Boise St.
Mountain West
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.8#77
Expected Predictive Rating+6.8#79
Pace70.4#133
Improvement+2.7#74

Offense
Total Offense+3.3#85
First Shot+3.9#58
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#226
Layup/Dunks+1.4#122
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.2#123
Freethrows+2.6#20
Improvement+0.4#158

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#77
First Shot+0.8#136
After Offensive Rebounds+2.7#4
Layups/Dunks-0.9#210
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.5#322
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.1#83
Freethrows+2.0#44
Improvement+2.3#68
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.1% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 01 - 5
Quad 23 - 44 - 9
Quad 36 - 310 - 12
Quad 49 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 20   @ Oregon L 75-106 18%     0 - 1 -14.3 +3.2 -15.6
  Nov 15, 2019 116   UC Irvine L 60-69 72%     0 - 2 -8.2 -15.5 +7.7
  Nov 20, 2019 22   BYU W 72-68 OT 36%     1 - 2 +14.6 -5.8 +20.0
  Nov 23, 2019 125   @ Pacific W 82-76 3OT 54%     2 - 2 +11.8 -1.9 +12.6
  Nov 29, 2019 303   UNC Wilmington W 80-59 94%     3 - 2 +10.0 +5.0 +5.1
  Dec 04, 2019 139   @ New Mexico L 78-80 57%     3 - 3 0 - 1 +2.9 +13.0 -10.2
  Dec 07, 2019 101   Colorado St. W 75-64 68%     4 - 3 1 - 1 +12.9 -1.9 +14.4
  Dec 11, 2019 75   @ Tulsa L 56-69 38%     4 - 4 -3.1 -6.8 +3.2
  Dec 14, 2019 337   Alabama St. W 100-57 97%     5 - 4 +27.6 +18.9 +6.3
  Dec 22, 2019 58   Georgia Tech L 60-74 43%     5 - 5 -5.5 -9.4 +4.9
  Dec 23, 2019 297   Portland W 85-69 91%     6 - 5 +8.2 +12.0 -3.5
  Dec 25, 2019 188   UTEP W 72-67 78%     7 - 5 +3.8 +2.4 +1.4
  Dec 28, 2019 240   Cal St. Northridge W 103-72 90%     8 - 5 +23.7 +6.7 +12.7
  Jan 01, 2020 227   Wyoming W 65-54 89%     9 - 5 2 - 1 +4.2 -6.2 +10.6
  Jan 04, 2020 80   @ Nevada L 66-83 39%     9 - 6 2 - 2 -7.4 -0.5 -7.9
  Jan 08, 2020 97   UNLV W 73-66 67%     10 - 6 3 - 2 +9.2 +1.0 +8.2
  Jan 11, 2020 7   @ San Diego St. L 65-83 13%     10 - 7 3 - 3 +0.9 +2.9 -2.4
  Jan 15, 2020 191   @ Air Force L 78-85 70%     10 - 8 3 - 4 -5.6 +0.0 -5.4
  Jan 18, 2020 42   Utah St. W 88-83 OT 48%     11 - 8 4 - 4 +12.3 +6.5 +5.1
  Jan 25, 2020 152   @ Fresno St. W 87-53 61%     12 - 8 5 - 4 +38.0 +18.5 +20.9
  Jan 29, 2020 299   San Jose St. W 99-71 94%     13 - 8 6 - 4 +17.2 +13.8 +1.4
  Feb 01, 2020 80   Nevada W 73-64 62%     14 - 8 7 - 4 +12.6 -1.4 +13.8
  Feb 04, 2020 227   @ Wyoming W 67-62 77%     15 - 8 8 - 4 +4.2 -2.9 +7.1
  Feb 08, 2020 42   @ Utah St. L 61-70 26%     15 - 9 8 - 5 +4.3 -3.2 +7.2
  Feb 11, 2020 191   Air Force W 74-57 86%     16 - 9 9 - 5 +12.4 -4.0 +16.6
  Feb 16, 2020 7   San Diego St. L 55-72 28%     16 - 10 9 - 6 -4.2 -2.2 -5.0
  Feb 19, 2020 299   @ San Jose St. W 80-62 86%     17 - 10 10 - 6 +13.2 +3.0 +9.8
  Feb 23, 2020 139   New Mexico W 74-61 77%     18 - 10 11 - 6 +11.9 +0.9 +11.2
  Feb 26, 2020 97   @ UNLV L 66-76 44%     18 - 11 11 - 7 -1.8 -3.9 +2.2
  Mar 05, 2020 97   @ UNLV W 67-61 44%     19 - 11 +14.2 -2.2 +16.4
  Mar 06, 2020 7   San Diego St. L 68-81 20%     19 - 12 +2.9 +12.4 -11.4
Projected Record 19 - 12 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.1%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.9 0.0 0.1 99.9 0.1%