Florida Atlantic
Conference USA
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.8#183
Expected Predictive Rating-1.0#188
Pace69.4#163
Improvement+2.5#83

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#223
First Shot-2.2#250
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#131
Layup/Dunks-3.3#304
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#95
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#115
Freethrows-1.7#290
Improvement+2.5#73

Defense
Total Defense+0.9#145
First Shot+1.2#124
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#214
Layups/Dunks+2.9#61
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.6#342
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#112
Freethrows+0.6#138
Improvement+0.1#167
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% n/a n/a
Conference Champion 0.0% n/a n/a
Last Place in Conference 0.0% n/a n/a
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 20 - 40 - 5
Quad 34 - 74 - 12
Quad 410 - 314 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 92   @ Miami (FL) L 60-74 19%     0 - 1 -5.5 -8.2 +2.4
  Nov 11, 2019 54   @ Alabama L 59-78 12%     0 - 2 -7.1 -13.9 +8.1
  Nov 20, 2019 298   @ Florida Gulf Coast L 70-72 OT 65%     0 - 3 -6.8 -8.8 +2.2
  Nov 29, 2019 343   Holy Cross W 87-69 93%     1 - 3 +0.3 +5.5 -4.7
  Dec 01, 2019 193   Illinois-Chicago W 71-70 65%     2 - 3 -3.7 -3.8 +0.1
  Dec 02, 2019 126   St. Bonaventure L 64-71 48%     2 - 4 -7.2 -8.7 +1.4
  Dec 04, 2019 260   Canisius W 62-59 78%     3 - 4 -5.8 -14.2 +8.4
  Dec 14, 2019 338   High Point W 81-64 91%     4 - 4 +1.6 +6.3 -3.2
  Dec 22, 2019 187   @ Mercer W 65-50 40%     5 - 4 +16.8 -1.6 +19.5
  Dec 29, 2019 115   @ South Florida L 58-60 23%     5 - 5 +4.9 +1.0 +3.6
  Jan 02, 2020 207   Texas San Antonio W 79-64 67%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +9.6 -3.9 +12.5
  Jan 04, 2020 188   UTEP W 59-56 63%     7 - 5 2 - 0 -1.3 -10.6 +9.5
  Jan 09, 2020 203   @ Rice W 81-76 44%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +5.9 -1.3 +6.8
  Jan 11, 2020 85   @ North Texas L 58-81 17%     8 - 6 3 - 1 -13.8 -9.4 -5.8
  Jan 16, 2020 281   Middle Tennessee W 97-94 OT 80%     9 - 6 4 - 1 -6.8 +6.7 -13.8
  Jan 18, 2020 176   UAB L 65-68 61%     9 - 7 4 - 2 -6.5 -10.7 +4.2
  Jan 23, 2020 171   @ Charlotte L 68-70 36%     9 - 8 4 - 3 +0.9 +1.2 -0.3
  Jan 25, 2020 168   @ Old Dominion L 55-65 35%     9 - 9 4 - 4 -6.8 -7.3 -0.5
  Jan 30, 2020 111   Western Kentucky W 69-65 43%     10 - 9 5 - 4 +5.0 -1.1 +6.3
  Feb 01, 2020 142   Marshall W 91-73 52%     11 - 9 6 - 4 +16.6 +2.8 +10.6
  Feb 05, 2020 150   @ Florida International L 50-69 31%     11 - 10 6 - 5 -14.8 -19.5 +4.0
  Feb 08, 2020 150   Florida International L 59-66 54%     11 - 11 6 - 6 -8.9 -15.2 +6.3
  Feb 13, 2020 267   @ Southern Miss L 66-68 58%     11 - 12 6 - 7 -5.0 -4.7 -0.4
  Feb 15, 2020 88   @ Louisiana Tech L 68-81 18%     11 - 13 6 - 8 -4.0 -2.4 -1.3
  Feb 22, 2020 176   UAB W 65-58 61%     12 - 13 7 - 8 +3.5 -7.4 +11.0
  Feb 27, 2020 207   Texas San Antonio W 80-71 67%     13 - 13 8 - 8 +3.6 -1.1 +4.3
  Mar 01, 2020 168   @ Old Dominion L 80-85 OT 35%     13 - 14 8 - 9 -1.8 +7.9 -9.5
  Mar 04, 2020 142   @ Marshall L 82-94 30%     13 - 15 8 - 10 -7.4 +3.9 -10.0
  Mar 11, 2020 168   Old Dominion W 66-56 46%     14 - 15 +10.2 +2.3 +8.8
Projected Record 14 - 15 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 0.0%
7-7
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6 100.0% 100.0
7-7
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%