Wichita St.
American Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.2#114
Achievement Rating+3.7#132
Pace70.5#165
Improvement+0.5#131

Offense
Total Offense+1.7#123
First Shot-1.9#233
After Offensive Rebound+3.6#24
Layup/Dunks+1.6#129
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#329
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#123
Freethrows-1.3#243
Improvement-0.9#254

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#97
First Shot+2.1#109
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#149
Layups/Dunks+3.2#70
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#219
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#118
Freethrows-2.5#304
Improvement+1.4#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 7.4% 8.9% 3.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4.5% 5.6% 1.8%
Average Seed 10.7 10.6 11.4
.500 or above 62.0% 68.9% 44.9%
.500 or above in Conference 58.4% 61.8% 49.8%
Conference Champion 3.3% 3.9% 1.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 2.1% 4.0%
First Four2.1% 2.5% 1.1%
First Round6.2% 7.5% 3.1%
Second Round1.9% 2.4% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Jacksonville St. (Home) - 71.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 137   Louisiana Tech L 58-71 69%     0 - 1 -13.8 -20.4 +7.2
  Nov 09, 2018 72   Providence W 83-80 39%     1 - 1 +10.0 +12.2 -2.3
  Nov 15, 2018 79   Davidson L 53-57 41%     1 - 2 +2.4 -15.6 +17.9
  Nov 16, 2018 178   Appalachian St. W 82-76 70%     2 - 2 +4.8 +7.7 -2.8
  Nov 18, 2018 62   Alabama L 86-90 37%     2 - 3 +3.7 +17.7 -14.0
  Nov 25, 2018 315   Rice W 90-61 93%     3 - 3 +16.8 +2.7 +11.4
  Dec 01, 2018 82   Baylor W 71-63 54%     4 - 3 +11.1 -0.6 +11.5
  Dec 08, 2018 25   @ Oklahoma L 48-80 14%     4 - 4 -16.1 -17.8 +3.2
  Dec 12, 2018 145   Jacksonville St. W 75-69 71%    
  Dec 15, 2018 149   Southern Miss W 72-66 73%    
  Dec 19, 2018 320   Oral Roberts W 82-65 94%    
  Dec 22, 2018 88   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 65-70 34%    
  Jan 03, 2019 116   @ Memphis L 76-79 40%    
  Jan 06, 2019 68   Temple W 71-70 50%    
  Jan 12, 2019 33   @ Houston L 60-71 16%    
  Jan 16, 2019 41   Central Florida L 65-68 38%    
  Jan 19, 2019 26   Cincinnati L 63-69 30%    
  Jan 22, 2019 191   @ South Florida W 69-66 61%    
  Jan 26, 2019 77   @ Connecticut L 74-79 32%    
  Jan 30, 2019 115   SMU W 72-69 61%    
  Feb 02, 2019 118   Tulsa W 73-70 62%    
  Feb 06, 2019 257   @ East Carolina W 75-68 73%    
  Feb 09, 2019 218   Tulane W 78-68 82%    
  Feb 17, 2019 26   @ Cincinnati L 60-72 15%    
  Feb 20, 2019 118   @ Tulsa L 70-73 41%    
  Feb 23, 2019 116   Memphis W 79-76 61%    
  Feb 28, 2019 77   Connecticut W 77-76 53%    
  Mar 03, 2019 115   @ SMU L 69-72 40%    
  Mar 05, 2019 257   East Carolina W 78-65 87%    
  Mar 09, 2019 218   @ Tulane W 75-71 65%    
Projected Record 15.8 - 14.2 9.1 - 8.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 1.6 2.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0 6.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.4 4.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 9.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 3.0 5.3 2.4 0.3 0.0 11.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 2.9 6.4 3.0 0.3 0.0 12.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.4 6.2 3.7 0.4 0.0 12.9 6th
7th 0.1 1.8 5.8 4.1 0.6 0.0 12.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.5 4.9 4.1 0.8 0.0 11.3 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.0 3.6 0.8 0.0 9.7 9th
10th 0.1 0.9 2.6 2.2 0.6 0.0 0.0 6.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 3.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2 12th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.7 4.9 8.0 11.1 13.3 14.3 14.0 11.4 8.5 5.4 2.9 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.8% 0.1    0.1
16-2 92.5% 0.4    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 72.8% 1.0    0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 39.8% 1.2    0.4 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 11.1% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.3% 3.3 1.5 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 90.4% 20.5% 69.9% 6.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 87.9%
16-2 0.4% 82.0% 20.2% 61.8% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 77.4%
15-3 1.3% 66.5% 15.8% 50.7% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 60.3%
14-4 2.9% 49.4% 12.3% 37.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.5 42.4%
13-5 5.4% 28.5% 8.8% 19.7% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 3.9 21.6%
12-6 8.5% 15.5% 6.8% 8.8% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 7.2 9.4%
11-7 11.4% 7.5% 4.3% 3.2% 11.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 10.5 3.3%
10-8 14.0% 3.3% 2.5% 0.9% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.5 0.9%
9-9 14.3% 1.7% 1.6% 0.1% 12.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.1 0.1%
8-10 13.3% 0.9% 0.9% 13.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 13.2
7-11 11.1% 0.6% 0.6% 14.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 11.0
6-12 8.0% 0.4% 0.4% 14.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 8.0
5-13 4.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.4 0.0 0.0 4.9
4-14 2.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 2.7
3-15 1.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 7.4% 3.0% 4.4% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 2.0 1.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 92.6 4.5%