Rank | Team | Tourney Chance | Exp Seed | Record | Conf Record | Projected Record | Projected Conf Record | Predictive Rating | Offense | Defense | Pace | EPR | Conference EPR | ||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
9 | Virginia | 98.8% | 3 | 10 - 2 | 6 - 0 | 18 - 5 | 14 - 3 | +16.9 | +9.1 | 13 | +7.8 | 12 | 53.4 | 348 | +16.7 | 11 | +23.6 | 1 | |||||
11 | Florida St. | 97.9% | 3 | 9 - 2 | 5 - 1 | 17 - 5 | 13 - 4 | +16.2 | +10.6 | 6 | +5.7 | 41 | 72.1 | 116 | +16.1 | 16 | +18.5 | 2 | |||||
30 | North Carolina | 72.3% | 9 | 10 - 5 | 5 - 3 | 16 - 10 | 11 - 8 | +12.4 | +5.4 | 58 | +7.0 | 24 | 74.3 | 65 | +13.5 | 36 | +12.1 | 7 | |||||
37 | Syracuse | 54.6% | 11 | 9 - 4 | 3 - 3 | 15 - 9 | 9 - 8 | +11.8 | +7.9 | 19 | +3.9 | 73 | 70.6 | 155 | +9.7 | 64 | +8.6 | 10 | |||||
38 | Louisville | 80.5% | 8 | 10 - 3 | 5 - 2 | 16 - 8 | 11 - 7 | +11.8 | +6.5 | 40 | +5.3 | 51 | 65.8 | 268 | +15.0 | 23 | +14.2 | 4 | |||||
46 | Georgia Tech | 44.2% | 7 - 4 | 3 - 2 | 13 - 9 | 9 - 7 | +11.1 | +6.9 | 34 | +4.1 | 66 | 67.4 | 239 | +9.3 | 66 | +14.4 | 3 | ||||||
53 | Duke | 21.4% | 5 - 5 | 3 - 3 | 11 - 11 | 9 - 9 | +10.3 | +6.6 | 38 | +3.8 | 75 | 72.1 | 115 | +6.9 | 80 | +9.2 | 9 | ||||||
54 | Virginia Tech | 67.5% | 10 | 11 - 3 | 5 - 2 | 16 - 9 | 10 - 8 | +10.3 | +4.9 | 66 | +5.4 | 47 | 64.2 | 304 | +14.1 | 30 | +13.8 | 5 | |||||
59 | Clemson | 69.5% | 10 | 9 - 4 | 3 - 4 | 15 - 9 | 9 - 9 | +9.7 | +3.1 | 93 | +6.6 | 28 | 64.8 | 290 | +15.4 | 22 | +10.8 | 8 | |||||
60 | Pittsburgh | 47.0% | 8 - 3 | 4 - 2 | 13 - 8 | 9 - 7 | +9.7 | +3.4 | 88 | +6.2 | 33 | 72.8 | 100 | +11.4 | 52 | +13.1 | 6 | ||||||
71 | North Carolina St. | 7.3% | 6 - 5 | 2 - 4 | 11 - 11 | 7 - 10 | +7.8 | +5.6 | 54 | +2.2 | 116 | 71.7 | 125 | +5.7 | 90 | +5.4 | 11 | ||||||
83 | Notre Dame | 1.6% | 4 - 8 | 1 - 5 | 9 - 14 | 6 - 11 | +6.8 | +7.7 | 21 | -0.9 | 196 | 67.6 | 234 | +4.9 | 104 | +1.5 | 14 | ||||||
93 | Miami (FL) | 1.4% | 6 - 7 | 2 - 6 | 10 - 15 | 6 - 14 | +5.7 | +2.0 | 117 | +3.7 | 78 | 69.0 | 201 | +3.8 | 120 | +3.7 | 12 | ||||||
101 | Wake Forest | 0.6% | 3 - 6 | 1 - 6 | 7 - 13 | 5 - 13 | +5.0 | +4.1 | 78 | +0.9 | 147 | 72.3 | 108 | +2.2 | 141 | +1.7 | 13 | ||||||
107 | Boston College | 0.2% | 3 - 10 | 1 - 6 | 6 - 18 | 4 - 14 | +4.6 | +3.5 | 86 | +1.1 | 143 | 74.1 | 70 | +1.8 | 146 | -0.4 | 15 |
Team | Avg Place |
1st | 2nd | 3rd | 4th | 5th | 6th | 7th | 8th | 9th | 10th | 11th | 12th | 13th | 14th | 15th | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia | 1.8 | 58.0 | 22.6 | 9.5 | 4.7 | 2.5 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Florida St. | 2.1 | 42.1 | 31.5 | 13.2 | 6.3 | 3.3 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
North Carolina | 4.2 | 10.2 | 17.2 | 19.8 | 15.5 | 11.7 | 8.6 | 6.5 | 4.5 | 3.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||
Syracuse | 7.1 | 0.9 | 3.4 | 7.1 | 9.5 | 10.7 | 11.8 | 11.9 | 11.2 | 10.7 | 8.9 | 6.7 | 4.5 | 1.9 | 0.8 | 0.1 | |
Louisville | 4.7 | 7.1 | 12.9 | 17.3 | 15.6 | 12.8 | 10.4 | 8.4 | 6.2 | 4.4 | 2.7 | 1.4 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | ||
Georgia Tech | 6.9 | 1.3 | 4.2 | 7.7 | 10.3 | 11.8 | 11.7 | 11.2 | 11.0 | 9.5 | 8.2 | 5.9 | 3.9 | 2.2 | 0.8 | 0.2 | |
Duke | 6.6 | 2.5 | 6.1 | 10.0 | 10.7 | 10.9 | 10.8 | 10.2 | 9.3 | 8.8 | 7.5 | 5.7 | 4.1 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | |
