Western Michigan
Mid-American
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.3#201
Achievement Rating-4.8#231
Pace68.6#218
Improvement+0.9#106

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#205
First Shot-2.9#261
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#70
Layup/Dunks-3.5#282
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#252
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#198
Freethrows+2.8#45
Improvement+1.6#54

Defense
Total Defense-1.2#207
First Shot-3.1#272
After Offensive Rebounds+1.8#61
Layups/Dunks-7.3#348
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#71
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#143
Freethrows+1.7#84
Improvement-0.7#233
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.8% 1.9% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.3 14.0 14.4
.500 or above 18.7% 37.1% 16.1%
.500 or above in Conference 23.5% 31.5% 22.3%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.7% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 22.7% 15.2% 23.7%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
First Round0.8% 1.9% 0.6%
Second Round0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Dayton (Away) - 12.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 297   Detroit Mercy W 89-76 78%     1 - 0 +2.5 +6.0 -3.9
  Nov 10, 2018 61   @ Mississippi L 64-90 11%     1 - 1 -15.1 -7.9 -6.4
  Nov 13, 2018 233   @ Oakland W 85-77 46%     2 - 1 +6.7 -3.7 +9.4
  Nov 19, 2018 29   @ Cincinnati L 52-78 6%     2 - 2 -10.5 -11.3 +0.9
  Nov 23, 2018 332   Southern W 85-70 82%     3 - 2 +3.0 +8.9 -5.0
  Nov 24, 2018 262   Nicholls St. L 61-62 63%     3 - 3 -6.6 -14.8 +8.2
  Dec 01, 2018 330   South Carolina Upstate L 66-71 87%     3 - 4 -19.6 -13.4 -6.3
  Dec 08, 2018 325   @ Youngstown St. W 88-77 70%     4 - 4 +3.3 +9.9 -6.7
  Dec 15, 2018 8   @ Michigan L 62-70 3%     4 - 5 +12.5 +4.2 +8.0
  Dec 19, 2018 76   @ Dayton L 64-76 12%    
  Dec 22, 2018 282   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 72-65 75%    
  Dec 30, 2018 296   UC Riverside W 71-63 78%    
  Jan 05, 2019 135   @ Akron L 64-72 25%    
  Jan 08, 2019 141   @ Kent St. L 70-77 26%    
  Jan 12, 2019 71   Toledo L 70-76 28%    
  Jan 15, 2019 27   Buffalo L 71-83 14%    
  Jan 19, 2019 207   @ Bowling Green L 71-74 39%    
  Jan 22, 2019 153   @ Ohio L 69-75 29%    
  Jan 26, 2019 183   Eastern Michigan W 69-67 58%    
  Jan 29, 2019 141   Kent St. L 73-74 47%    
  Feb 02, 2019 172   @ Central Michigan L 72-77 34%    
  Feb 05, 2019 207   Bowling Green W 74-71 62%    
  Feb 09, 2019 107   @ Ball St. L 70-80 18%    
  Feb 12, 2019 161   Northern Illinois W 74-73 53%    
  Feb 16, 2019 155   Miami (OH) W 72-71 51%    
  Feb 23, 2019 183   @ Eastern Michigan L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 26, 2019 161   @ Northern Illinois L 71-76 32%    
  Mar 02, 2019 107   Ball St. L 73-77 37%    
  Mar 05, 2019 71   @ Toledo L 67-79 14%    
  Mar 08, 2019 172   Central Michigan W 75-74 55%    
Projected Record 12.2 - 17.8 6.6 - 11.4





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 1.4 1.2 0.3 0.0 3.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.4 1.6 0.4 0.0 5.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 3.4 2.6 0.4 0.0 7.0 5th
6th 0.4 3.3 3.7 0.8 0.1 8.3 6th
7th 0.2 2.6 5.1 1.5 0.0 9.3 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 5.9 2.6 0.2 10.7 8th
9th 0.1 1.7 5.8 4.5 0.4 0.0 12.5 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 5.3 4.9 0.8 0.0 12.8 10th
11th 0.3 2.0 5.2 5.1 1.5 0.0 14.1 11th
12th 0.2 1.4 3.3 4.7 3.7 1.0 0.1 14.4 12th
Total 0.2 1.4 3.6 6.8 10.6 13.3 14.4 14.2 12.0 9.5 6.6 3.7 2.3 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 50.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 50.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0
14-4 18.4% 0.1    0.0 0.1
13-5 5.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.1
14-4 0.4% 5.3% 5.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
13-5 0.9% 9.1% 9.1% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
12-6 2.3% 4.3% 4.3% 13.2 0.1 0.0 2.2
11-7 3.7% 3.6% 3.6% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 3.5
10-8 6.6% 2.4% 2.4% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.4
9-9 9.5% 0.9% 0.9% 15.1 0.1 0.0 9.4
8-10 12.0% 0.7% 0.7% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.9
7-11 14.2% 0.4% 0.4% 15.6 0.0 0.0 14.1
6-12 14.4% 0.2% 0.2% 15.7 0.0 0.0 14.4
5-13 13.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.3
4-14 10.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.6
3-15 6.8% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.0 6.8
2-16 3.6% 3.6
1-17 1.4% 1.4
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 0.8% 0.8% 0.0% 14.3 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 99.2 0.0%