Western Carolina
Southern
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-8.2#303
Achievement Rating-9.6#301
Pace72.4#91
Improvement+0.8#144

Offense
Total Offense-3.3#269
First Shot-3.2#270
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#184
Layup/Dunks-0.2#176
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#345
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#95
Freethrows-1.0#252
Improvement+2.0#78

Defense
Total Defense-4.9#304
First Shot-5.7#327
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#92
Layups/Dunks-7.7#350
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#56
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.2#89
Freethrows-1.8#292
Improvement-1.3#248
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 n/a
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.3% 5.3% 22.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: The Citadel (Home) - 52.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 142   @ Wright St. L 73-96 12%     0 - 1 -18.6 -5.7 -10.4
  Nov 10, 2018 128   College of Charleston L 74-77 21%     0 - 2 -2.7 +2.1 -4.9
  Nov 14, 2018 103   @ SMU L 65-98 8%     0 - 3 -25.6 -12.1 -11.6
  Nov 20, 2018 131   Jacksonville St. L 53-84 15%     0 - 4 -28.3 -20.5 -5.0
  Nov 21, 2018 134   Southern Miss L 63-68 16%     0 - 5 -2.5 -8.5 +6.0
  Nov 24, 2018 252   Jacksonville W 77-65 49%     1 - 5 +4.0 -3.4 +6.7
  Nov 27, 2018 177   @ Wake Forest L 64-71 17%     1 - 6 -5.0 -11.4 +6.7
  Dec 01, 2018 64   @ Furman L 88-90 6%     1 - 7 0 - 1 +7.9 +7.7 +0.5
  Dec 05, 2018 32   @ North Carolina St. L 67-100 3%     1 - 8 -18.5 -10.6 -2.4
  Dec 08, 2018 341   @ UNC Asheville W 71-59 61%     2 - 8 +0.9 +3.8 -0.9
  Dec 15, 2018 225   @ High Point L 59-86 25%     2 - 9 -28.1 -5.8 -25.0
  Dec 18, 2018 28   @ Iowa L 60-78 2%     2 - 10 -2.4 -9.0 +6.5
  Dec 21, 2018 114   @ Bowling Green L 52-73 9%     2 - 11 -14.4 -13.6 -2.1
  Dec 29, 2018 38   Wofford L 54-74 7%     2 - 12 0 - 2 -11.6 -13.8 +0.7
  Jan 03, 2019 294   Chattanooga L 62-73 58%     2 - 13 0 - 3 -21.2 -11.3 -11.0
  Jan 05, 2019 176   Samford W 76-69 32%     3 - 13 1 - 3 +3.6 +5.8 -1.7
  Jan 10, 2019 187   @ Mercer L 80-84 19%     3 - 14 1 - 4 -3.0 +10.4 -13.6
  Jan 12, 2019 261   @ The Citadel W 94-82 31%     4 - 14 2 - 4 +8.9 -4.7 +10.9
  Jan 17, 2019 115   UNC Greensboro L 60-69 19%     4 - 15 2 - 5 -7.8 -8.3 +0.1
  Jan 19, 2019 320   @ VMI L 83-91 47%     4 - 16 2 - 6 -15.4 +5.3 -20.7
  Jan 26, 2019 100   East Tennessee St. L 69-91 16%     4 - 17 2 - 7 -19.7 -4.0 -15.4
  Jan 31, 2019 294   @ Chattanooga W 105-96 37%     5 - 17 3 - 7 +4.2 +22.5 -18.8
  Feb 02, 2019 176   @ Samford L 81-92 17%     5 - 18 3 - 8 -9.0 +4.7 -13.2
  Feb 07, 2019 64   Furman L 45-64 12%     5 - 19 3 - 9 -14.5 -22.4 +7.4
  Feb 09, 2019 38   @ Wofford L 56-83 3%     5 - 20 3 - 10 -13.2 -13.3 +0.2
  Feb 14, 2019 187   Mercer L 65-74 36%     5 - 21 3 - 11 -13.5 -10.5 -3.1
  Feb 16, 2019 261   The Citadel W 87-86 52%    
  Feb 21, 2019 115   @ UNC Greensboro L 65-80 8%    
  Feb 23, 2019 320   VMI W 81-76 68%    
  Mar 02, 2019 100   @ East Tennessee St. L 65-81 7%    
Projected Record 6.3 - 23.7 4.3 - 13.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 0.2 1.3 6th
7th 0.1 4.1 3.0 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 7.7 23.2 1.4 0.0 32.3 8th
9th 11.2 35.6 9.1 0.0 55.9 9th
10th 3.0 0.1 3.1 10th
Total 14.2 43.6 36.4 5.5 0.3 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.3% 1.0% 1.0% 16.0 0.0 0.3
6-12 5.5% 5.5
5-13 36.4% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 36.4
4-14 43.6% 43.6
3-15 14.2% 14.2
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 9.6%