5 10.6 5th
6th 0.0 4.4 14.3 2.8 21.5 6th
7th 1.0 13.3 5.3 0.0 19.6 7th
8th 0.0 6.5 9.7 0.3 16.5 8th
9th 1.4 10.5 1.9 0.0 13.8 9th
10th 0.2 4.7 3.5 0.1 8.4 10th
11th 0.9 2.8 0.2 3.9 11th
12th 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
Total 1.8 9.2 21.6 29.5 24.0 11.4 2.4 Total



Southland Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 2.4% 7.5% 7.5% 15.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.2
10-8 11.4% 4.6% 4.6% 16.0 0.0 0.5 10.9
9-9 24.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.6 23.4
8-10 29.5% 0.7% 0.7% 16.0 0.2 29.3
7-11 21.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 21.6
6-12 9.2% 9.2
5-13 1.8% 1.8
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 98.5 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 15.6 0.6 35.4 64.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.9%
Lose Out 1.8%