Umass Lowell
America East
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-4.6#236
Achievement Rating-4.6#230
Pace76.6#36
Improvement+1.7#101

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#156
First Shot+1.4#139
After Offensive Rebound-0.8#232
Layup/Dunks-0.2#174
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#99
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#167
Freethrows-0.2#193
Improvement-0.9#230

Defense
Total Defense-5.2#311
First Shot-3.6#285
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#308
Layups/Dunks-7.9#352
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#119
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#32
Freethrows-0.3#201
Improvement+2.6#56
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.0% 3.1% 2.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.8 15.8 15.9
.500 or above 33.8% 38.8% 6.1%
.500 or above in Conference 72.5% 80.1% 30.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.3% 1.2% 1.7%
First Round2.4% 2.6% 1.5%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Home) - 84.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 190   @ Massachusetts L 75-83 30%     0 - 1 -7.1 -4.8 -1.5
  Nov 10, 2018 275   Wagner W 88-84 68%     1 - 1 -5.3 +10.6 -16.0
  Nov 13, 2018 305   @ Central Connecticut St. L 74-86 54%     1 - 2 -17.6 -2.8 -14.6
  Nov 16, 2018 154   @ Brown L 74-82 23%     1 - 3 -4.7 -5.7 +2.2
  Nov 17, 2018 246   Army W 92-85 52%     2 - 3 +2.0 +10.5 -9.2
  Nov 18, 2018 255   Sacred Heart W 94-90 54%     3 - 3 -1.5 +10.0 -11.8
  Nov 25, 2018 152   @ Duquesne L 71-83 22%     3 - 4 -8.6 -7.0 -0.3
  Nov 27, 2018 83   @ Connecticut L 75-97 11%     3 - 5 -13.2 -1.2 -9.9
  Dec 01, 2018 197   NJIT W 94-71 51%     4 - 5 +18.1 +15.7 +0.9
  Dec 04, 2018 232   @ Boston University L 60-79 39%     4 - 6 -20.7 -17.8 -2.1
  Dec 11, 2018 262   @ St. Francis Brooklyn L 69-75 44%     4 - 7 -9.1 +1.3 -10.8
  Dec 21, 2018 281   Loyola Maryland W 97-79 68%     5 - 7 +8.5 +6.7 -0.4
  Dec 29, 2018 255   @ Sacred Heart W 100-91 43%     6 - 7 +6.3 +4.8 -0.3
  Jan 05, 2019 170   Stony Brook L 63-75 44%     6 - 8 0 - 1 -15.1 -12.3 -2.0
  Jan 09, 2019 347   @ New Hampshire L 64-68 77%     6 - 9 0 - 2 -16.5 -9.7 -6.8
  Jan 12, 2019 219   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 74-63 56%     7 - 9 1 - 2 +4.9 +4.0 +1.2
  Jan 16, 2019 293   Albany W 84-72 71%     8 - 9 2 - 2 +1.8 +17.4 -14.2
  Jan 19, 2019 188   @ Hartford W 76-73 29%     9 - 9 3 - 2 +4.0 +4.4 -0.2
  Jan 23, 2019 336   @ Binghamton W 85-79 69%     10 - 9 4 - 2 -3.7 +8.0 -11.7
  Jan 30, 2019 314   Maine L 59-78 76%     10 - 10 4 - 3 -31.1 -16.0 -15.8
  Feb 02, 2019 81   Vermont L 65-74 22%     10 - 11 4 - 4 -5.6 -7.3 +1.8
  Feb 06, 2019 347   New Hampshire W 72-62 89%     11 - 11 5 - 4 -8.0 +3.1 -10.0
  Feb 09, 2019 170   @ Stony Brook L 65-76 25%     11 - 12 5 - 5 -8.6 -7.1 -0.9
  Feb 13, 2019 293   @ Albany W 86-54 50%     12 - 12 6 - 5 +27.4 +11.6 +15.4
  Feb 16, 2019 219   @ Maryland Baltimore Co. L 66-70 35%     12 - 13 6 - 6 -4.6 -1.0 -3.7
  Feb 21, 2019 336   Binghamton W 80-69 85%    
  Feb 23, 2019 188   Hartford L 80-81 51%    
  Feb 27, 2019 314   @ Maine W 74-72 57%    
  Mar 05, 2019 81   @ Vermont L 69-83 10%    
Projected Record 14.0 - 15.0 8.0 - 8.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected America East Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.5 0.9 1.4 3rd
4th 0.2 7.0 18.0 1.9 27.1 4th
5th 1.5 21.5 35.5 8.5 67.1 5th
6th 1.8 2.2 0.1 4.2 6th
7th 0.2 0.0 0.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 9th
Total 3.5 24.0 42.7 27.0 2.8 Total



America East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 0.0%
9-7 0.0%
8-8 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6 2.8% 6.7% 6.7% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 2.6
9-7 27.0% 3.6% 3.6% 15.7 0.0 0.3 0.7 26.1
8-8 42.7% 2.9% 2.9% 15.9 0.0 0.2 1.1 41.4
7-9 24.0% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.6 23.4
6-10 3.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.1 3.5
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 3.0% 3.0% 0.0% 15.8 0.0 0.5 2.5 97.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 15.3 4.3 64.5 31.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.0%
Lose Out 2.4%