Weber St.
Big Sky
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-0.2#166
Achievement Rating-0.9#182
Pace75.6#49
Improvement+0.7#156

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#182
First Shot+2.0#128
After Offensive Rebound-2.0#311
Layup/Dunks+0.6#160
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#73
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#268
Freethrows+2.0#51
Improvement+0.7#158

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#178
First Shot-1.0#202
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#98
Layups/Dunks-4.1#323
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#306
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#19
Freethrows+0.2#168
Improvement+0.0#181
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.8% 20.2% 16.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 15.0 15.4
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.8%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 1.2% 1.8% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.6% 0.4% 0.8%
First Round18.6% 20.1% 16.3%
Second Round0.6% 0.7% 0.4%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Sacramento St. (Away) - 59.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 103   @ San Diego L 66-83 23%     0 - 1 -9.5 -3.5 -5.7
  Nov 15, 2018 338   San Jose St. W 85-77 88%     1 - 1 -5.1 -3.6 -2.7
  Nov 16, 2018 147   Central Michigan W 78-76 44%     2 - 1 +3.4 -3.4 +6.6
  Nov 18, 2018 200   Cal St. Bakersfield L 67-68 58%     2 - 2 -3.4 -7.3 +4.0
  Dec 01, 2018 73   BYU W 113-103 34%     3 - 2 +13.9 +18.9 -6.8
  Dec 05, 2018 59   @ Fresno St. L 52-71 15%     3 - 3 -8.3 -18.4 +11.2
  Dec 08, 2018 49   Utah St. L 67-76 18%     3 - 4 +0.3 -4.0 +4.6
  Dec 15, 2018 114   Utah Valley L 63-75 44%     3 - 5 -10.8 -9.4 -1.6
  Dec 22, 2018 353   Delaware St. W 83-69 98%     4 - 5 -10.1 -5.6 -5.4
  Dec 29, 2018 238   @ Eastern Washington W 84-72 56%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +10.2 +6.6 +3.1
  Dec 31, 2018 344   @ Idaho W 93-87 86%     6 - 5 2 - 0 -6.1 +12.6 -18.7
  Jan 03, 2019 307   Northern Arizona W 77-52 85%     7 - 5 3 - 0 +13.8 -7.8 +20.2
  Jan 05, 2019 279   Southern Utah L 82-90 81%     7 - 6 3 - 1 -17.4 -6.2 -10.1
  Jan 12, 2019 291   @ Portland St. W 95-88 66%     8 - 6 4 - 1 +2.4 +2.4 -1.1
  Jan 17, 2019 313   Idaho St. W 76-59 86%     9 - 6 5 - 1 +5.3 -5.5 +10.9
  Jan 19, 2019 183   Northern Colorado W 78-64 65%     10 - 6 6 - 1 +9.9 +3.9 +6.0
  Jan 24, 2019 227   @ Montana St. W 93-84 54%     11 - 6 7 - 1 +7.8 +8.2 -1.2
  Jan 26, 2019 109   @ Montana L 68-75 24%     11 - 7 7 - 2 +0.0 -4.2 +4.5
  Jan 31, 2019 291   Portland St. L 75-76 82%     11 - 8 7 - 3 -11.1 -4.1 -7.0
  Feb 02, 2019 264   Sacramento St. W 75-65 79%     12 - 8 8 - 3 +1.3 +0.9 +0.7
  Feb 07, 2019 279   @ Southern Utah L 53-65 64%     12 - 9 8 - 4 -15.9 -19.4 +3.2
  Feb 09, 2019 307   @ Northern Arizona W 86-71 70%     13 - 9 9 - 4 +9.3 +3.7 +4.8
  Feb 14, 2019 109   Montana L 80-83 43%     13 - 10 9 - 5 -1.5 +1.9 -3.2
  Feb 16, 2019 227   Montana St. W 94-82 73%     14 - 10 10 - 5 +5.3 +8.4 -3.9
  Feb 21, 2019 264   @ Sacramento St. W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 28, 2019 183   @ Northern Colorado L 72-74 43%    
  Mar 04, 2019 313   @ Idaho St. W 80-74 71%    
  Mar 07, 2019 344   Idaho W 81-64 95%    
  Mar 09, 2019 238   Eastern Washington W 79-72 76%    
Projected Record 17.4 - 11.6 13.4 - 6.6





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Big Sky Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.0 1.2 1st
2nd 0.2 6.9 25.0 13.7 45.8 2nd
3rd 0.4 8.9 24.4 10.4 44.1 3rd
4th 0.0 1.3 4.6 1.2 7.2 4th
5th 0.1 1.0 0.6 0.0 1.7 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 0.1 2.7 14.3 32.6 35.5 14.6 Total



Big Sky Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 6.7% 1.0    0.1 0.7 0.2
14-6 0.5% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.2% 1.2 0.1 0.7 0.3 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 14.6% 25.0% 25.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 2.0 1.5 0.0 11.0
14-6 35.5% 21.0% 21.0% 15.1 0.0 0.6 5.3 1.5 28.1
13-7 32.6% 16.8% 16.8% 15.4 0.1 3.1 2.3 27.1
12-8 14.3% 13.2% 13.2% 15.5 0.0 0.9 1.0 12.4
11-9 2.7% 9.8% 9.8% 15.7 0.1 0.2 2.5
10-10 0.1% 9.5% 9.5% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 18.8% 18.8% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 2.7 10.9 5.1 81.2 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.7% 100.0% 14.4 0.0 5.0 53.9 40.1 1.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.0%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 4.0%
Lose Out 0.0%