Umass Lowell
America East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.1#268
Achievement Rating-4.2#225
Pace78.4#33
Improvement+0.8#105

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#176
First Shot-0.9#206
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#126
Layup/Dunks-1.1#210
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.6#35
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#208
Freethrows-2.5#298
Improvement-0.2#184

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#322
First Shot-4.2#295
After Offensive Rebounds-1.7#281
Layups/Dunks-8.1#349
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#38
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#123
Freethrows-0.5#205
Improvement+1.0#101
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.8% 4.7% 3.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.7 15.6 15.8
.500 or above 33.8% 47.0% 23.9%
.500 or above in Conference 53.0% 58.8% 48.7%
Conference Champion 2.7% 3.3% 2.1%
Last Place in Conference 4.8% 3.5% 5.7%
First Four1.8% 1.7% 1.8%
First Round3.0% 3.9% 2.3%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: St. Francis Brooklyn (Away) - 42.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 139   @ Massachusetts L 75-83 15%     0 - 1 -3.1 -4.2 +1.9
  Nov 10, 2018 259   Wagner W 88-84 60%     1 - 1 -4.7 +8.3 -13.2
  Nov 13, 2018 260   @ Central Connecticut St. L 74-86 37%     1 - 2 -14.8 -3.0 -11.7
  Nov 16, 2018 176   @ Brown L 74-82 23%     1 - 3 -6.2 -7.4 +2.4
  Nov 17, 2018 276   Army W 92-85 51%     2 - 3 +0.6 +8.4 -8.5
  Nov 18, 2018 290   Sacred Heart W 94-90 54%     3 - 3 -3.2 +9.2 -12.7
  Nov 25, 2018 160   @ Duquesne L 71-83 19%     3 - 4 -8.9 -7.6 -0.1
  Nov 27, 2018 77   @ Connecticut L 75-97 8%     3 - 5 -12.5 -0.9 -9.6
  Dec 01, 2018 209   NJIT W 94-71 49%     4 - 5 +17.2 +12.6 +3.1
  Dec 04, 2018 187   @ Boston University L 60-79 23%     4 - 6 -17.5 -12.5 -4.2
  Dec 11, 2018 289   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 78-80 43%    
  Dec 21, 2018 296   Loyola Maryland W 84-79 67%    
  Dec 29, 2018 290   @ Sacred Heart L 83-85 43%    
  Jan 05, 2019 165   Stony Brook L 77-80 39%    
  Jan 09, 2019 343   @ New Hampshire W 78-73 68%    
  Jan 12, 2019 192   Maryland Baltimore Co. L 76-77 46%    
  Jan 16, 2019 274   Albany W 79-76 61%    
  Jan 19, 2019 216   @ Hartford L 76-82 29%    
  Jan 23, 2019 325   @ Binghamton W 78-76 57%    
  Jan 30, 2019 330   Maine W 74-66 78%    
  Feb 02, 2019 110   Vermont L 72-80 25%    
  Feb 06, 2019 343   New Hampshire W 81-70 84%    
  Feb 09, 2019 165   @ Stony Brook L 74-83 21%    
  Feb 13, 2019 274   @ Albany L 76-79 40%    
  Feb 16, 2019 192   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 73-80 26%    
  Feb 21, 2019 325   Binghamton W 81-73 76%    
  Feb 23, 2019 216   Hartford W 80-79 50%    
  Feb 27, 2019 330   @ Maine W 71-69 58%    
  Mar 05, 2019 110   @ Vermont L 69-83 11%    
Projected Record 13.2 - 15.8 7.7 - 8.3





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.1 2.2 0.5 0.0 7.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.6 3.5 5.5 2.8 0.4 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.0 1.2 5.6 7.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 17.7 4th
5th 0.1 2.0 7.2 8.2 2.8 0.2 20.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.6 7.2 6.6 1.9 0.1 18.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.0 3.6 0.7 0.0 11.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.4 2.6 1.6 0.2 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.2 9th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.4 5.4 9.3 13.0 15.8 16.4 14.2 10.5 6.5 3.5 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
14-2 92.4% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
13-3 62.9% 0.8    0.4 0.4 0.0
12-4 26.7% 0.9    0.3 0.5 0.2 0.0
11-5 5.0% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 2.7% 2.7 1.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0
15-1 0.1% 39.3% 39.3% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-2 0.5% 24.1% 24.1% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4
13-3 1.3% 17.5% 17.5% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.1
12-4 3.5% 12.6% 12.6% 15.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 3.0
11-5 6.5% 9.5% 9.5% 15.6 0.0 0.3 0.4 5.9
10-6 10.5% 6.0% 6.0% 15.8 0.1 0.5 9.9
9-7 14.2% 4.4% 4.4% 15.9 0.1 0.6 13.6
8-8 16.4% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.5 15.9
7-9 15.8% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.3 15.5
6-10 13.0% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.2 12.8
5-11 9.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.1 9.2
4-12 5.4% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.3
3-13 2.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 2.4
2-14 0.9% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 0.9
1-15 0.2% 0.2
0-16 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 3.8% 3.8% 0.0% 15.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.7 96.2 0.0%