Western Michigan
Mid-American
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.9#263
Achievement Rating-7.7#279
Pace70.6#137
Improvement-3.1#299

Offense
Total Offense-2.4#247
First Shot-3.2#274
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#118
Layup/Dunks-3.3#293
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#241
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#201
Freethrows+1.9#55
Improvement-0.1#196

Defense
Total Defense-3.5#264
First Shot-4.6#309
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#73
Layups/Dunks-4.5#330
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#113
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#242
Freethrows+0.6#131
Improvement-3.0#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 91.3% 76.0% 94.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Eastern Michigan (Away) - 17.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 260   Detroit Mercy W 89-76 60%     1 - 0 +4.6 +6.7 -2.6
  Nov 10, 2018 38   @ Mississippi L 64-90 4%     1 - 1 -12.2 -5.0 -6.4
  Nov 13, 2018 216   @ Oakland W 85-77 30%     2 - 1 +7.5 -1.4 +8.0
  Nov 19, 2018 31   @ Cincinnati L 52-78 4%     2 - 2 -10.9 -13.2 +2.4
  Nov 23, 2018 342   Southern W 85-70 79%     3 - 2 +0.5 +10.7 -9.3
  Nov 24, 2018 322   Nicholls St. L 61-62 67%     3 - 3 -11.5 -19.6 +8.1
  Dec 01, 2018 337   South Carolina Upstate L 66-71 81%     3 - 4 -20.3 -12.4 -8.0
  Dec 08, 2018 283   @ Youngstown St. W 88-77 43%     4 - 4 +7.0 +10.5 -3.6
  Dec 15, 2018 8   @ Michigan L 62-70 2%     4 - 5 +12.2 +5.2 +6.7
  Dec 19, 2018 72   @ Dayton L 72-85 8%     4 - 6 -3.4 +1.6 -4.9
  Dec 22, 2018 304   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 66-67 69%     4 - 7 -12.1 -8.2 -3.9
  Dec 30, 2018 311   UC Riverside W 73-64 71%     5 - 7 -2.5 -4.6 +2.4
  Jan 05, 2019 126   @ Akron L 48-56 14%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -2.0 -15.7 +13.4
  Jan 08, 2019 142   @ Kent St. L 73-88 17%     5 - 9 0 - 2 -10.5 -2.8 -6.9
  Jan 12, 2019 67   Toledo L 77-85 17%     5 - 10 0 - 3 -3.6 +5.7 -9.2
  Jan 15, 2019 28   Buffalo L 79-88 8%     5 - 11 0 - 4 +1.1 +2.4 -0.3
  Jan 19, 2019 100   @ Bowling Green L 48-79 11%     5 - 12 0 - 5 -23.3 -21.5 -1.2
  Jan 22, 2019 209   @ Ohio L 76-81 29%     5 - 13 0 - 6 -5.1 +7.3 -12.4
  Jan 26, 2019 149   Eastern Michigan L 67-93 34%     5 - 14 0 - 7 -27.6 -5.8 -21.8
  Feb 02, 2019 147   @ Central Michigan L 64-85 17%     5 - 15 0 - 8 -16.9 -10.9 -5.6
  Feb 05, 2019 100   Bowling Green L 72-85 22%     5 - 16 0 - 9 -10.8 -3.2 -6.9
  Feb 09, 2019 120   @ Ball St. L 59-79 13%     5 - 17 0 - 10 -13.6 -11.5 -1.5
  Feb 12, 2019 150   Northern Illinois W 76-74 35%     6 - 17 1 - 10 +0.0 +0.4 -0.4
  Feb 14, 2019 142   Kent St. L 63-82 32%     6 - 18 1 - 11 -20.0 -5.9 -16.0
  Feb 16, 2019 144   Miami (OH) W 84-79 32%     7 - 18 2 - 11 +4.0 -0.3 +3.6
  Feb 23, 2019 149   @ Eastern Michigan L 62-72 17%    
  Feb 26, 2019 150   @ Northern Illinois L 68-77 18%    
  Mar 02, 2019 120   Ball St. L 71-78 27%    
  Mar 05, 2019 67   @ Toledo L 65-81 7%    
  Mar 08, 2019 147   Central Michigan L 77-81 34%    
Projected Record 8.0 - 22.0 3.0 - 15.0





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 9th
10th 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.4 10th
11th 8.6 12.5 4.1 0.2 25.4 11th
12th 32.0 31.7 8.7 0.6 0.0 73.0 12th
Total 32.0 40.3 21.2 5.7 0.8 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 0.0% 0.0
6-12 0.8% 0.8
5-13 5.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 5.7
4-14 21.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 21.2
3-15 40.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 40.3
2-16 32.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 32.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 26.5%