Texas Arlington
Sun Belt
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.5#175
Achievement Rating+0.0#168
Pace67.4#227
Improvement+4.7#23

Offense
Total Offense-3.5#277
First Shot-4.1#290
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#136
Layup/Dunks-1.9#248
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#84
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#307
Freethrows+0.2#166
Improvement+2.2#76

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#95
First Shot+3.2#75
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#218
Layups/Dunks+0.4#153
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#209
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#37
Freethrows-0.5#216
Improvement+2.5#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.4% 9.4% 6.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.0 14.9 15.2
.500 or above 21.1% 28.7% 7.0%
.500 or above in Conference 97.5% 100.0% 92.8%
Conference Champion 7.3% 10.4% 1.6%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.3%
First Round8.3% 9.3% 6.4%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisiana (Home) - 64.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 10, 2018 180   Northern Iowa W 74-65 63%     1 - 0 +5.0 -5.0 +9.6
  Nov 16, 2018 282   TX A&M Corpus Christi L 67-73 80%     1 - 1 -15.5 -8.4 -7.2
  Nov 18, 2018 207   UC Davis W 68-59 69%     2 - 1 +3.5 -0.9 +4.9
  Nov 20, 2018 45   @ Indiana L 64-78 12%     2 - 2 -1.7 -4.6 +3.5
  Nov 23, 2018 58   @ Arkansas L 60-78 15%     2 - 3 -7.3 -13.1 +7.7
  Nov 27, 2018 96   @ Tulsa L 58-72 21%     2 - 4 -6.2 -5.6 -1.6
  Dec 01, 2018 186   UT Rio Grande Valley L 65-76 64%     2 - 5 -15.4 -5.5 -9.9
  Dec 04, 2018 89   @ Missouri L 45-65 19%     2 - 6 -11.4 -18.3 +5.1
  Dec 08, 2018 138   @ North Texas L 61-63 31%     2 - 7 +2.7 -0.8 +3.3
  Dec 18, 2018 2   @ Gonzaga L 55-89 1%     2 - 8 -7.2 -13.2 +9.1
  Dec 21, 2018 329   @ Cal Poly W 75-70 78%     3 - 8 -3.6 -9.4 +5.2
  Dec 28, 2018 27   @ Texas L 56-76 7%     3 - 9 -4.3 -4.2 -1.9
  Jan 03, 2019 131   Georgia St. L 58-63 48%     3 - 10 0 - 1 -5.0 -15.5 +10.5
  Jan 05, 2019 128   Georgia Southern L 64-77 47%     3 - 11 0 - 2 -12.7 -7.3 -5.8
  Jan 10, 2019 191   @ Appalachian St. W 82-72 44%     4 - 11 1 - 2 +10.9 +3.4 +7.0
  Jan 12, 2019 163   @ Coastal Carolina W 61-58 38%     5 - 11 2 - 2 +5.6 -5.2 +11.0
  Jan 17, 2019 259   Arkansas St. W 68-59 77%     6 - 11 3 - 2 +0.6 -6.7 +7.8
  Jan 19, 2019 206   Arkansas Little Rock W 82-73 68%     7 - 11 4 - 2 +3.6 +4.9 -1.6
  Jan 24, 2019 128   @ Georgia Southern W 72-67 27%     8 - 11 5 - 2 +10.8 +1.9 +9.0
  Jan 26, 2019 131   @ Georgia St. L 71-77 28%     8 - 12 5 - 3 -0.5 +1.3 -1.8
  Feb 02, 2019 124   @ Texas St. W 84-77 26%     9 - 12 6 - 3 +13.0 +5.6 +6.6
  Feb 07, 2019 163   Coastal Carolina W 74-54 59%     10 - 12 7 - 3 +17.1 +2.3 +15.4
  Feb 09, 2019 191   Appalachian St. W 78-68 65%     11 - 12 8 - 3 +5.4 +1.3 +4.2
  Feb 14, 2019 206   @ Arkansas Little Rock L 52-56 48%     11 - 13 8 - 4 -3.9 -11.8 +7.3
  Feb 16, 2019 259   @ Arkansas St. L 79-83 59%     11 - 14 8 - 5 -6.9 -3.7 -2.9
  Feb 21, 2019 185   Louisiana W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 23, 2019 157   Louisiana Monroe W 71-69 58%    
  Feb 28, 2019 220   @ South Alabama W 67-66 49%    
  Mar 02, 2019 233   @ Troy W 71-70 53%    
  Mar 09, 2019 124   Texas St. L 63-64 47%    
Projected Record 13.7 - 16.3 10.7 - 7.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 3.2 3.9 7.3 1st
2nd 0.1 4.3 10.3 1.6 16.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 3.8 17.0 6.5 0.1 27.6 3rd
4th 0.0 1.7 15.4 10.0 0.4 27.6 4th
5th 0.1 5.5 7.1 0.3 13.0 5th
6th 0.8 4.5 0.6 5.9 6th
7th 1.3 0.7 0.0 2.0 7th
8th 0.4 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 2.5 12.4 27.0 31.9 20.5 5.6 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 69.3% 3.9    1.1 1.9 0.8 0.1
12-6 15.7% 3.2    0.2 0.9 1.5 0.7 0.0
11-7 0.7% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-8 0.0% 0.0    0.0
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 1.2 2.8 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 5.6% 14.4% 14.4% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 4.8
12-6 20.5% 11.7% 11.7% 14.9 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.2 18.1
11-7 31.9% 9.3% 9.3% 15.1 0.0 0.3 2.1 0.6 29.0
10-8 27.0% 6.4% 6.4% 15.4 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.7 25.3
9-9 12.4% 3.5% 3.5% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 12.0
8-10 2.5% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.0 2.5
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 8.4% 8.4% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.1 1.8 91.6 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.8% 100.0% 14.0 0.1 16.8 68.0 15.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.8%
Lose Out 1.2%