Texas A&M
Southeastern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.9#86
Achievement Rating+3.7#123
Pace70.8#131
Improvement+2.0#87

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#104
First Shot-0.2#187
After Offensive Rebound+2.8#22
Layup/Dunks+4.2#35
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#269
3 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#287
Freethrows+0.7#131
Improvement+0.5#163

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#85
First Shot+4.7#45
After Offensive Rebounds-1.4#295
Layups/Dunks+5.7#13
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#246
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#268
Freethrows+1.9#57
Improvement+1.5#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.5% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.8 11.6 12.9
.500 or above 1.4% 2.7% 0.2%
.500 or above in Conference 0.2% 0.5% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.1% 1.6%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama (Home) - 48.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 348   Savannah St. W 98-83 98%     1 - 0 -3.7 -10.7 +3.0
  Nov 09, 2018 109   UC Irvine L 73-74 66%     1 - 1 +0.6 +5.5 -4.9
  Nov 15, 2018 2   @ Gonzaga L 71-94 4%     1 - 2 +3.7 +1.3 +4.6
  Nov 18, 2018 43   Minnesota L 64-69 36%     1 - 3 +4.7 -3.6 +8.2
  Nov 20, 2018 37   Washington L 67-71 30%     1 - 4 +7.3 +5.5 +1.5
  Nov 23, 2018 218   South Alabama W 74-62 87%     2 - 4 +5.9 +4.4 +2.4
  Dec 03, 2018 333   Northwestern St. W 80-59 96%     3 - 4 +6.0 -1.8 +6.7
  Dec 15, 2018 73   Oregon St. W 67-64 47%     4 - 4 +9.6 -2.0 +11.7
  Dec 19, 2018 185   Valparaiso W 71-49 83%     5 - 4 +17.9 +1.2 +17.7
  Dec 22, 2018 202   Marshall W 92-68 85%     6 - 4 +18.9 +7.7 +9.2
  Dec 29, 2018 229   Texas Southern L 73-88 88%     6 - 5 -22.0 -5.7 -16.1
  Jan 05, 2019 59   Arkansas L 71-73 53%     6 - 6 0 - 1 +3.2 +0.9 +2.4
  Jan 08, 2019 5   @ Kentucky L 74-85 7%     6 - 7 0 - 2 +11.6 +9.8 +2.3
  Jan 12, 2019 45   @ Alabama W 81-80 27%     7 - 7 1 - 2 +13.3 +12.7 +0.5
  Jan 16, 2019 16   Auburn L 66-85 25%     7 - 8 1 - 3 -6.1 -3.5 -2.2
  Jan 19, 2019 87   Missouri L 43-66 61%     7 - 9 1 - 4 -19.9 -22.0 -0.5
  Jan 22, 2019 27   @ Florida L 72-81 18%     7 - 10 1 - 5 +6.6 +12.1 -5.8
  Jan 26, 2019 25   Kansas St. W 65-53 34%     8 - 10 +22.3 +2.9 +19.9
  Jan 30, 2019 23   LSU L 57-72 29%     8 - 11 1 - 6 -3.4 -11.3 +7.4
  Feb 02, 2019 7   Tennessee L 76-93 15%     8 - 12 1 - 7 -0.2 +10.6 -11.5
  Feb 06, 2019 39   @ Mississippi L 71-75 23%     8 - 13 1 - 8 +9.7 +3.5 +6.2
  Feb 09, 2019 87   @ Missouri W 68-59 40%     9 - 13 2 - 8 +17.6 +7.7 +10.7
  Feb 12, 2019 111   Georgia W 73-56 67%     10 - 13 3 - 8 +18.3 +3.9 +15.4
  Feb 16, 2019 72   @ South Carolina L 77-84 37%     10 - 14 3 - 9 +2.4 +4.3 -1.5
  Feb 19, 2019 45   Alabama L 73-74 48%    
  Feb 23, 2019 59   @ Arkansas L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 26, 2019 23   @ LSU L 72-83 14%    
  Mar 02, 2019 117   Vanderbilt W 74-69 68%    
  Mar 05, 2019 72   South Carolina W 77-75 58%    
  Mar 09, 2019 22   @ Mississippi St. L 68-79 14%    
Projected Record 12.4 - 17.6 5.4 - 12.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.1 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 7th
8th 0.1 0.6 0.1 0.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 1.2 0.0 2.8 9th
10th 0.5 6.4 7.9 0.7 15.6 10th
11th 0.2 6.6 22.8 19.9 3.2 0.0 52.8 11th
12th 3.0 12.0 9.2 1.9 0.1 26.2 12th
13th 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.6 13th
14th 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
Total 4.3 19.2 32.6 28.3 12.8 2.6 0.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.2% 38.4% 38.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 38.4%
8-10 2.6% 3.4% 0.5% 2.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.6 2.9%
7-11 12.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.7 0.1%
6-12 28.3% 0.1% 0.1% 12.6 0.0 0.0 28.3
5-13 32.6% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 32.5
4-14 19.2% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 19.2
3-15 4.3% 4.3
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7 0.2%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.2%