America East
2019-20 - 2020-21 - 2021-22


Rank Team Tourney Chance Exp Seed Record Conf Record Projected Record Projected Conf Record Predictive Rating Offense Defense Pace EPR Conference EPR
108 Vermont 52.8%   16   7 - 3 6 - 2 13 - 5 12 - 4 +4.5      +1.6 133 +2.9 101 65.2 285 -3.4 207 -1.7 2
171 Maryland Baltimore Co. 16.8%   10 - 3 6 - 2 16 - 7 11 - 5 -0.9      -3.1 255 +2.2 118 69.1 204 +2.7 130 +1.3 1
214 Albany 8.3%   3 - 5 1 - 3 10 - 10 8 - 8 -3.5      -2.7 243 -0.8 187 69.3 199 -6.0 251 -5.5 7
220 Hartford 6.8%   9 - 6 6 - 4 13 - 10 9 - 7 -4.0      -4.2 277 +0.2 161 67.2 246 -1.7 185 -2.8 4
225 New Hampshire 6.7%   5 - 5 5 - 3 9 - 9 9 - 7 -4.2      -2.5 238 -1.7 220 68.0 228 -5.1 236 -2.6 3
242 Umass Lowell 4.2%   6 - 8 4 - 4 10 - 12 8 - 8 -5.2      -2.1 224 -3.1 262 72.6 108 -4.7 226 -4.7 5
248 Stony Brook 4.0%   5 - 6 4 - 2 10 - 13 8 - 8 -5.6      -4.5 283 -1.1 201 70.6 164 -6.3 257 -5.0 6
320 Maine 0.5%   2 - 7 1 - 5 6 - 13 5 - 11 -11.1      -10.3 341 -0.8 188 63.8 308 -7.9 278 -10.6 8
337 Binghamton 0.1%   1 - 12 1 - 9 3 - 18 2 - 14 -13.6      -3.6 267 -10.0 343 65.8 273 -18.5 338 -15.8 9





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference Finish

Team Avg
Place		 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th
Vermont 1.4 72.8 17.8 5.7 2.5 0.8 0.4 0.1
Maryland Baltimore Co. 2.2 33.6 36.8 16.1 7.9 3.8 1.5 0.3 0.1
Albany 4.5 3.8 15.5 17.6 14.9 14.3 13.4 15.3 4.7 0.5
Hartford 4.2 3.1 11.3 19.2 24.0 21.2 14.5 6.7 0.1
New Hampshire 3.7 5.9 20.2 24.8 20.1 14.2 10.0 4.7 0.2
Umass Lowell 5.0 0.9 8.0 11.7 15.2 19.9 23.3 17.7 3.5
Stony Brook 4.8 3.1 10.5 12.8 16.2 15.9 18.6 17.9 5.1 0.1
Maine 7.7 0.2 0.5 1.4 2.8 6.0 16.1 60.7 12.4
Binghamton 8.7 0.0 0.1 1.5 22.0 76.4




Projected Conference Wins

Team Avg Record 0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0
Vermont 12 - 4 0.1 0.8 2.6 8.0 18.1 29.0 27.8 13.7
Maryland Baltimore Co. 11 - 5 0.2 0.6 5.4 12.8 21.4 25.6 20.9 10.4 2.7
Albany 8 - 8 0.2 0.8 2.1 4.4 9.1 15.2 18.4 19.0 15.5 10.1 4.2 0.9
Hartford 9 - 7 4.0 14.6 27.2 28.1 17.6 7.2 1.2
New Hampshire 9 - 7 0.5 2.7 9.7 18.8 24.7 24.6 14.2 4.1 0.7
Umass Lowell 8 - 8 0.6 4.1 13.3 23.0 25.9 19.3 10.0 3.4 0.5
Stony Brook 8 - 8 1.4 5.6 13.8 19.1 21.0 18.4 12.8 5.8 1.8 0.4 0.0
Maine 5 - 11 1.4 8.0 17.6 23.7 22.6 15.6 6.8 3.3 0.9 0.2
Binghamton 2 - 14 24.5 35.3 25.6 10.7 3.3 0.6 0.0




Projected Conference Champion

Team Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
Vermont 72.8% 56.9 12.8 2.6 0.5 0.1 0.0
Maryland Baltimore Co. 33.6% 18.7 12.0 2.5 0.5 0.0 0.0
Albany 3.8% 0.9 1.9 0.9 0.1 0.0
Hartford 3.1% 0.9 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0
New Hampshire 5.9% 1.9 2.5 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0
Umass Lowell 0.9% 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Stony Brook 3.1% 1.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0
Maine
Binghamton


NCAA Tournament Selection

TeamTourney BidAutoAt-LargeExp Seed 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
Vermont 52.8% 52.8% 0.0% 16   0.2 1.7 9.0 17.7 17.2 7.1 47.2 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 16.8% 16.8% 0.0% 0.0 0.8 3.6 7.2 5.2 83.2 0.0%
Albany 8.3% 8.3% 0.0% 0.1 0.5 2.2 5.5 91.7 0.0%
Hartford 6.8% 6.8% 0.0% 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.3 93.2 0.0%
New Hampshire 6.7% 6.7% 0.0% 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.9 4.2 93.3 0.0%
Umass Lowell 4.2% 4.2% 0.0% 0.1 0.4 3.7 95.9 0.0%
Stony Brook 4.0% 4.0% 0.0% 0.0 0.3 3.6 96.0 0.0%
Maine 0.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5 99.6 0.0%
Binghamton 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1 99.9 0.0%



NCAA Tournament Simulation

TeamTourney
Bid		First
Four		First
Round		Second
Round		Sweet
Sixteen		Elite
Eight		Final
Four		Final
Game		Champion
Vermont 52.8% 2.2% 52.3% 6.7% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maryland Baltimore Co. 16.8% 1.8% 15.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Albany 8.3% 3.4% 6.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hartford 6.8% 2.3% 5.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
New Hampshire 6.7% 2.1% 5.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Umass Lowell 4.2% 2.9% 2.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Stony Brook 4.0% 2.9% 2.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Maine 0.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Binghamton 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%



Number of Teams
One or MoreAvg # 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Tourney Bid 100.0% 1.0 100.0
1st Round 91.5% 0.9 8.5 91.5
2nd Round 7.5% 0.1 92.5 7.5
Sweet Sixteen 1.6% 0.0 98.4 1.6
Elite Eight 0.3% 0.0 99.7 0.3
Final Four 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Final Game 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0
Champion 0.0% 0.0 100.0