Southern Illinois
Missouri Valley
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21
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Overall
Predictive Rating-0.3#173
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#172
Pace61.0#338
Improvement+0.9#143

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#253
First Shot-0.6#202
After Offensive Rebound-2.3#332
Layup/Dunks+3.0#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#350
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#118
Freethrows+0.2#165
Improvement-1.2#242

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#93
First Shot+2.0#103
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#131
Layups/Dunks-2.2#271
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#92
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#144
Freethrows+2.2#40
Improvement+2.1#81
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 21 - 61 - 8
Quad 36 - 67 - 14
Quad 48 - 215 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2019 207   Texas San Antonio W 72-60 58%     1 - 0 +9.6 -3.3 +13.1
  Nov 09, 2019 184   Delaware L 54-56 52%     1 - 1 -2.8 -14.5 +11.4
  Nov 10, 2019 235   Oakland L 52-61 65%     1 - 2 -13.2 -15.1 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2019 78   San Francisco L 60-76 35%     1 - 3 -12.3 -6.3 -7.4
  Nov 19, 2019 130   @ Murray St. L 66-79 29%     1 - 4 -7.5 +0.0 -8.1
  Nov 26, 2019 278   NC Central W 64-48 81%     2 - 4 +6.5 +0.3 +9.1
  Dec 01, 2019 69   @ Saint Louis L 60-69 15%     2 - 5 +1.7 -1.3 +2.3
  Dec 04, 2019 259   Norfolk St. W 76-59 79%     3 - 5 +8.2 +9.8 +0.2
  Dec 07, 2019 267   @ Southern Miss L 69-72 60%     3 - 6 -6.0 +2.7 -8.9
  Dec 15, 2019 87   @ Missouri L 48-64 19%     3 - 7 -6.9 -9.9 +0.0
  Dec 18, 2019 301   Hampton W 75-53 84%     4 - 7 +11.1 -2.1 +15.2
  Dec 21, 2019 340   Southeast Missouri St. W 64-45 91%     5 - 7 +3.5 -6.9 +13.5
  Dec 30, 2019 128   @ Indiana St. L 56-68 28%     5 - 8 0 - 1 -6.2 -10.2 +3.1
  Jan 04, 2020 217   Illinois St. W 67-55 71%     6 - 8 1 - 1 +6.1 -8.7 +14.5
  Jan 07, 2020 146   Valparaiso W 63-50 55%     7 - 8 2 - 1 +11.4 -6.4 +18.8
  Jan 11, 2020 109   @ Bradley L 48-67 23%     7 - 9 2 - 2 -11.7 -17.1 +3.4
  Jan 16, 2020 106   @ Loyola Chicago L 48-64 23%     7 - 10 2 - 3 -8.5 -10.7 -0.7
  Jan 19, 2020 166   Drake W 66-49 59%     8 - 10 3 - 3 +14.4 -2.4 +18.2
  Jan 22, 2020 59   Northern Iowa W 68-66 29%     9 - 10 4 - 3 +7.3 -0.2 +7.7
  Jan 25, 2020 217   @ Illinois St. W 58-55 48%     10 - 10 5 - 3 +3.1 -8.8 +12.1
  Jan 29, 2020 106   Loyola Chicago W 68-63 43%     11 - 10 6 - 3 +6.5 +3.0 +3.9
  Feb 01, 2020 166   @ Drake W 79-72 36%     12 - 10 7 - 3 +10.4 +17.8 -6.5
  Feb 05, 2020 279   @ Evansville W 64-60 OT 62%     13 - 10 8 - 3 +0.4 -10.5 +10.9
  Feb 08, 2020 119   Missouri St. W 68-66 47%     14 - 10 9 - 3 +2.4 +2.4 +0.2
  Feb 12, 2020 146   @ Valparaiso L 38-55 32%     14 - 11 9 - 4 -12.6 -28.8 +14.2
  Feb 15, 2020 109   Bradley L 67-69 44%     14 - 12 9 - 5 -0.7 -2.4 +1.5
  Feb 20, 2020 279   Evansville W 70-53 81%     15 - 12 10 - 5 +7.4 +5.0 +5.3
  Feb 23, 2020 59   @ Northern Iowa L 52-64 14%     15 - 13 10 - 6 -0.6 -11.1 +9.0
  Feb 26, 2020 128   Indiana St. L 68-77 50%     15 - 14 10 - 7 -9.3 -0.9 -8.9
  Feb 29, 2020 119   @ Missouri St. L 59-84 26%     15 - 15 10 - 8 -18.6 -15.3 -1.3
  Mar 06, 2020 109   Bradley L 59-64 33%     15 - 16 -0.7 -7.5 +6.3
Projected Record 15 - 16 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 100.0
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%