Wichita St.
American Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.1#112
Achievement Rating+4.6#109
Pace70.3#142
Improvement+0.6#162

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#145
First Shot-1.9#236
After Offensive Rebound+2.9#19
Layup/Dunks+1.2#137
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#203
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#234
Freethrows-1.1#253
Improvement+0.0#192

Defense
Total Defense+3.1#88
First Shot+1.5#124
After Offensive Rebounds+1.6#47
Layups/Dunks+4.1#34
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#184
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#209
Freethrows-1.9#293
Improvement+0.6#142
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.4% 2.1% 1.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.6 12.3
.500 or above 63.6% 84.6% 52.1%
.500 or above in Conference 49.0% 74.7% 34.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
First Round1.3% 1.9% 1.0%
Second Round0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Tulsa (Away) - 35.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 136   Louisiana Tech L 58-71 68%     0 - 1 -13.7 -16.8 +3.8
  Nov 09, 2018 80   Providence W 83-80 42%     1 - 1 +9.2 +14.7 -5.5
  Nov 15, 2018 79   Davidson L 53-57 42%     1 - 2 +2.3 -14.1 +16.2
  Nov 16, 2018 191   Appalachian St. W 82-76 72%     2 - 2 +4.1 +7.3 -3.1
  Nov 18, 2018 44   Alabama L 86-90 30%     2 - 3 +5.5 +17.8 -12.3
  Nov 25, 2018 254   Rice W 90-61 87%     3 - 3 +20.7 +3.9 +14.2
  Dec 01, 2018 33   Baylor W 71-63 32%     4 - 3 +16.9 +0.0 +16.7
  Dec 08, 2018 34   @ Oklahoma L 48-80 17%     4 - 4 -17.6 -18.0 +1.8
  Dec 12, 2018 129   Jacksonville St. W 69-65 65%     5 - 4 +4.2 -3.8 +7.9
  Dec 15, 2018 127   Southern Miss W 63-60 64%     6 - 4 +3.4 -10.0 +13.4
  Dec 19, 2018 280   Oral Roberts W 84-63 89%     7 - 4 +11.5 +5.0 +6.9
  Dec 22, 2018 47   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 54-70 22%     7 - 5 -3.9 -2.1 -3.5
  Jan 03, 2019 76   @ Memphis L 74-85 31%     7 - 6 0 - 1 -1.8 -0.4 -0.5
  Jan 06, 2019 70   Temple L 81-85 49%     7 - 7 0 - 2 +0.2 +0.3 +0.4
  Jan 12, 2019 20   @ Houston L 70-79 11%     7 - 8 0 - 3 +8.7 +10.1 -1.7
  Jan 16, 2019 52   Central Florida W 75-67 41%     8 - 8 1 - 3 +14.4 +13.5 +1.7
  Jan 19, 2019 31   Cincinnati L 55-66 30%     8 - 9 1 - 4 -1.5 -5.1 +2.1
  Jan 22, 2019 118   @ South Florida L 41-54 40%     8 - 10 1 - 5 -6.4 -23.2 +16.1
  Jan 26, 2019 83   @ Connecticut L 60-80 33%     8 - 11 1 - 6 -11.2 -6.9 -5.1
  Jan 30, 2019 104   SMU W 85-83 58%     9 - 11 2 - 6 +3.9 +14.0 -9.9
  Feb 02, 2019 96   Tulsa W 79-68 57%     10 - 11 3 - 6 +13.3 +8.6 +4.8
  Feb 06, 2019 267   @ East Carolina W 65-49 76%     11 - 11 4 - 6 +12.8 +3.6 +11.8
  Feb 09, 2019 290   Tulane W 77-62 90%     12 - 11 5 - 6 +5.0 -2.3 +6.6
  Feb 17, 2019 31   @ Cincinnati L 62-72 15%     12 - 12 5 - 7 +5.1 -4.6 +9.9
  Feb 20, 2019 96   @ Tulsa L 69-73 35%    
  Feb 23, 2019 76   Memphis W 79-78 52%    
  Feb 28, 2019 83   Connecticut W 74-73 54%    
  Mar 03, 2019 104   @ SMU L 70-73 37%    
  Mar 05, 2019 267   East Carolina W 76-63 89%    
  Mar 09, 2019 290   @ Tulane W 75-66 78%    
Projected Record 15.5 - 14.5 8.5 - 9.5





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 0.3 3rd
4th 0.1 2.3 1.8 4.2 4th
5th 0.0 4.6 10.5 1.3 16.4 5th
6th 0.0 2.0 14.7 2.7 0.0 19.4 6th
7th 0.4 10.3 9.3 0.2 20.2 7th
8th 0.2 5.5 15.1 1.3 22.1 8th
9th 0.0 2.0 9.0 3.0 0.0 14.1 9th
10th 0.3 1.9 1.2 0.0 3.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 12th
Total 0.4 4.1 16.1 30.4 30.0 15.6 3.4 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 3.4% 5.8% 3.7% 2.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.2 2.3%
10-8 15.6% 2.7% 2.5% 0.2% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 15.2 0.2%
9-9 30.0% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 29.5 0.0%
8-10 30.4% 0.7% 0.7% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 30.2
7-11 16.1% 0.4% 0.4% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.0
6-12 4.1% 0.4% 0.4% 14.6 0.0 0.0 4.1
5-13 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 15.5 0.0 0.0 0.4
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.4% 1.3% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.6 0.1%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.1% 100.0% 10.2 1.6 2.4 19.4 36.3 33.1 7.3
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.2% 14.8% 11.8 0.4 0.4 3.9 7.0 3.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 1.1% 3.0% 12.1 0.1 0.6 1.3 1.0
Lose Out 0.2%