Wright St.
Horizon
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.8#141
Achievement Rating+1.1#151
Pace65.3#284
Improvement+0.6#163

Offense
Total Offense+1.2#139
First Shot+2.7#95
After Offensive Rebound-1.6#277
Layup/Dunks-1.8#241
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#215
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#56
Freethrows+1.4#82
Improvement-2.3#282

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#150
First Shot-1.1#207
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#35
Layups/Dunks+2.1#86
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.9#348
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#159
Freethrows+1.2#97
Improvement+2.9#43
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 26.3% 26.7% 22.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.4 14.9
.500 or above 99.8% 100.0% 98.3%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 59.7% 64.0% 23.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.2%
First Round26.3% 26.7% 22.7%
Second Round1.7% 1.7% 1.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cleveland St. (Home) - 89.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 07, 2018 289   Western Carolina W 96-73 86%     1 - 0 +13.0 +6.9 +3.6
  Nov 10, 2018 71   @ Murray St. L 54-73 23%     1 - 1 -9.3 -11.6 +0.9
  Nov 14, 2018 67   Toledo W 84-74 40%     2 - 1 +14.4 +5.4 +8.0
  Nov 17, 2018 212   North Florida W 89-72 77%     3 - 1 +11.1 +11.2 -0.3
  Nov 20, 2018 57   Penn St. L 59-77 27%     3 - 2 -10.0 -5.0 -5.9
  Nov 21, 2018 104   SMU L 76-77 39%     3 - 3 +3.7 +10.7 -7.1
  Dec 01, 2018 199   @ Indiana St. L 63-69 55%     3 - 4 -5.5 -1.6 -4.6
  Dec 05, 2018 144   Miami (OH) L 62-65 61%     3 - 5 -4.0 +0.2 -4.8
  Dec 08, 2018 142   @ Kent St. L 76-83 40%     3 - 6 -2.5 +9.2 -12.2
  Dec 18, 2018 268   Morehead St. W 78-67 84%     4 - 6 +2.2 +0.5 +2.0
  Dec 22, 2018 23   Mississippi St. L 63-67 12%     4 - 7 +10.3 +6.2 +3.4
  Dec 28, 2018 196   Illinois-Chicago L 72-75 74%     4 - 8 0 - 1 -7.9 -8.3 +0.6
  Dec 30, 2018 205   IUPUI W 72-64 75%     5 - 8 1 - 1 +2.6 +1.8 +1.3
  Jan 03, 2019 260   @ Detroit Mercy L 58-79 67%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -23.9 -17.0 -7.4
  Jan 05, 2019 216   @ Oakland W 89-73 59%     6 - 9 2 - 2 +15.5 +11.3 +3.9
  Jan 11, 2019 106   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-68 30%     6 - 10 2 - 3 +3.3 -2.1 +5.0
  Jan 17, 2019 283   @ Youngstown St. W 80-74 71%     7 - 10 3 - 3 +2.0 +5.4 -3.2
  Jan 19, 2019 306   @ Cleveland St. W 89-66 76%     8 - 10 4 - 3 +17.3 +17.5 +1.3
  Jan 24, 2019 304   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 56-54 88%     9 - 10 5 - 3 -9.1 -17.0 +8.2
  Jan 26, 2019 224   Green Bay W 87-75 79%     10 - 10 6 - 3 +5.4 +10.1 -4.7
  Feb 01, 2019 196   @ Illinois-Chicago L 53-67 54%     10 - 11 6 - 4 -13.3 -16.5 +2.7
  Feb 03, 2019 205   @ IUPUI W 79-74 57%     11 - 11 7 - 4 +5.1 +3.7 +1.3
  Feb 07, 2019 216   Oakland W 76-62 77%     12 - 11 8 - 4 +8.0 -5.4 +12.9
  Feb 09, 2019 260   Detroit Mercy W 83-60 83%     13 - 11 9 - 4 +14.6 +3.2 +11.2
  Feb 15, 2019 106   Northern Kentucky W 81-77 50%     14 - 11 10 - 4 +5.7 +9.4 -3.6
  Feb 21, 2019 306   Cleveland St. W 79-66 89%    
  Feb 23, 2019 283   Youngstown St. W 77-66 86%    
  Feb 28, 2019 224   @ Green Bay W 79-76 60%    
  Mar 02, 2019 304   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 72-65 75%    
Projected Record 17.1 - 11.9 13.1 - 4.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 2.2 21.7 35.7 59.7 1st
2nd 0.0 2.2 14.6 20.9 37.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 1.2 2.5 3rd
4th 0.1 0.0 0.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 0.2 3.4 18.0 42.7 35.7 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 35.7    17.7 18.0
13-5 50.9% 21.7    4.8 15.6 1.3
12-6 12.0% 2.2    0.2 1.3 0.7 0.0
11-7 0.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total 59.7% 59.7 22.7 34.9 2.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 35.7% 29.6% 29.6% 13.9 0.0 0.1 2.5 6.6 1.5 0.0 25.2
13-5 42.7% 25.8% 25.8% 14.7 0.1 3.4 7.1 0.5 31.7
12-6 18.0% 22.5% 22.5% 15.0 0.0 0.5 3.0 0.5 13.9
11-7 3.4% 19.0% 19.0% 15.2 0.0 0.4 0.2 2.7
10-8 0.2% 14.6% 14.6% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.2
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 26.3% 26.3% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.1 2.6 10.5 12.0 1.2 73.7 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 10.6% 100.0% 13.9 0.0 0.6 23.2 62.1 14.0 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 10.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 7.9%
Lose Out 0.1%