Western Kentucky
Conference USA
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.4#122
Achievement Rating+4.0#118
Pace69.3#168
Improvement+0.3#175

Offense
Total Offense+0.4#164
First Shot+0.8#160
After Offensive Rebound-0.3#193
Layup/Dunks+1.3#135
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#51
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#313
Freethrows+1.4#88
Improvement-1.6#256

Defense
Total Defense+3.0#93
First Shot+2.6#93
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#147
Layups/Dunks+0.7#137
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#80
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.6#249
Freethrows+2.3#43
Improvement+1.9#89
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19.7% 28.6% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.6 13.6 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round19.7% 28.6% 0.0%
Second Round2.1% 3.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 27.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 36   @ Washington L 55-73 16%     0 - 1 -3.9 -7.1 +2.6
  Nov 10, 2018 300   Tennessee Martin W 86-71 90%     1 - 1 +4.3 +2.8 +1.1
  Nov 15, 2018 184   Valparaiso W 83-71 68%     2 - 1 +10.6 +12.9 -2.0
  Nov 16, 2018 105   West Virginia W 63-57 45%     3 - 1 +10.6 -7.7 +18.3
  Nov 18, 2018 52   Central Florida L 62-78 29%     3 - 2 -6.8 -3.6 -3.7
  Nov 24, 2018 199   @ Indiana St. L 54-63 61%     3 - 3 -8.5 -12.0 +2.5
  Dec 01, 2018 312   Tennessee St. W 88-74 91%     4 - 3 +2.4 +6.5 -4.8
  Dec 05, 2018 148   @ Missouri St. L 78-84 48%     4 - 4 -2.0 +7.6 -9.6
  Dec 08, 2018 58   @ Arkansas W 78-77 24%     5 - 4 +11.7 +7.7 +3.9
  Dec 16, 2018 233   Troy L 81-87 84%     5 - 5 -13.2 -5.5 -7.1
  Dec 19, 2018 69   @ Belmont L 74-80 27%     5 - 6 +3.8 -3.3 +7.7
  Dec 22, 2018 53   St. Mary's W 71-68 39%     6 - 6 +9.3 -0.5 +9.9
  Dec 29, 2018 15   Wisconsin W 83-76 19%     7 - 6 +19.7 +16.4 +3.1
  Jan 03, 2019 287   @ Charlotte W 68-50 77%     8 - 6 1 - 0 +13.6 +9.6 +7.5
  Jan 05, 2019 111   @ Old Dominion L 66-69 37%     8 - 7 1 - 1 +3.9 +0.8 +3.0
  Jan 12, 2019 202   @ Marshall L 69-70 62%     8 - 8 1 - 2 -0.7 -6.1 +5.4
  Jan 17, 2019 223   Florida International L 76-77 82%     8 - 9 1 - 3 -7.4 -6.6 -0.7
  Jan 19, 2019 168   Florida Atlantic W 72-66 73%     9 - 9 2 - 3 +3.0 +4.8 -1.4
  Jan 21, 2019 202   Marshall W 68-59 79%     10 - 9 3 - 3 +3.8 -15.2 +18.3
  Jan 24, 2019 127   @ Southern Miss W 66-63 40%     11 - 9 4 - 3 +8.9 -1.9 +10.9
  Jan 26, 2019 136   @ Louisiana Tech L 50-62 44%     11 - 10 4 - 4 -7.1 -13.4 +4.8
  Jan 31, 2019 134   Texas San Antonio W 96-88 65%     12 - 10 5 - 4 +7.4 +14.1 -7.3
  Feb 02, 2019 266   UTEP W 76-59 87%     13 - 10 6 - 4 +8.3 +5.8 +2.9
  Feb 07, 2019 254   @ Rice W 92-85 72%     14 - 10 7 - 4 +4.3 -4.1 +6.8
  Feb 09, 2019 138   @ North Texas W 62-59 45%     15 - 10 8 - 4 +7.7 -5.3 +13.0
  Feb 14, 2019 244   Middle Tennessee W 71-63 85%     16 - 10 9 - 4 +0.4 +0.1 +0.8
  Feb 16, 2019 162   UAB L 60-68 73%     16 - 11 9 - 5 -10.9 -11.0 -0.4
Projected Record 16.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 5.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 0.0%
8-6
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5 100.0% 19.7% 19.7% 13.6 0.0 0.6 8.3 9.9 0.9 0.0 80.3
8-6
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 19.7% 19.7% 0.0% 13.6 0.0 0.6 8.3 9.9 0.9 0.0 80.3 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 19.7% 100.0% 13.6 0.0 2.8 42.3 50.4 4.5 0.0
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 15.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 33.4%
Lose Out 31.1%