Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.4#276
Achievement Rating-14.5#325
Pace75.1#78
Improvement-1.2#262

Offense
Total Offense-6.9#330
First Shot-4.5#294
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#315
Layup/Dunks+1.5#130
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#279
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#250
Freethrows-1.4#248
Improvement-1.9#318

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#153
First Shot-0.2#181
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#134
Layups/Dunks+3.6#56
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#274
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#79
Freethrows-5.5#348
Improvement+0.7#121
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.0% 1.2% 0.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 10.6% 13.0% 3.3%
.500 or above in Conference 43.5% 46.7% 33.5%
Conference Champion 0.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 6.3% 5.4% 9.3%
First Four0.4% 0.4% 0.2%
First Round0.8% 1.0% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: N.C. A&T (Home) - 75.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 71   @ Lipscomb L 79-86 7%     0 - 1 +3.0 -1.7 +5.8
  Nov 13, 2018 238   Arkansas Little Rock L 67-83 55%     0 - 2 -23.8 -12.8 -9.9
  Nov 20, 2018 324   @ Cal St. Northridge L 77-80 55%     0 - 3 -10.7 -8.7 -1.8
  Nov 23, 2018 18   @ Kentucky L 62-77 3%     0 - 4 +1.6 -6.8 +8.8
  Dec 01, 2018 85   @ Western Kentucky L 74-88 8%     0 - 5 -5.1 +0.7 -5.1
  Dec 09, 2018 350   @ Coppin St. W 64-55 77%     1 - 5 -5.2 -16.2 +10.5
  Dec 15, 2018 323   N.C. A&T W 74-67 75%    
  Dec 18, 2018 132   @ Akron L 62-74 13%    
  Dec 22, 2018 116   @ Memphis L 70-83 10%    
  Dec 29, 2018 79   @ Vanderbilt L 65-81 7%    
  Jan 03, 2019 334   Tennessee Tech W 75-66 79%    
  Jan 05, 2019 145   Jacksonville St. L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 10, 2019 274   Eastern Kentucky W 83-80 60%    
  Jan 12, 2019 281   Morehead St. W 74-71 62%    
  Jan 17, 2019 334   @ Tennessee Tech W 72-69 60%    
  Jan 19, 2019 88   @ Belmont L 71-86 8%    
  Jan 24, 2019 194   @ Austin Peay L 69-76 25%    
  Jan 26, 2019 102   @ Murray St. L 60-74 10%    
  Jan 31, 2019 299   Tennessee Martin W 77-73 65%    
  Feb 02, 2019 272   Southeast Missouri St. W 73-70 60%    
  Feb 07, 2019 281   @ Morehead St. L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 09, 2019 274   @ Eastern Kentucky L 80-83 39%    
  Feb 14, 2019 88   Belmont L 74-83 21%    
  Feb 16, 2019 145   @ Jacksonville St. L 65-76 17%    
  Feb 21, 2019 327   SIU Edwardsville W 76-68 75%    
  Feb 23, 2019 317   Eastern Illinois W 72-66 71%    
  Feb 28, 2019 272   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 70-73 39%    
  Mar 02, 2019 299   @ Tennessee Martin L 74-76 44%    
Projected Record 10.1 - 17.9 8.1 - 9.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.2 1.5 0.4 0.0 5.9 3rd
4th 0.1 0.9 3.1 4.1 2.3 0.5 0.0 0.0 11.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.6 5.4 5.8 2.7 0.5 0.0 15.9 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 5.5 5.7 1.8 0.2 0.0 14.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.9 5.5 1.6 0.1 0.0 13.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.5 5.3 1.7 0.1 0.0 11.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.4 4.8 1.9 0.1 0.0 9.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.7 1.9 0.2 0.0 7.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.4 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.6 5.0 8.2 11.2 13.7 14.5 13.7 11.2 8.4 5.3 2.8 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 96.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 81.5% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
15-3 43.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 15.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 30.0% 30.0% 14.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 12.6% 12.6% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.5% 10.8% 10.8% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.3% 10.6% 10.6% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 1.2
13-5 2.8% 6.8% 6.8% 15.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.6
12-6 5.3% 3.9% 3.9% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 5.1
11-7 8.4% 2.0% 2.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 8.2
10-8 11.2% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.1 11.1
9-9 13.7% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.0 0.1 13.7
8-10 14.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.4
7-11 13.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.7
6-12 11.2% 11.2
5-13 8.2% 8.2
4-14 5.0% 5.0
3-15 2.6% 2.6
2-16 1.0% 1.0
1-17 0.3% 0.3
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 1.0% 1.0% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 99.0 0.0%