Texas San Antonio
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.5#187
Achievement Rating-3.6#209
Pace76.7#47
Improvement+1.3#84

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#234
First Shot-1.3#219
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#206
Layup/Dunks-1.4#221
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#194
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#231
Freethrows+2.0#73
Improvement+0.3#148

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#155
First Shot+1.4#128
After Offensive Rebounds-1.0#247
Layups/Dunks-0.1#185
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#266
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#83
Freethrows-0.1#181
Improvement+1.0#93
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 4.9% 2.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.5 14.1 14.7
.500 or above 26.8% 48.3% 22.4%
.500 or above in Conference 57.1% 67.9% 54.9%
Conference Champion 3.7% 6.0% 3.2%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 1.8% 3.7%
First Four0.2% 0.1% 0.2%
First Round3.2% 4.9% 2.9%
Second Round0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Arkansas (Neutral) - 17.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2018 25   Oklahoma L 67-87 14%     0 - 1 -10.1 -7.9 +0.2
  Nov 14, 2018 73   @ Oklahoma St. L 60-82 14%     0 - 2 -12.1 -9.4 -1.6
  Nov 19, 2018 98   @ UC Irvine L 56-65 18%     0 - 3 -0.7 -9.6 +8.9
  Nov 20, 2018 83   South Dakota St. L 79-99 23%     0 - 4 -13.6 +1.5 -14.0
  Nov 21, 2018 240   Florida Gulf Coast W 76-65 63%     1 - 4 +6.2 -1.2 +7.2
  Nov 26, 2018 285   @ Houston Baptist W 86-82 59%     2 - 4 +0.1 -4.1 +3.7
  Dec 01, 2018 144   Texas St. L 68-69 50%     2 - 5 -2.4 -6.0 +3.7
  Dec 15, 2018 58   Arkansas L 74-84 17%    
  Dec 20, 2018 301   @ TX A&M Corpus Christi W 71-68 62%    
  Jan 03, 2019 213   UTEP W 74-69 67%    
  Jan 05, 2019 213   @ UTEP L 71-72 45%    
  Jan 10, 2019 315   Rice W 84-73 84%    
  Jan 12, 2019 124   North Texas L 71-73 43%    
  Jan 17, 2019 242   @ Middle Tennessee W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 19, 2019 217   @ UAB L 72-73 45%    
  Jan 24, 2019 307   Charlotte W 75-65 82%    
  Jan 26, 2019 105   Old Dominion L 65-68 39%    
  Jan 31, 2019 87   @ Western Kentucky L 70-80 17%    
  Feb 02, 2019 130   @ Marshall L 78-85 26%    
  Feb 07, 2019 229   Florida International W 91-85 69%    
  Feb 09, 2019 209   Florida Atlantic W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 14, 2019 148   @ Southern Miss L 69-74 32%    
  Feb 16, 2019 139   @ Louisiana Tech L 73-79 28%    
Projected Record 9.7 - 13.3 6.9 - 7.1





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.6 1.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 2.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 5.3 2nd
3rd 0.4 3.1 3.0 0.4 0.0 6.9 3rd
4th 0.1 2.5 4.9 1.0 0.0 8.5 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 6.0 2.4 0.1 9.6 5th
6th 0.3 4.8 5.2 0.4 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 2.2 6.9 1.4 0.0 10.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 6.0 3.7 0.1 10.4 8th
9th 0.1 3.2 5.8 0.7 9.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.3 5.3 1.9 0.0 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 3.4 2.9 0.2 0.0 7.0 11th
12th 0.2 1.7 2.8 0.5 0.0 5.1 12th
13th 0.1 0.7 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.3 14th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.5 4.0 8.1 12.5 16.3 17.2 15.5 11.5 7.4 3.7 1.4 0.3 0.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
13-1 97.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0 0.0
12-2 81.3% 1.2    0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
11-3 40.1% 1.5    0.4 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-4 8.0% 0.6    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-5 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-6 0.0%
7-7 0.0%
Total 3.7% 3.7 1.4 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0 0.0% 34.7% 30.6% 4.1% 12.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.9%
13-1 0.3% 23.5% 23.5% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-2 1.4% 17.8% 17.7% 0.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.2 0.1%
11-3 3.7% 12.4% 12.3% 0.0% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 3.2 0.0%
10-4 7.4% 9.6% 9.6% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.0 6.7
9-5 11.5% 6.3% 6.3% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 10.8
8-6 15.5% 3.3% 3.3% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 15.0
7-7 17.2% 1.7% 1.7% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 16.9
6-8 16.3% 1.0% 1.0% 15.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 16.1
5-9 12.5% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.1 12.5
4-10 8.1% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 8.1
3-11 4.0% 4.0
2-12 1.5% 1.5
1-13 0.4% 0.4
0-14 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.3 0.6 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%