Alabama St.
Southwestern Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-12.3#337
Expected Predictive Rating-14.3#339
Pace71.1#113
Improvement+0.6#156

Offense
Total Offense-11.2#350
First Shot-10.2#349
After Offensive Rebound-1.0#250
Layup/Dunks-4.8#335
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.4#273
Freethrows-2.5#332
Improvement-1.8#273

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#213
First Shot-1.0#210
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#196
Layups/Dunks-2.7#291
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.4#16
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#196
Freethrows-0.2#198
Improvement+2.3#66
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 5
Quad 20 - 30 - 8
Quad 30 - 50 - 13
Quad 48 - 118 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2019 2   @ Gonzaga L 64-95 0.4%    0 - 1 -8.7 -0.6 -8.5
  Nov 10, 2019 119   @ Missouri St. L 50-59 5%     0 - 2 -2.6 -18.8 +16.1
  Nov 12, 2019 19   @ Houston L 56-84 1%     0 - 3 -11.3 -8.0 -3.3
  Nov 20, 2019 61   @ Tennessee L 41-76 2%     0 - 4 -23.7 -26.1 +3.0
  Nov 25, 2019 73   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-78 3%     0 - 5 -5.8 -2.4 -3.8
  Nov 29, 2019 143   Chattanooga L 56-74 10%     0 - 6 -16.5 -20.3 +4.4
  Nov 30, 2019 353   Chicago St. W 67-54 84%     1 - 6 -10.1 -24.3 +13.0
  Dec 09, 2019 178   @ South Dakota L 59-73 9%     1 - 7 -11.6 -14.0 +1.8
  Dec 11, 2019 79   @ Kansas St. L 41-86 3%     1 - 8 -35.4 -22.9 -14.0
  Dec 14, 2019 77   @ Boise St. L 57-100 3%     1 - 9 -33.2 -14.0 -16.8
  Dec 21, 2019 176   UAB L 63-71 14%     1 - 10 -8.5 -7.9 -0.8
  Dec 22, 2019 172   Austin Peay L 69-80 13%     1 - 11 -11.1 -4.3 -7.2
  Dec 29, 2019 20   @ Oregon L 59-98 1%     1 - 12 -22.3 -7.3 -15.7
  Jan 04, 2020 287   @ Jackson St. L 67-70 22%     1 - 13 0 - 1 -7.2 +1.7 -9.1
  Jan 06, 2020 313   @ Grambling St. L 63-68 27%     1 - 14 0 - 2 -11.0 -15.1 +4.5
  Jan 11, 2020 352   Mississippi Valley W 81-75 87%     2 - 14 1 - 2 -18.6 -13.0 -6.1
  Jan 13, 2020 348   Arkansas Pine Bluff L 56-61 80%     2 - 15 1 - 3 -26.1 -16.3 -10.3
  Jan 18, 2020 344   @ Alabama A&M W 65-56 50%     3 - 15 2 - 3 -3.3 -4.1 +1.7
  Jan 25, 2020 261   @ Southern L 71-80 19%     3 - 16 2 - 4 -11.9 -0.2 -11.9
  Jan 27, 2020 326   @ Alcorn St. L 60-63 34%     3 - 17 2 - 5 -11.0 -8.4 -3.1
  Feb 01, 2020 226   Prairie View W 52-49 30%     4 - 17 3 - 5 -3.8 -20.4 +16.7
  Feb 03, 2020 291   Texas Southern W 79-55 43%     5 - 17 4 - 5 +13.5 -13.3 +22.9
  Feb 08, 2020 352   @ Mississippi Valley W 87-74 72%     6 - 17 5 - 5 -5.5 -3.6 -3.0
  Feb 10, 2020 348   @ Arkansas Pine Bluff W 57-49 61%     7 - 17 6 - 5 -7.1 -14.5 +7.6
  Feb 15, 2020 344   Alabama A&M W 61-58 72%     8 - 17 7 - 5 -15.3 -17.4 +2.1
  Feb 22, 2020 261   Southern L 44-56 37%     8 - 18 7 - 6 -20.9 -31.1 +9.9
  Feb 24, 2020 326   Alcorn St. L 77-80 57%     8 - 19 7 - 7 -17.0 -11.9 -4.8
  Feb 29, 2020 226   @ Prairie View L 58-65 14%     8 - 20 7 - 8 -7.8 -15.4 +8.0
  Mar 02, 2020 291   @ Texas Southern L 73-78 23%     8 - 21 7 - 9 -9.4 -13.2 +4.5
  Mar 05, 2020 287   Jackson St. L 59-71 42%     8 - 22 7 - 10 -22.3 -15.0 -7.3
  Mar 07, 2020 313   Grambling St. L 58-70 49%     8 - 23 7 - 11 -24.0 -23.4 +0.4
  Mar 10, 2020 261   @ Southern L 53-67 19%     8 - 24 -16.9 -17.6 +0.1
Projected Record 8 - 24 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southwestern Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southwestern Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%