Northern Kentucky
Horizon
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.4#145
Expected Predictive Rating+2.5#131
Pace64.3#297
Improvement-0.1#182

Offense
Total Offense-0.5#194
First Shot-0.6#201
After Offensive Rebound+0.1#170
Layup/Dunks-1.2#222
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#190
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#138
Freethrows+0.4#146
Improvement-0.9#227

Defense
Total Defense+1.9#116
First Shot+3.1#78
After Offensive Rebounds-1.2#282
Layups/Dunks+0.5#150
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#318
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.0#46
Freethrows+1.9#55
Improvement+0.7#132
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 15.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four7.2% n/a n/a
First Round97.4% n/a n/a
Second Round6.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 31 - 4
Quad 36 - 17 - 5
Quad 414 - 421 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 87   @ Missouri L 56-71 23%     0 - 1 -5.9 -7.6 +0.8
  Nov 12, 2019 189   @ Coastal Carolina W 69-68 49%     1 - 1 +2.7 -1.7 +4.5
  Nov 17, 2019 331   Coppin St. W 82-70 92%     2 - 1 -2.7 +0.3 -3.7
  Nov 20, 2019 120   @ Ball St. W 59-57 31%     3 - 1 +8.4 -7.2 +15.6
  Nov 23, 2019 291   Texas Southern L 96-98 2OT 86%     3 - 2 -12.5 -10.7 -1.2
  Nov 30, 2019 48   @ Arkansas L 60-66 15%     3 - 3 +6.6 -4.6 +11.0
  Dec 03, 2019 213   @ Miami (OH) W 76-54 54%     4 - 3 +22.3 +2.5 +19.9
  Dec 08, 2019 273   Eastern Kentucky W 76-57 84%     5 - 3 +9.7 +0.9 +9.1
  Dec 15, 2019 217   Illinois St. W 79-64 76%     6 - 3 +9.1 +7.7 +1.9
  Dec 21, 2019 96   @ UNC Greensboro L 50-67 25%     6 - 4 -8.7 -11.4 +0.9
  Dec 28, 2019 272   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 74-64 84%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +0.7 +2.5 -1.2
  Dec 30, 2019 218   Green Bay L 59-73 76%     7 - 5 1 - 1 -20.0 -16.0 -5.1
  Jan 03, 2020 304   @ Detroit Mercy L 58-66 73%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -13.0 -20.8 +7.9
  Jan 05, 2020 235   @ Oakland W 75-64 60%     8 - 6 2 - 2 +9.8 +10.0 +1.0
  Jan 10, 2020 193   @ Illinois-Chicago W 68-52 50%     9 - 6 3 - 2 +17.4 +6.0 +13.0
  Jan 12, 2020 329   @ IUPUI W 96-71 82%     10 - 6 4 - 2 +16.6 +14.6 +1.7
  Jan 16, 2020 225   Youngstown St. W 88-63 78%     11 - 6 5 - 2 +18.2 +14.0 +5.6
  Jan 18, 2020 310   Cleveland St. W 75-49 88%     12 - 6 6 - 2 +14.5 +8.0 +9.8
  Jan 24, 2020 127   @ Wright St. L 63-95 33%     12 - 7 6 - 3 -26.2 -5.5 -21.4
  Jan 31, 2020 218   @ Green Bay W 71-62 55%     13 - 7 7 - 3 +9.0 -7.8 +16.6
  Feb 02, 2020 272   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 65-56 67%     14 - 7 8 - 3 +5.8 -6.7 +12.6
  Feb 06, 2020 235   Oakland W 73-70 79%     15 - 7 9 - 3 -4.2 +8.7 -12.5
  Feb 08, 2020 304   Detroit Mercy W 84-65 88%     16 - 7 10 - 3 +7.9 +2.2 +5.5
  Feb 14, 2020 329   IUPUI W 84-70 92%     17 - 7 11 - 3 -0.4 +0.2 -0.7
  Feb 16, 2020 193   Illinois-Chicago L 43-73 72%     17 - 8 11 - 4 -34.7 -28.5 -6.6
  Feb 20, 2020 310   @ Cleveland St. W 73-59 74%     18 - 8 12 - 4 +8.6 +8.5 +1.8
  Feb 22, 2020 225   @ Youngstown St. W 61-59 58%     19 - 8 13 - 4 +1.3 -9.5 +10.9
  Feb 28, 2020 127   Wright St. L 62-64 56%     19 - 9 13 - 5 -2.2 -8.2 +5.8
  Mar 09, 2020 218   Green Bay W 80-69 67%     20 - 9 +8.0 -1.1 +8.7
  Mar 10, 2020 193   Illinois-Chicago W 71-62 62%     21 - 9 +7.4 +0.8 +6.6
Projected Record 21 - 9 13 - 5




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 15.4 0.1 4.2 52.4 43.3
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 15.4 0.1 4.2 52.4 43.3