Tennessee Tech
Ohio Valley
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-11.3#328
Achievement Rating-13.8#332
Pace71.1#121
Improvement+2.5#70

Offense
Total Offense-10.0#344
First Shot-8.6#342
After Offensive Rebound-1.4#266
Layup/Dunks-2.9#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#162
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#329
Freethrows-0.1#187
Improvement-0.2#201

Defense
Total Defense-1.3#202
First Shot-0.6#195
After Offensive Rebounds-0.7#252
Layups/Dunks+0.1#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#264
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#132
Freethrows-0.9#235
Improvement+2.8#44
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 63.2% 41.1% 80.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Kentucky (Home) - 43.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 76   @ Memphis L 61-76 4%     0 - 1 -5.8 -15.1 +11.1
  Nov 10, 2018 215   Presbyterian L 65-80 30%     0 - 2 -21.0 -15.6 -5.2
  Nov 13, 2018 348   @ Savannah St. L 83-97 55%     0 - 3 -26.6 -17.1 -6.2
  Nov 16, 2018 6   @ North Carolina L 58-108 1%     0 - 4 -27.5 -14.1 -6.0
  Nov 18, 2018 4   @ Michigan St. L 33-101 0.5%    0 - 5 -45.0 -27.9 -18.7
  Nov 23, 2018 157   Louisiana Monroe W 79-73 20%     1 - 5 +3.5 +0.3 +3.2
  Nov 28, 2018 177   Winthrop L 70-82 23%     1 - 6 -15.6 -10.8 -4.0
  Dec 01, 2018 292   @ Chattanooga L 60-71 26%     1 - 7 -15.6 -14.4 -1.7
  Dec 15, 2018 341   @ Kennesaw St. L 68-73 49%     1 - 8 -16.2 -5.5 -10.9
  Dec 20, 2018 348   Savannah St. W 91-80 74%     2 - 8 -7.1 +2.2 -10.0
  Dec 29, 2018 7   @ Tennessee L 53-96 1%     2 - 9 -20.8 -13.9 -6.0
  Jan 03, 2019 312   @ Tennessee St. W 66-64 31%     3 - 9 1 - 0 -4.0 -10.8 +6.7
  Jan 05, 2019 69   @ Belmont L 67-79 4%     3 - 10 1 - 1 -2.2 -0.8 -2.0
  Jan 10, 2019 332   SIU Edwardsville W 78-69 62%     4 - 10 2 - 1 -5.3 -9.4 +3.2
  Jan 12, 2019 296   Eastern Illinois L 60-67 47%     4 - 11 2 - 2 -17.5 -19.7 +2.3
  Jan 17, 2019 312   Tennessee St. L 62-79 51%     4 - 12 2 - 3 -28.6 -14.0 -14.9
  Jan 19, 2019 129   @ Jacksonville St. L 48-65 7%     4 - 13 2 - 4 -11.2 -18.2 +6.4
  Jan 24, 2019 268   @ Morehead St. L 61-67 22%     4 - 14 2 - 5 -9.3 -13.0 +3.4
  Jan 26, 2019 277   @ Eastern Kentucky W 91-85 24%     5 - 14 3 - 5 +2.2 +2.4 -1.3
  Jan 31, 2019 137   Austin Peay L 66-77 16%     5 - 15 3 - 6 -11.7 -11.8 +0.6
  Feb 02, 2019 71   Murray St. L 63-67 8%     5 - 16 3 - 7 +0.2 -10.5 +10.7
  Feb 07, 2019 315   @ Southeast Missouri St. L 66-71 33%     5 - 17 3 - 8 -11.8 -15.2 +3.8
  Feb 09, 2019 300   @ Tennessee Martin L 58-77 28%     5 - 18 3 - 9 -24.1 -18.8 -5.6
  Feb 14, 2019 129   Jacksonville St. L 57-67 14%     5 - 19 3 - 10 -9.8 -11.8 +1.7
  Feb 16, 2019 69   Belmont L 65-93 8%     5 - 20 3 - 11 -23.7 -9.4 -14.0
  Feb 21, 2019 277   Eastern Kentucky L 75-77 44%    
  Feb 23, 2019 268   Morehead St. L 69-71 42%    
  Feb 28, 2019 332   @ SIU Edwardsville L 67-70 40%    
  Mar 02, 2019 296   @ Eastern Illinois L 66-72 27%    
Projected Record 6.5 - 22.5 4.5 - 13.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Ohio Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.5 0.5 5th
6th 0.9 1.4 2.3 6th
7th 4.8 0.5 5.2 7th
8th 3.6 6.8 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 13.2 1.4 14.6 9th
10th 3.0 12.4 0.1 15.5 10th
11th 14.8 2.9 17.7 11th
12th 15.9 17.6 0.2 33.7 12th
Total 15.9 35.4 32.3 13.9 2.5 Total



Ohio Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.5
6-12 13.9% 13.9
5-13 32.3% 32.3
4-14 35.4% 35.4
3-15 15.9% 15.9
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 0.9% 16.0 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 15.9%