UC Riverside
Big West
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-7.3#293
Achievement Rating-9.4#281
Pace63.0#328
Improvement+0.9#101

Offense
Total Offense-4.6#301
First Shot-2.3#251
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#303
Layup/Dunks-6.1#325
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#173
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#44
Freethrows-1.2#237
Improvement+2.9#12

Defense
Total Defense-2.7#258
First Shot-5.9#328
After Offensive Rebounds+3.2#22
Layups/Dunks-9.9#353
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#39
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#127
Freethrows-0.3#191
Improvement-2.0#311
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.9% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.9 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 2.8% 6.4% 1.6%
.500 or above in Conference 21.1% 27.9% 18.9%
Conference Champion 0.7% 1.1% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 22.0% 16.5% 23.8%
First Four1.1% 1.4% 1.0%
First Round0.8% 1.2% 0.7%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: UTEP (Away) - 24.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 64   @ Oregon St. L 59-72 6%     0 - 1 -2.3 -4.0 +0.5
  Nov 10, 2018 235   @ Portland St. L 64-71 29%     0 - 2 -8.5 -12.1 +3.9
  Nov 13, 2018 136   @ UNLV L 51-72 12%     0 - 3 -15.7 -13.9 -3.5
  Nov 22, 2018 163   @ Pacific L 54-74 17%     0 - 4 -17.0 -16.2 -1.6
  Nov 23, 2018 301   @ Elon W 77-64 41%     1 - 4 +8.0 +5.4 +3.2
  Nov 24, 2018 166   Abilene Christian L 48-60 34%     1 - 5 -15.2 -16.4 -1.4
  Nov 29, 2018 237   California Baptist L 70-80 51%     1 - 6 -17.6 -6.2 -11.6
  Dec 02, 2018 158   @ Valparaiso L 73-82 16%     1 - 7 -5.8 +9.8 -16.6
  Dec 06, 2018 225   Pepperdine W 75-71 47%     2 - 7 -2.7 +1.2 -3.7
  Dec 16, 2018 214   @ UTEP L 61-68 25%    
  Dec 22, 2018 135   Loyola Marymount L 59-66 26%    
  Dec 28, 2018 230   @ Air Force L 62-68 28%    
  Dec 30, 2018 223   @ Western Michigan L 64-71 26%    
  Jan 09, 2019 326   Cal St. Northridge W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 12, 2019 147   @ UC Santa Barbara L 58-69 15%    
  Jan 17, 2019 167   @ Cal St. Fullerton L 62-72 18%    
  Jan 19, 2019 186   Hawaii L 63-66 40%    
  Jan 23, 2019 306   @ Cal Poly L 64-66 43%    
  Jan 26, 2019 98   @ UC Irvine L 55-71 8%    
  Jan 31, 2019 306   Cal Poly W 67-63 65%    
  Feb 02, 2019 222   UC Davis L 61-62 47%    
  Feb 09, 2019 167   Cal St. Fullerton L 65-69 36%    
  Feb 14, 2019 147   UC Santa Barbara L 61-66 32%    
  Feb 16, 2019 186   @ Hawaii L 60-69 22%    
  Feb 23, 2019 195   Long Beach St. L 70-72 42%    
  Feb 27, 2019 326   @ Cal St. Northridge W 73-72 52%    
  Mar 02, 2019 98   UC Irvine L 58-68 19%    
  Mar 06, 2019 195   @ Long Beach St. L 67-75 23%    
  Mar 09, 2019 222   @ UC Davis L 58-65 27%    
Projected Record 8.7 - 20.3 5.6 - 10.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big West Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.9 1.7 0.4 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.2 2.9 0.6 0.0 7.6 4th
5th 0.0 1.3 4.9 4.5 0.9 0.0 11.6 5th
6th 0.2 2.3 6.9 5.9 1.3 0.0 16.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 4.5 9.2 6.8 1.4 0.1 22.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 5.5 8.1 4.7 0.9 0.0 20.8 8th
9th 0.5 2.2 4.3 4.2 1.9 0.3 0.0 13.3 9th
Total 0.5 2.2 5.7 10.3 14.6 16.6 15.9 13.1 9.6 6.0 3.3 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Big West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 93.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-3 77.8% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
12-4 44.8% 0.3    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-5 13.8% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
10-6 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 0.7% 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.0% 12.5% 12.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-3 0.2% 19.0% 19.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.1
12-4 0.6% 9.5% 9.5% 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-5 1.5% 7.7% 7.7% 15.8 0.0 0.1 1.3
10-6 3.3% 5.6% 5.6% 15.9 0.0 0.2 3.1
9-7 6.0% 3.5% 3.5% 16.0 0.0 0.2 5.8
8-8 9.6% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.2 9.3
7-9 13.1% 1.6% 1.6% 16.0 0.2 12.9
6-10 15.9% 1.1% 1.1% 16.0 0.2 15.7
5-11 16.6% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.1 16.5
4-12 14.6% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 14.6
3-13 10.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 10.3
2-14 5.7% 5.7
1-15 2.2% 2.2
0-16 0.5% 0.5
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 15.9 0.0 0.1 1.3 98.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.3%