William & Mary
Colonial Athletic
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.2#198
Achievement Rating-4.3#224
Pace69.9#181
Improvement-1.6#287

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#86
First Shot+3.1#87
After Offensive Rebound+0.4#146
Layup/Dunks+4.5#45
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#278
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#103
Freethrows-1.6#265
Improvement-1.4#290

Defense
Total Defense-5.7#322
First Shot-5.4#322
After Offensive Rebounds-0.3#202
Layups/Dunks-2.2#261
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#326
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#198
Freethrows+0.9#133
Improvement-0.2#199
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.6% 9.2% 4.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.1 14.3 15.1
.500 or above 19.8% 46.1% 19.5%
.500 or above in Conference 56.4% 71.6% 56.2%
Conference Champion 3.5% 7.4% 3.5%
Last Place in Conference 5.6% 2.6% 5.6%
First Four0.7% 0.2% 0.7%
First Round4.3% 9.0% 4.3%
Second Round0.2% 0.5% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 248   High Point W 79-69 72%     1 - 0 +1.9 +2.8 -1.0
  Nov 10, 2018 163   @ Duquesne L 70-84 31%     1 - 1 -11.1 -0.2 -11.2
  Nov 15, 2018 168   @ Illinois-Chicago L 95-100 32%     1 - 2 -2.5 +10.7 -12.6
  Nov 17, 2018 56   @ Notre Dame L 64-73 10%     1 - 3 +2.9 +0.8 +1.5
  Nov 20, 2018 133   Radford L 72-81 43%     1 - 4 -9.4 +2.9 -12.8
  Nov 24, 2018 103   Saint Joseph's W 87-85 35%     2 - 4 +3.9 +7.8 -4.0
  Nov 28, 2018 131   @ Marshall L 64-84 22%     2 - 5 -14.3 -8.1 -5.3
  Dec 01, 2018 170   George Mason L 84-87 55%     2 - 6 -6.5 +11.5 -18.1
  Dec 05, 2018 105   @ Old Dominion L 53-71 18%     2 - 7 -10.3 -9.1 -2.2
  Dec 08, 2018 240   @ Hampton W 76-71 49%     3 - 7 +3.1 +1.7 +1.3
  Dec 22, 2018 7   @ Virginia L 56-79 1%    
  Dec 28, 2018 233   James Madison W 76-71 69%    
  Dec 30, 2018 282   Towson W 78-70 76%    
  Jan 03, 2019 219   @ Delaware L 75-77 43%    
  Jan 05, 2019 251   @ Drexel W 82-81 50%    
  Jan 10, 2019 119   Hofstra L 78-81 39%    
  Jan 12, 2019 86   Northeastern L 75-80 32%    
  Jan 19, 2019 304   Elon W 82-73 79%    
  Jan 24, 2019 218   @ UNC Wilmington L 82-84 43%    
  Jan 26, 2019 123   @ College of Charleston L 68-77 22%    
  Jan 31, 2019 251   Drexel W 84-78 71%    
  Feb 02, 2019 219   Delaware W 78-74 64%    
  Feb 07, 2019 86   @ Northeastern L 72-83 16%    
  Feb 09, 2019 119   @ Hofstra L 75-84 21%    
  Feb 16, 2019 304   @ Elon W 79-76 60%    
  Feb 21, 2019 123   College of Charleston L 71-74 41%    
  Feb 23, 2019 218   UNC Wilmington W 85-81 64%    
  Feb 28, 2019 282   @ Towson W 75-73 56%    
  Mar 02, 2019 233   @ James Madison L 73-74 47%    
Projected Record 11.9 - 17.1 8.9 - 9.1




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 3.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.5 2.7 1.2 0.2 0.0 7.7 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.3 2.3 4.8 4.1 1.3 0.1 0.0 12.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 4.0 7.2 4.8 1.2 0.1 0.0 18.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 4.6 7.1 3.7 0.6 0.0 16.9 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 3.8 6.2 2.9 0.4 0.0 13.8 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.0 5.1 2.2 0.2 0.0 11.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 2.1 3.7 1.7 0.2 0.0 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.5 2.3 1.1 0.1 0.0 5.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.9 10th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.9 5.3 8.3 11.4 13.9 14.6 13.8 11.2 8.0 4.8 2.6 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.9% 0.3    0.3 0.0
15-3 77.1% 0.8    0.6 0.2 0.0
14-4 47.2% 1.2    0.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
13-5 17.0% 0.8    0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0
12-6 3.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.5% 3.5 1.8 1.2 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.1% 25.8% 25.8% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.3% 22.7% 22.7% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
15-3 1.1% 19.3% 19.3% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.9
14-4 2.6% 17.8% 17.8% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.1
13-5 4.8% 12.6% 12.6% 14.6 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 4.2
12-6 8.0% 9.4% 9.4% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.1 7.3
11-7 11.2% 6.6% 6.6% 15.2 0.1 0.5 0.2 10.4
10-8 13.8% 4.9% 4.9% 15.4 0.0 0.3 0.3 13.1
9-9 14.6% 3.6% 3.6% 15.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 14.1
8-10 13.9% 2.2% 2.2% 15.9 0.0 0.3 13.6
7-11 11.4% 1.4% 1.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2 11.3
6-12 8.3% 0.9% 0.9% 16.0 0.1 8.2
5-13 5.3% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 5.2
4-14 2.9% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 2.9
3-15 1.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 1.3
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 4.6% 4.6% 0.0% 15.1 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.0 1.5 95.4 0.0%