Western Illinois
Summit League
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#268
Achievement Rating-13.6#320
Pace68.7#214
Improvement-1.6#295

Offense
Total Offense-4.5#294
First Shot-0.6#200
After Offensive Rebound-3.8#344
Layup/Dunks-6.6#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#42
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#55
Freethrows-1.4#251
Improvement-0.1#186

Defense
Total Defense-1.5#214
First Shot-1.5#219
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#179
Layups/Dunks-0.6#205
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#237
Freethrows+0.1#172
Improvement-1.5#293
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.9% 2.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 15.9 16.0
.500 or above 11.6% 22.7% 8.2%
.500 or above in Conference 35.6% 44.1% 32.9%
Conference Champion 1.6% 2.4% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 17.2% 12.2% 18.7%
First Four2.4% 3.1% 2.3%
First Round1.8% 2.6% 1.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: IUPUI (Away) - 23.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 41   @ Creighton L 67-78 5%     0 - 1 +2.5 -7.0 +10.0
  Nov 17, 2018 318   @ Eastern Illinois L 66-68 53%     0 - 2 -8.7 -15.9 +7.4
  Nov 21, 2018 300   @ Tennessee Martin L 90-92 45%     0 - 3 -6.7 +7.4 -13.9
  Nov 24, 2018 16   @ Nebraska L 49-73 3%     0 - 4 -6.9 -16.5 +9.7
  Nov 28, 2018 327   SIU Edwardsville W 83-58 78%     1 - 4 +10.8 +9.6 +3.4
  Dec 01, 2018 276   @ Southeast Missouri St. W 70-63 40%     2 - 4 +3.7 -2.4 +6.3
  Dec 05, 2018 337   @ Stetson L 64-68 64%     2 - 5 -13.8 -11.0 -3.0
  Dec 08, 2018 318   Eastern Illinois L 67-74 74%     2 - 6 -19.7 -12.7 -6.9
  Dec 15, 2018 182   @ IUPUI L 66-74 24%    
  Dec 17, 2018 162   @ Northern Illinois L 68-77 20%    
  Dec 20, 2018 349   Chicago St. W 81-67 90%    
  Dec 28, 2018 83   South Dakota St. L 71-80 19%    
  Dec 30, 2018 251   Denver W 71-69 58%    
  Jan 05, 2019 319   @ Oral Roberts W 72-71 53%    
  Jan 10, 2019 206   @ North Dakota St. L 68-74 28%    
  Jan 12, 2019 292   @ North Dakota L 70-72 44%    
  Jan 17, 2019 232   Nebraska Omaha W 73-72 55%    
  Jan 19, 2019 199   Purdue Fort Wayne L 76-77 48%    
  Jan 26, 2019 171   @ South Dakota L 62-70 23%    
  Jan 31, 2019 292   North Dakota W 73-69 65%    
  Feb 02, 2019 206   North Dakota St. L 70-71 48%    
  Feb 07, 2019 199   @ Purdue Fort Wayne L 73-80 27%    
  Feb 16, 2019 171   South Dakota L 65-67 42%    
  Feb 20, 2019 232   @ Nebraska Omaha L 70-75 34%    
  Feb 23, 2019 319   Oral Roberts W 75-68 73%    
  Feb 28, 2019 251   @ Denver L 68-72 36%    
  Mar 02, 2019 83   @ South Dakota St. L 68-83 8%    
Projected Record 9.9 - 17.1 6.6 - 9.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Summit League Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.6 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 2.2 2.3 1.1 0.2 0.0 6.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.2 3.3 0.9 0.1 0.0 9.8 3rd
4th 0.0 1.6 5.8 4.1 0.8 0.0 12.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.6 6.6 5.0 0.8 0.0 14.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 6.9 5.8 0.9 0.0 15.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 1.9 6.6 6.0 1.0 0.0 15.7 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.5 5.7 4.8 1.0 0.0 14.4 8th
9th 0.2 1.0 2.6 3.5 2.3 0.5 0.0 10.2 9th
Total 0.2 1.0 3.0 6.1 10.0 13.6 15.5 15.0 13.2 9.9 6.4 3.6 1.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Summit League Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
14-2 91.1% 0.2    0.1 0.0
13-3 62.0% 0.4    0.2 0.1 0.0
12-4 31.6% 0.5    0.2 0.3 0.1
11-5 9.7% 0.3    0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
10-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
9-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8-8 0.0%
Total 1.6% 1.6 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-1 0.0% 39.5% 39.5% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-2 0.2% 19.0% 19.0% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-3 0.6% 16.7% 16.7% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.5
12-4 1.7% 12.0% 12.0% 15.8 0.0 0.2 1.5
11-5 3.6% 8.4% 8.4% 16.0 0.0 0.3 3.3
10-6 6.4% 7.2% 7.2% 16.0 0.0 0.5 5.9
9-7 9.9% 4.7% 4.7% 16.0 0.0 0.5 9.4
8-8 13.2% 3.4% 3.4% 16.0 0.5 12.7
7-9 15.0% 2.7% 2.7% 16.0 0.4 14.6
6-10 15.5% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.3 15.2
5-11 13.6% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 13.5
4-12 10.0% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 10.0
3-13 6.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 6.1
2-14 3.0% 3.0
1-15 1.0% 1.0
0-16 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.7 97.1 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%