Illinois St.
Missouri Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-2.9#217
Expected Predictive Rating-3.7#227
Pace68.9#176
Improvement-1.5#240

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#252
First Shot-1.7#233
After Offensive Rebound-1.2#271
Layup/Dunks-5.0#338
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#113
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#50
Freethrows-1.6#282
Improvement-3.9#328

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#174
First Shot-0.4#185
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#139
Layups/Dunks-0.1#179
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#128
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#231
Freethrows+0.0#182
Improvement+2.4#64
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 61 - 7
Quad 34 - 125 - 19
Quad 44 - 29 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 06, 2019 108   Belmont W 79-72 34%     1 - 0 +8.4 +7.8 +0.7
  Nov 10, 2019 134   Arkansas Little Rock W 75-70 41%     2 - 0 +4.3 +1.8 +2.7
  Nov 17, 2019 117   Central Florida L 65-67 36%     2 - 1 -1.2 -6.0 +4.7
  Nov 22, 2019 44   Cincinnati L 65-66 12%     2 - 2 +9.1 -0.1 +9.2
  Nov 23, 2019 111   Western Kentucky L 69-83 25%     2 - 3 -10.0 +4.1 -15.7
  Nov 25, 2019 250   Grand Canyon L 63-68 59%     2 - 4 -10.3 -13.5 +3.0
  Dec 03, 2019 76   @ TCU L 69-81 12%     2 - 5 -2.1 +0.0 -1.8
  Dec 07, 2019 316   Morehead St. W 61-50 81%     3 - 5 -1.2 -15.1 +14.3
  Dec 15, 2019 145   @ Northern Kentucky L 64-79 24%     3 - 6 -10.6 -3.0 -8.2
  Dec 18, 2019 193   Illinois-Chicago W 67-66 57%     4 - 6 -3.7 -5.6 +1.9
  Dec 21, 2019 207   @ Texas San Antonio L 70-89 37%     4 - 7 -18.4 -12.8 -3.4
  Dec 31, 2019 59   Northern Iowa W 76-70 22%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +11.3 +6.7 +4.8
  Jan 04, 2020 173   @ Southern Illinois L 55-67 29%     5 - 8 1 - 1 -9.3 -14.8 +5.8
  Jan 07, 2020 119   Missouri St. L 63-67 37%     5 - 9 1 - 2 -3.6 -6.3 +2.5
  Jan 11, 2020 128   @ Indiana St. L 52-65 21%     5 - 10 1 - 3 -7.2 -17.9 +10.5
  Jan 16, 2020 166   @ Drake L 74-84 27%     5 - 11 1 - 4 -6.6 +6.3 -13.3
  Jan 19, 2020 106   Loyola Chicago L 50-62 34%     5 - 12 1 - 5 -10.5 -17.2 +5.8
  Jan 22, 2020 109   @ Bradley L 63-75 17%     5 - 13 1 - 6 -4.7 -1.6 -4.1
  Jan 25, 2020 173   Southern Illinois L 55-58 52%     5 - 14 1 - 7 -6.3 -12.4 +5.8
  Jan 29, 2020 279   Evansville W 77-66 74%     6 - 14 2 - 7 +1.4 +3.9 -1.9
  Feb 01, 2020 146   @ Valparaiso L 70-80 24%     6 - 15 2 - 8 -5.6 -2.7 -2.6
  Feb 05, 2020 119   @ Missouri St. L 60-80 19%     6 - 16 2 - 9 -13.6 -9.4 -4.3
  Feb 08, 2020 128   Indiana St. W 74-67 40%     7 - 16 3 - 9 +6.7 -2.6 +9.1
  Feb 12, 2020 59   @ Northern Iowa L 63-71 10%     7 - 17 3 - 10 +3.4 +2.4 -0.1
  Feb 15, 2020 146   Valparaiso L 62-65 45%     7 - 18 3 - 11 -4.6 -9.0 +4.3
  Feb 19, 2020 106   @ Loyola Chicago L 69-84 16%     7 - 19 3 - 12 -7.5 +8.5 -17.6
  Feb 22, 2020 166   Drake W 57-53 49%     8 - 19 4 - 12 +1.4 -14.3 +15.9
  Feb 26, 2020 109   Bradley L 71-74 OT 34%     8 - 20 4 - 13 -1.7 -8.8 +7.4
  Feb 29, 2020 279   @ Evansville W 71-60 53%     9 - 20 5 - 13 +7.4 -4.5 +11.7
  Mar 05, 2020 166   Drake L 65-75 37%     9 - 21 -9.6 -7.3 -2.3
Projected Record 9 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 100.0% 100.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%