Tennessee Martin
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-7.9#300
Achievement Rating-8.7#294
Pace69.6#160
Improvement+4.1#32

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#229
First Shot-3.7#281
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#50
Layup/Dunks-0.9#208
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#185
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#170
Freethrows-2.7#326
Improvement+0.4#169

Defense
Total Defense-6.2#330
First Shot-5.0#317
After Offensive Rebounds-1.1#285
Layups/Dunks-3.5#309
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#165
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#325
Freethrows+2.4#34
Improvement+3.6#22
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 1.9% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.1% 0.0% 4.3%
First Four0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Murray St. (Away) - 4.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 122   @ Western Kentucky L 71-86 10%     0 - 1 -8.8 +0.2 -8.5
  Nov 16, 2018 192   @ Mercer L 60-77 20%     0 - 2 -16.2 -10.4 -6.6
  Nov 21, 2018 285   Western Illinois W 92-90 57%     1 - 2 -7.8 +8.4 -16.3
  Dec 01, 2018 340   UNC Asheville W 87-70 79%     2 - 2 +0.5 +7.0 -6.1
  Dec 05, 2018 290   @ Tulane L 74-87 37%     2 - 3 -17.5 -6.3 -9.9
  Dec 08, 2018 93   @ East Tennessee St. L 62-80 8%     2 - 4 -9.9 -9.6 +0.3
  Dec 18, 2018 292   Chattanooga W 75-72 59%     3 - 4 -7.1 -2.7 -4.4
  Dec 22, 2018 59   @ Fresno St. L 53-93 5%     3 - 5 -29.3 -15.5 -12.8
  Dec 30, 2018 100   @ Bowling Green L 80-94 8%     3 - 6 -6.3 +4.8 -10.0
  Jan 03, 2019 296   @ Eastern Illinois L 87-92 39%     3 - 7 0 - 1 -9.9 +1.5 -10.9
  Jan 05, 2019 315   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 69-74 46%     3 - 8 0 - 2 -11.8 -18.7 +7.7
  Jan 10, 2019 71   Murray St. L 77-98 13%     3 - 9 0 - 3 -16.8 +2.6 -18.8
  Jan 12, 2019 137   Austin Peay L 70-72 24%     3 - 10 0 - 4 -2.7 -5.9 +3.2
  Jan 17, 2019 277   @ Eastern Kentucky L 73-97 35%     3 - 11 0 - 5 -27.8 -8.3 -16.7
  Jan 19, 2019 268   @ Morehead St. L 77-85 33%     3 - 12 0 - 6 -11.3 +2.9 -14.5
  Jan 24, 2019 296   Eastern Illinois L 64-66 60%     3 - 13 0 - 7 -12.5 -0.9 -12.0
  Jan 26, 2019 332   SIU Edwardsville W 85-69 73%     4 - 13 1 - 7 +1.7 +10.7 -7.9
  Jan 31, 2019 312   @ Tennessee St. L 67-68 43%     4 - 14 1 - 8 -7.0 -6.5 -0.6
  Feb 02, 2019 69   @ Belmont L 67-82 6%     4 - 15 1 - 9 -5.2 -0.3 -5.7
  Feb 07, 2019 129   Jacksonville St. W 66-64 22%     5 - 15 2 - 9 +2.2 +2.5 -0.1
  Feb 09, 2019 328   Tennessee Tech W 77-58 72%     6 - 15 3 - 9 +4.9 +2.5 +2.7
  Feb 14, 2019 315   Southeast Missouri St. W 81-72 67%     7 - 15 4 - 9 -3.3 +2.3 -5.6
  Feb 16, 2019 332   @ SIU Edwardsville W 73-69 53%     8 - 15 5 - 9 -4.8 -3.7 -1.0
  Feb 21, 2019 71   @ Murray St. L 67-85 5%    
  Feb 23, 2019 137   @ Austin Peay L 71-84 11%    
  Feb 28, 2019 69   Belmont L 75-87 13%    
  Mar 02, 2019 312   Tennessee St. W 75-71 64%    
Projected Record 8.9 - 18.1 5.9 - 12.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.8 5th
6th 2.6 8.1 0.9 0.0 11.5 6th
7th 18.4 6.5 0.1 25.0 7th
8th 6.1 28.4 1.0 0.0 35.6 8th
9th 13.9 5.0 0.0 18.9 9th
10th 6.3 0.1 6.4 10th
11th 0.8 0.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 27.2 54.5 16.3 1.9 0.1 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1
8-10 1.9% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 1.9
7-11 16.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.3
6-12 54.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 54.5
5-13 27.2% 27.2
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 27.0%