Texas Southern
Southwestern Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.5#221
Achievement Rating+3.5#134
Pace81.4#14
Improvement+0.2#162

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#204
First Shot+1.3#145
After Offensive Rebound-2.4#311
Layup/Dunks+1.4#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#156
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.7#203
Freethrows+0.3#156
Improvement+1.2#77

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#248
First Shot-0.1#173
After Offensive Rebounds-2.3#313
Layups/Dunks+2.3#96
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#317
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#214
Freethrows+1.8#92
Improvement-1.0#265
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 36.9% 40.8% 34.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.6 15.4 15.7
.500 or above 83.6% 92.2% 78.5%
.500 or above in Conference 97.7% 98.7% 97.1%
Conference Champion 52.3% 58.7% 48.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Four14.8% 11.9% 16.6%
First Round29.1% 34.5% 25.8%
Second Round0.7% 1.0% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulane (Away) - 37.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 16 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 82   @ Baylor W 72-69 12%     1 - 0 +12.1 +6.2 +6.0
  Nov 10, 2018 2   @ Gonzaga L 67-104 2%     1 - 1 -14.2 -9.0 +0.3
  Nov 12, 2018 22   @ Iowa St. L 73-85 4%     1 - 2 +4.2 -0.3 +5.8
  Nov 14, 2018 70   @ San Diego St. L 64-103 11%     1 - 3 -29.0 -13.6 -10.8
  Nov 18, 2018 200   @ Evansville L 63-85 34%     1 - 4 -21.2 -17.4 -0.4
  Nov 26, 2018 35   @ Oregon W 89-84 5%     2 - 4 +19.9 +12.7 +6.6
  Dec 01, 2018 36   @ Arizona St. L 71-83 6%     2 - 5 +2.7 +1.6 +1.6
  Dec 03, 2018 111   @ Georgia L 75-92 15%     2 - 6 -9.5 +1.1 -9.2
  Dec 17, 2018 218   @ Tulane L 77-80 37%    
  Dec 19, 2018 229   @ Lamar L 77-79 41%    
  Dec 29, 2018 86   @ Texas A&M L 73-85 12%    
  Jan 05, 2019 345   @ Alcorn St. W 80-71 81%    
  Jan 07, 2019 333   @ Southern W 83-78 69%    
  Jan 12, 2019 271   @ Prairie View L 80-81 48%    
  Jan 19, 2019 288   Grambling St. W 84-77 72%    
  Jan 21, 2019 337   Jackson St. W 82-70 87%    
  Jan 26, 2019 322   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 78-74 64%    
  Jan 28, 2019 348   @ Mississippi Valley W 83-73 81%    
  Feb 02, 2019 328   Alabama St. W 85-74 83%    
  Feb 04, 2019 352   Alabama A&M W 82-65 94%    
  Feb 09, 2019 271   Prairie View W 84-78 69%    
  Feb 16, 2019 288   @ Grambling St. W 81-80 52%    
  Feb 18, 2019 337   @ Jackson St. W 79-73 71%    
  Feb 23, 2019 322   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 81-71 81%    
  Feb 25, 2019 348   Mississippi Valley W 86-70 92%    
  Mar 02, 2019 328   @ Alabama St. W 82-77 66%    
  Mar 04, 2019 352   @ Alabama A&M W 79-68 84%    
  Mar 07, 2019 345   Alcorn St. W 83-68 91%    
  Mar 09, 2019 333   Southern W 86-75 84%    
Projected Record 16.6 - 12.4 13.7 - 4.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.9 4.2 10.0 14.2 12.8 7.7 2.4 52.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.2 4.9 7.9 6.3 2.5 0.3 23.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 3.6 4.7 2.4 0.4 0.0 12.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 2.2 2.5 0.9 0.1 6.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.1 1.3 0.4 0.0 3.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.6 4.7 7.7 11.3 14.6 16.8 16.7 13.1 7.7 2.4 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 2.4    2.4
17-1 100.0% 7.7    7.6 0.1
16-2 97.5% 12.8    11.8 1.0 0.0
15-3 84.9% 14.2    10.9 3.2 0.1
14-4 59.6% 10.0    5.7 3.7 0.6 0.0
13-5 28.8% 4.2    1.5 1.9 0.8 0.1
12-6 7.8% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 52.3% 52.3 39.9 10.3 1.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 2.4% 66.1% 66.1% 14.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.1 0.8
17-1 7.7% 57.1% 57.1% 14.9 0.1 0.9 2.5 0.8 3.3
16-2 13.1% 50.7% 50.7% 15.3 0.0 0.5 3.3 2.8 6.5
15-3 16.7% 44.1% 44.1% 15.6 0.0 0.1 2.3 4.9 9.3
14-4 16.8% 37.8% 37.8% 15.8 0.0 0.9 5.4 10.4
13-5 14.6% 31.7% 31.7% 15.9 0.0 0.3 4.4 10.0
12-6 11.3% 26.0% 26.0% 16.0 0.0 2.9 8.4
11-7 7.7% 20.3% 20.3% 16.0 0.0 1.6 6.2
10-8 4.7% 16.5% 16.5% 16.0 0.8 4.0
9-9 2.6% 13.9% 13.9% 16.0 0.4 2.2
8-10 1.3% 11.0% 11.0% 16.0 0.1 1.2
7-11 0.6% 8.2% 8.2% 16.0 0.0 0.6
6-12 0.2% 6.1% 6.1% 16.0 0.0 0.2
5-13 0.1% 1.2% 1.2% 16.0 0.0 0.1
4-14 0.0% 0.0
3-15 0.0% 0.0
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 36.9% 36.9% 0.0% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.2 10.0 24.2 63.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 13.1 1.5 22.7 48.5 21.2 6.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.0%