Virginia Tech | 5.3 | 5.3 | 10.0 | 13.0 | 14.3 | 13.7 | 12.1 | 9.8 | 8.1 | 6.0 | 3.8 | 2.2 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.1 | ||
Clemson | 6.9 | 0.9 | 4.0 | 8.4 | 10.3 | 11.7 | 11.9 | 11.3 | 10.8 | 9.6 | 8.3 | 5.8 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | 0.2 | |
Pittsburgh | 7.4 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 5.8 | 8.7 | 10.4 | 11.7 | 12.0 | 12.0 | 11.8 | 9.7 | 7.6 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 0.6 | 0.1 | |
North Carolina St. | 9.9 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.3 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 5.7 | 7.1 | 8.7 | 10.4 | 12.2 | 13.3 | 13.5 | 10.4 | 6.8 | 3.4 | |
Notre Dame | 11.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 2.2 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 7.0 | 10.0 | 12.6 | 15.5 | 17.3 | 15.1 | 10.1 | |
Miami (FL) | 11.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 3.9 | 5.4 | 7.7 | 10.9 | 14.2 | 16.9 | 16.1 | 12.6 | 6.6 | |
Wake Forest | 12.6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 2.7 | 4.1 | 6.1 | 9.2 | 13.1 | 17.8 | 21.7 | 21.8 | ||
Boston College | 13.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3.7 | 6.6 | 10.7 | 17.8 | 25.3 | 31.4 |
Team | Avg Record | 0-20 | 1-19 | 2-18 | 3-17 | 4-16 | 5-15 | 6-14 | 7-13 | 8-12 | 9-11 | 10-10 | 11-9 | 12-8 | 13-7 | 14-6 | 15-5 | 16-4 | 17-3 | 18-2 | 19-1 | 20-0 | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia | 14 - 6 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.0 | 13.4 | 19.9 | 22.7 | 18.9 | 10.6 | 3.1 | ||||||||||
Florida St. | 13 - 7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.7 | 4.5 | 10.1 | 17.4 | 22.8 | 22.5 | 15.0 | 5.3 | ||||||||||
North Carolina | 11 - 9 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 2.1 | 5.7 | 11.5 | 17.8 | 20.6 | 19.3 | 13.3 | 6.5 | 2.3 | 0.3 | ||||||||||
Syracuse | 9 - 11 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 2.5 | 6.4 | 12.7 | 18.3 | 21.1 | 18.2 | 11.9 | 6.0 | 1.8 | 0.3 | ||||||||||
Louisville | 11 - 9 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 8.3 | 14.8 | 19.7 | 20.4 | 16.6 | 10.2 | 4.4 | 1.2 | 0.2 | ||||||||||
Georgia Tech | 9 - 11 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 2.5 | 6.3 | 11.7 | 16.6 | 20.2 | 18.5 | 13.2 | 7.1 | 2.6 | 0.5 | ||||||||||
Duke | 9 - 11 | 0.1 | 0.8 | 2.7 | 5.9 | 11.0 | 15.3 | 17.9 | 17.5 | 13.7 | 8.8 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 0.3 | |||||||||
Virginia Tech | 10 - 10 | 0.3 | 1.8 | 5.2 | 11.8 | 17.6 | 20.3 | 18.8 | 13.2 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 0.7 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
Clemson | 9 - 11 | 0.0 | 0.6 | 2.2 | 6.2 | 11.5 | 17.1 | 20.2 | 18.6 | 13.2 | 7.2 | 2.6 | 0.5 | ||||||||||
Pittsburgh | 9 - 11 | 0.4 | 2.3 | 7.1 | 14.4 | 19.9 | 21.4 | 17.9 | 10.4 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.1 | |||||||||||
North Carolina St. | 7 - 13 | 0.5 | 2.4 | 6.8 | 12.7 | 17.5 | 19.4 | 17.4 | 12.2 | 7.1 | 3.1 | 0.9 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
Notre Dame | 6 - 14 | 0.5 | 2.8 | 7.7 | 14.3 | 19.0 | 20.4 | 16.5 | 11.0 | 5.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
Miami (FL) | 6 - 14 | 1.1 | 5.3 | 12.7 | 18.6 | 21.4 | 18.2 | 12.4 | 6.5 | 2.8 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
