Tennessee St.
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-8.8#312
Achievement Rating-10.0#308
Pace71.3#115
Improvement+1.5#111

Offense
Total Offense-5.8#317
First Shot-5.1#307
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#222
Layup/Dunks-1.5#226
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#302
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#215
Freethrows-0.2#190
Improvement+1.4#110

Defense
Total Defense-3.0#249
First Shot-3.7#290
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#101
Layups/Dunks+1.9#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#281
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#100
Freethrows-6.1#353
Improvement+0.1#173
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 6.9% 9.8% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.2% 0.0% 7.5%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SIU Edwardsville (Home) - 70.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 48   @ Lipscomb L 79-86 4%     0 - 1 +5.1 +0.9 +5.3
  Nov 13, 2018 206   Arkansas Little Rock L 67-83 37%     0 - 2 -21.4 -12.0 -8.4
  Nov 20, 2018 276   @ Cal St. Northridge L 77-80 32%     0 - 3 -6.8 -8.8 +2.3
  Nov 23, 2018 5   @ Kentucky L 62-77 1%     0 - 4 +7.7 -1.1 +9.2
  Dec 01, 2018 122   @ Western Kentucky L 74-88 9%     0 - 5 -7.8 +1.9 -9.1
  Dec 09, 2018 345   @ Coppin St. W 64-55 63%     1 - 5 -3.3 -14.8 +11.1
  Dec 15, 2018 323   N.C. A&T L 76-78 67%     1 - 6 -15.3 -2.5 -12.9
  Dec 18, 2018 126   @ Akron L 60-82 9%     1 - 7 -16.0 -8.5 -6.2
  Dec 22, 2018 76   @ Memphis L 41-99 6%     1 - 8 -48.8 -35.8 -1.6
  Dec 29, 2018 119   @ Vanderbilt L 76-95 8%     1 - 9 -12.5 +0.4 -11.2
  Jan 03, 2019 328   Tennessee Tech L 64-66 69%     1 - 10 0 - 1 -16.1 -13.8 -2.2
  Jan 05, 2019 129   Jacksonville St. L 62-69 20%     1 - 11 0 - 2 -6.8 -5.6 -1.5
  Jan 10, 2019 277   Eastern Kentucky W 82-81 52%     2 - 11 1 - 2 -8.4 +2.6 -11.0
  Jan 12, 2019 268   Morehead St. L 61-74 50%     2 - 12 1 - 3 -21.8 -21.1 -0.2
  Jan 17, 2019 328   @ Tennessee Tech W 79-62 49%     3 - 12 2 - 3 +8.5 +7.7 +1.0
  Jan 19, 2019 69   @ Belmont L 74-92 5%     3 - 13 2 - 4 -8.2 +0.2 -7.7
  Jan 24, 2019 137   @ Austin Peay L 74-89 11%     3 - 14 2 - 5 -10.1 -2.3 -7.1
  Jan 26, 2019 71   @ Murray St. L 62-100 5%     3 - 15 2 - 6 -28.3 -6.3 -22.7
  Jan 31, 2019 300   Tennessee Martin W 68-67 57%     4 - 15 3 - 6 -9.7 -11.4 +1.8
  Feb 02, 2019 315   Southeast Missouri St. W 79-50 63%     5 - 15 4 - 6 +16.7 +7.4 +11.9
  Feb 07, 2019 268   @ Morehead St. W 81-80 30%     6 - 15 5 - 6 -2.3 -0.3 -2.1
  Feb 09, 2019 277   @ Eastern Kentucky L 65-75 32%     6 - 16 5 - 7 -13.8 -13.6 +0.6
  Feb 14, 2019 69   Belmont L 66-77 11%     6 - 17 5 - 8 -6.7 -7.6 +0.9
  Feb 16, 2019 129   @ Jacksonville St. L 65-84 9%     6 - 18 5 - 9 -13.2 +0.4 -14.5
  Feb 21, 2019 332   SIU Edwardsville W 75-69 71%    
  Feb 23, 2019 296   Eastern Illinois W 73-71 57%    
  Feb 28, 2019 315   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 70-72 42%    
  Mar 02, 2019 300   @ Tennessee Martin L 71-75 36%    
Projected Record 8.1 - 19.9 7.1 - 10.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 2.8 16.8 6.8 26.5 5th
6th 2.3 20.9 8.8 0.1 32.0 6th
7th 13.3 13.4 0.7 27.4 7th
8th 0.4 7.0 0.4 7.8 8th
9th 2.2 1.2 3.4 9th
10th 2.4 0.1 2.5 10th
11th 0.5 0.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 12th
Total 5.5 23.8 37.5 26.3 6.9 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 6.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.9
8-10 26.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 26.3
7-11 37.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 37.5
6-12 23.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 23.8
5-13 5.5% 5.5
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.5%
Lose Out 5.5%