Youngstown St.
Horizon
2017-18 - 2018-19 - 2019-20
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Overall
Predictive Rating-6.9#284
Achievement Rating-5.8#251
Pace68.5#192
Improvement+6.3#7

Offense
Total Offense-1.1#213
First Shot-4.9#300
After Offensive Rebound+3.8#7
Layup/Dunks-6.2#340
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#140
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#40
Freethrows-3.9#344
Improvement+3.3#41

Defense
Total Defense-5.8#327
First Shot-5.0#317
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#255
Layups/Dunks-4.2#324
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#112
Freethrows-1.8#288
Improvement+3.0#40
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 2.0% 1.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 40.5% 75.1% 14.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.3% 1.5% 1.2%
First Round0.9% 1.3% 0.6%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Illinois-Chicago (Home) - 43.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2018 91   @ Pittsburgh L 53-69 9%     0 - 1 -7.8 -14.8 +7.2
  Nov 10, 2018 125   Akron L 69-98 17%     0 - 2 -25.8 +2.7 -29.0
  Nov 16, 2018 241   Columbia W 94-83 41%     1 - 2 +6.3 +9.1 -4.0
  Nov 17, 2018 236   @ Fordham L 61-67 31%     1 - 3 -7.8 -12.2 +4.4
  Nov 18, 2018 227   Florida International L 93-102 40%     1 - 4 -13.2 +4.5 -16.2
  Nov 28, 2018 273   @ Robert Morris L 56-76 38%     1 - 5 -23.7 -12.3 -12.4
  Dec 01, 2018 100   @ West Virginia L 72-106 9%     1 - 6 -26.2 -0.9 -22.9
  Dec 04, 2018 148   Central Michigan L 94-100 30%     1 - 7 -7.4 -9.4 +3.8
  Dec 08, 2018 274   Western Michigan L 77-88 59%     1 - 8 -20.1 -1.3 -18.7
  Dec 15, 2018 335   @ Binghamton W 58-48 61%     2 - 8 +0.3 -8.9 +10.9
  Dec 18, 2018 41   @ Ohio St. L 56-75 4%     2 - 9 -5.4 -3.1 -3.8
  Dec 28, 2018 259   Detroit Mercy L 66-78 56%     2 - 10 0 - 1 -20.4 -10.9 -9.9
  Dec 30, 2018 224   Oakland L 74-76 49%     2 - 11 0 - 2 -8.5 -2.8 -5.8
  Jan 03, 2019 226   @ Green Bay L 93-99 29%     2 - 12 0 - 3 -7.5 +9.5 -16.3
  Jan 05, 2019 297   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 76-51 43%     3 - 12 1 - 3 +20.0 +9.0 +13.2
  Jan 10, 2019 197   @ Illinois-Chicago L 63-78 24%     3 - 13 1 - 4 -14.4 -5.2 -10.0
  Jan 12, 2019 201   @ IUPUI W 82-76 25%     4 - 13 2 - 4 +6.3 +7.9 -1.7
  Jan 17, 2019 142   Wright St. L 74-80 29%     4 - 14 2 - 5 -7.0 +2.6 -9.8
  Jan 19, 2019 105   Northern Kentucky L 74-82 20%     4 - 15 2 - 6 -6.2 +1.1 -7.3
  Jan 26, 2019 309   @ Cleveland St. L 62-72 47%     4 - 16 2 - 7 -16.0 -13.4 -2.8
  Jan 31, 2019 224   @ Oakland W 75-74 29%     5 - 16 3 - 7 -0.1 +1.1 -1.2
  Feb 02, 2019 259   @ Detroit Mercy W 72-70 35%     6 - 16 4 - 7 -1.0 -3.0 +2.1
  Feb 07, 2019 297   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 72-71 64%     7 - 16 5 - 7 -9.4 +1.1 -10.4
  Feb 09, 2019 226   Green Bay W 96-77 49%     8 - 16 6 - 7 +12.1 +15.4 -4.3
  Feb 14, 2019 201   IUPUI W 75-73 43%     9 - 16 7 - 7 -3.1 +2.3 -5.3
  Feb 16, 2019 197   Illinois-Chicago L 74-76 43%    
  Feb 21, 2019 105   @ Northern Kentucky L 68-82 9%    
  Feb 23, 2019 142   @ Wright St. L 66-77 14%    
  Mar 02, 2019 309   Cleveland St. W 78-73 67%    
Projected Record 10.3 - 18.7 8.3 - 9.7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.6 2.7 0.4 3.6 3rd
4th 0.4 10.7 3.8 0.1 14.9 4th
5th 0.1 10.9 18.0 0.5 29.4 5th
6th 4.0 26.1 3.7 33.8 6th
7th 9.4 6.6 15.9 7th
8th 2.1 0.1 2.2 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 15.5 44.1 33.0 7.0 0.5 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 1.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.5% 6.0% 6.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.5
10-8 7.0% 3.0% 3.0% 15.9 0.0 0.2 6.8
9-9 33.0% 2.1% 2.1% 16.0 0.0 0.7 32.3
8-10 44.1% 1.3% 1.3% 16.0 0.6 43.5
7-11 15.5% 0.6% 0.6% 16.0 0.1 15.4
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 1.6% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 1.5 98.4 0.0%


Optimistic/Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1%
Lose Out 8.6%