Youngstown St.
Horizon
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-11.8#332
Achievement Rating-15.8#333
Pace74.7#82
Improvement-1.3#275

Offense
Total Offense-4.1#288
First Shot-8.0#338
After Offensive Rebound+3.9#17
Layup/Dunks-7.6#347
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#63
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#113
Freethrows-5.2#348
Improvement-0.2#185

Defense
Total Defense-7.7#346
First Shot-6.9#341
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#232
Layups/Dunks-6.8#339
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#300
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#87
Freethrows-0.8#223
Improvement-1.2#274
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 3.5% 5.0% 2.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 60.0% 54.0% 63.3%
First Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Binghamton (Away) - 35.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 122   @ Pittsburgh L 53-69 5%     0 - 1 -9.4 -14.4 +5.2
  Nov 10, 2018 132   Akron L 69-98 9%     0 - 2 -26.3 +0.0 -26.7
  Nov 16, 2018 257   Columbia W 94-83 27%     1 - 2 +5.6 +6.0 -1.6
  Nov 17, 2018 250   @ Fordham L 61-67 18%     1 - 3 -8.2 -10.6 +2.4
  Nov 18, 2018 229   Florida International L 93-102 23%     1 - 4 -13.1 +1.8 -13.4
  Nov 28, 2018 280   @ Robert Morris L 56-76 22%     1 - 5 -23.8 -13.0 -11.8
  Dec 01, 2018 38   @ West Virginia L 72-106 2%     1 - 6 -19.8 +1.8 -19.2
  Dec 04, 2018 173   Central Michigan L 94-100 22%     1 - 7 -9.8 -9.1 +1.0
  Dec 08, 2018 224   Western Michigan L 77-88 31%     1 - 8 -17.6 +0.4 -17.9
  Dec 15, 2018 326   @ Binghamton L 72-76 35%    
  Dec 18, 2018 14   @ Ohio St. L 59-88 0.3%   
  Dec 28, 2018 302   Detroit Mercy L 81-82 46%    
  Dec 30, 2018 235   Oakland L 78-82 34%    
  Jan 03, 2019 203   @ Green Bay L 78-90 13%    
  Jan 05, 2019 294   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 70-77 25%    
  Jan 10, 2019 168   @ Illinois-Chicago L 75-89 9%    
  Jan 12, 2019 182   @ IUPUI L 70-83 11%    
  Jan 17, 2019 144   Wright St. L 71-81 17%    
  Jan 19, 2019 127   Northern Kentucky L 70-82 14%    
  Jan 26, 2019 256   @ Cleveland St. L 73-82 20%    
  Jan 31, 2019 235   @ Oakland L 75-85 18%    
  Feb 02, 2019 302   @ Detroit Mercy L 78-85 26%    
  Feb 07, 2019 294   Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 09, 2019 203   Green Bay L 81-87 29%    
  Feb 14, 2019 182   IUPUI L 73-80 25%    
  Feb 16, 2019 168   Illinois-Chicago L 78-86 23%    
  Feb 21, 2019 127   @ Northern Kentucky L 67-85 5%    
  Feb 23, 2019 144   @ Wright St. L 68-84 7%    
  Mar 02, 2019 256   Cleveland St. L 76-79 38%    
Projected Record 5.4 - 23.6 4.1 - 13.9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.8 0.5 0.0 0.0 4.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 2.8 3.1 0.9 0.1 7.6 7th
8th 0.2 1.7 4.9 5.0 1.5 0.1 0.0 13.3 8th
9th 0.1 1.1 4.7 8.7 6.9 2.0 0.2 0.0 23.6 9th
10th 2.9 8.5 13.6 12.8 7.1 1.9 0.2 0.0 47.1 10th
Total 2.9 8.6 14.7 17.7 17.5 14.4 10.3 6.6 3.8 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 83.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-5 37.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 7.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 1.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.0% 2.5% 2.5% 16.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 5.4% 5.4% 16.0 0.0 0.2
11-7 0.4% 2.3% 2.3% 16.0 0.0 0.4
10-8 0.9% 3.1% 3.1% 16.0 0.0 0.0 0.9
9-9 2.0% 1.7% 1.7% 16.0 0.0 1.9
8-10 3.8% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.0 3.8
7-11 6.6% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.0 6.6
6-12 10.3% 0.2% 0.2% 16.0 0.0 10.3
5-13 14.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 14.4
4-14 17.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.5
3-15 17.7% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 17.7
2-16 14.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 14.7
1-17 8.6% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 8.6
0-18 2.9% 2.9
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 0.2 99.8 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 1.9%