Central Florida
American Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#117
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#127
Pace67.7#219
Improvement+1.1#130

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#157
First Shot+0.3#171
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#127
Layup/Dunks+0.9#143
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#130
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#217
Freethrows-0.3#195
Improvement+1.2#124

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#88
First Shot+3.6#73
After Offensive Rebounds-0.8#252
Layups/Dunks+1.1#124
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#155
Freethrows+1.9#51
Improvement-0.2#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 4
Quad 20 - 61 - 10
Quad 38 - 49 - 14
Quad 46 - 115 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2019 226   Prairie View W 73-69 84%     1 - 0 -2.8 -3.1 +0.2
  Nov 12, 2019 92   Miami (FL) L 70-79 55%     1 - 1 -6.6 -1.5 -5.2
  Nov 17, 2019 217   @ Illinois St. W 67-65 64%     2 - 1 +2.1 -3.7 +5.9
  Nov 23, 2019 163   College of Charleston L 70-73 73%     2 - 2 -5.6 -2.8 -3.0
  Nov 28, 2019 136   Penn L 67-68 57%     2 - 3 +1.1 -6.7 +7.9
  Nov 29, 2019 135   Pepperdine W 78-65 56%     3 - 3 +15.2 +5.3 +10.1
  Dec 01, 2019 163   College of Charleston W 77-56 63%     4 - 3 +21.4 +14.4 +10.2
  Dec 07, 2019 288   NJIT W 78-65 90%     5 - 3 +2.7 -4.4 +6.1
  Dec 10, 2019 218   Green Bay W 79-66 82%     6 - 3 +7.0 -5.1 +11.3
  Dec 15, 2019 206   Sacred Heart W 76-65 81%     7 - 3 +5.7 -1.4 +7.0
  Dec 18, 2019 290   Bethune-Cookman W 70-65 90%     8 - 3 -5.4 -8.2 +2.6
  Dec 21, 2019 37   @ Oklahoma L 52-53 17%     8 - 4 +13.1 -8.9 +21.9
  Dec 31, 2019 107   Temple L 58-62 59%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -2.6 -9.6 +6.9
  Jan 03, 2020 19   @ Houston L 63-78 12%     8 - 6 0 - 2 +1.7 -5.4 +8.2
  Jan 08, 2020 86   @ SMU L 74-81 30%     8 - 7 0 - 3 +2.2 +6.6 -4.9
  Jan 11, 2020 44   Cincinnati L 54-68 37%     8 - 8 0 - 4 -6.9 -8.4 -0.1
  Jan 14, 2020 179   @ Tulane W 74-55 55%     9 - 8 1 - 4 +21.4 +4.8 +17.2
  Jan 18, 2020 115   South Florida W 55-54 61%     10 - 8 2 - 4 +1.9 -7.2 +9.3
  Jan 25, 2020 39   @ Wichita St. L 79-87 18%     10 - 9 2 - 5 +5.6 +5.9 +0.7
  Jan 29, 2020 57   Memphis L 57-59 43%     10 - 10 2 - 6 +3.6 -5.9 +9.4
  Feb 01, 2020 115   @ South Florida L 48-64 38%     10 - 11 2 - 7 -9.1 -12.6 +1.6
  Feb 06, 2020 202   @ East Carolina W 68-64 61%     11 - 11 3 - 7 +4.9 +1.3 +4.0
  Feb 09, 2020 75   Tulsa W 83-75 50%     12 - 11 4 - 7 +11.9 +17.9 -5.8
  Feb 13, 2020 39   Wichita St. L 58-75 36%     12 - 12 4 - 8 -9.4 -8.4 -0.9
  Feb 19, 2020 44   @ Cincinnati W 89-87 2OT 19%     13 - 12 5 - 8 +15.1 +6.8 +7.9
  Feb 22, 2020 179   Tulane L 74-75 76%     13 - 13 5 - 9 -4.6 -2.7 -1.9
  Feb 26, 2020 55   @ Connecticut L 65-81 22%     13 - 14 5 - 10 -4.1 -4.5 +1.1
  Feb 29, 2020 75   @ Tulsa L 54-65 28%     13 - 15 5 - 11 -1.1 -2.8 +0.1
  Mar 04, 2020 86   SMU W 61-58 53%     14 - 15 6 - 11 +6.1 -3.1 +9.7
  Mar 08, 2020 202   East Carolina W 94-62 80%     15 - 15 7 - 11 +26.9 +16.9 +9.2
Projected Record 15 - 15 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 100.0 100.0 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 100.0% 100.0
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%