Colonial Athletic
2018-19 - 2019-20 - 2020-21


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
112 Hofstra 100.0%   13   25 - 8 14 - 4 25 - 8 14 - 4 +4.0      +4.2 67 -0.2 183 68.3 199 +4.3 110 +4.5 1
147 Northeastern 0.0%   17 - 16 9 - 9 17 - 16 9 - 9 +1.4      +1.7 132 -0.3 192 64.6 291 -1.8 200 -2.7 6
163 College of Charleston 0.0%   17 - 13 11 - 7 17 - 13 11 - 7 +0.4      +2.0 122 -1.6 221 64.3 295 +1.3 149 +0.2 5
165 Towson 0.0%   17 - 13 12 - 6 17 - 13 12 - 6 +0.4      +2.2 111 -1.8 230 62.8 320 +0.5 164 +1.7 3
184 Delaware 0.0%   21 - 11 11 - 7 21 - 11 11 - 7 -0.8      +2.2 114 -3.0 272 68.8 179 +1.7 145 +0.4 4
194 William & Mary 0.0%   20 - 11 13 - 5 20 - 11 13 - 5 -1.7      +0.5 170 -2.2 248 67.9 208 +2.0 137 +3.6 2
243 Drexel 0.0%   13 - 19 6 - 12 13 - 19 6 - 12 -4.7      -1.6 221 -3.1 274 67.8 215 -4.2 235 -6.4 8
270 Elon 0.0%   10 - 21 7 - 11 10 - 21 7 - 11 -6.1      -0.6 200 -5.5 318 64.9 281 -6.4 271 -4.6 7
303 UNC Wilmington 0.0%   7 - 22 5 - 13 7 - 22 5 - 13 -8.0      -6.8 334 -1.2 216 69.2 168 -8.1 296 -7.5 9
305 James Madison 0.0%   8 - 21 2 - 16 8 - 21 2 - 16 -8.1      -2.4 240 -5.7 320 77.8 29 -8.3 301 -14.0 10





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th
Hofstra 1.0 100.0
Northeastern 6.0 100.0
College of Charleston 4.0 100.0
Towson 3.0 100.0
Delaware 4.0 100.0
William & Mary 2.0 100.0
Drexel 8.0 100.0
Elon 7.0 100.0
UNC Wilmington 9.0 100.0
James Madison 10.0 100.0




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0
Hofstra 14 - 4 100.0
Northeastern 9 - 9 100.0
College of Charleston 11 - 7 100.0
Towson 12 - 6 100.0
Delaware 11 - 7 100.0
William & Mary 13 - 5 100.0
Drexel 6 - 12 100.0
Elon 7 - 11 100.0
UNC Wilmington 5 - 13 100.0
James Madison 2 - 16 100.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Hofstra 100.0% 100.0
Northeastern
College of Charleston
Towson
Delaware
William & Mary
Drexel
Elon
UNC Wilmington
James Madison


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Hofstra 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 13   6.2 48.7 42.1 3.1
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 100.0 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Hofstra 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 14.5% 2.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Northeastern 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
College of Charleston 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Towson 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Delaware 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
William & Mary 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Drexel 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elon 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
UNC Wilmington 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
James Madison 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 100.0% 1.0 100.0
2nd Round 14.5% 0.1 85.5 14.5
Sweet Sixteen 2.9% 0.0 97.1 2.9
Elite Eight 0.4% 0.0 99.6 0.4
Final Four 0.1% 0.0 99.9 0.1
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0