Wake Forest | 5 - 15 | 1.9 | 7.2 | 14.5 | 19.5 | 20.2 | 16.9 | 10.7 | 5.8 | 2.5 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||||||||
Boston College | 4 - 16 | 2.8 | 10.7 | 19.1 | 23.4 | 20.6 | 13.2 | 6.5 | 2.7 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
Team | Total | Outright | 2-Way | 3-Way | 4-Way | 5-Way | 6-Way | 7-Way | 8-Way | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia | 58.0% | 40.6 | 13.6 | 3.2 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
Florida St. | 42.1% | 25.4 | 12.9 | 3.0 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | |||
North Carolina | 10.2% | 4.4 | 3.8 | 1.5 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
Syracuse | 0.9% | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
Louisville | 7.1% | 2.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
Georgia Tech | 1.3% | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
Duke | 2.5% | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
Virginia Tech | 5.3% | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||
Clemson | 0.9% | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||
Pittsburgh | 0.6% | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | ||||
North Carolina St. | 0.1% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Notre Dame | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||
Miami (FL) | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ||||
Wake Forest | ||||||||||
Boston College |
Team | Tourney Bid | Auto | At-Large | Exp Seed | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | No Bid | At-Large if not Auto | ||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia | 98.8% | 30.6% | 68.2% | 3 | 17.6 | 23.5 | 19.7 | 14.5 | 8.9 | 6.0 | 3.7 | 2.1 | 1.2 | 0.7 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 98.2% | ||||
Florida St. | 97.9% | 25.7% | 72.2% | 3 | 9.1 | 15.4 | 16.7 | 15.1 | 11.9 | 9.2 | 8.2 | 5.5 | 3.2 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.1 | 97.2% | ||||
North Carolina | 72.3% | 8.8% | 63.5% | 9 | 0.2 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 3.4 | 5.1 | 6.3 | 9.8 | 10.8 | 10.8 | 8.3 | 7.5 | 5.8 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 27.7 | 69.6% | |||
Syracuse | 54.6% | 5.4% | 49.2% | 11 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.1 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 6.0 | 7.6 | 7.5 | 8.0 | 7.4 | 5.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 45.4 | 52.0% | |||
Louisville | 80.5% | 7.3% | 73.2% | 8 | 0.4 | 1.4 | 3.3 | 5.1 | 7.2 | 9.1 | 12.1 | 11.6 | 10.8 | 7.6 | 6.7 | 4.4 | 0.7 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 19.5 | 79.0% | |||
Georgia Tech | 44.2% | 5.2% | 39.0% | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 3.1 | 4.7 | 6.6 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 6.1 | 5.0 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 55.8 | 41.1% | ||||
Duke | 21.4% | 4.2% | 17.2% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.7 | 2.5 | 2.9 | 3.2 | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 78.6 | 18.0% | |||
Virginia Tech | 67.5% | 4.6% | 62.9% | 10 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 2.3 | 3.7 | 5.8 | 8.0 | 10.1 | 11.2 | 9.9 | 8.6 | 5.2 | 0.8 | 0.1 | 32.5 | 65.9% | ||||
Clemson | 69.5% | 3.0% | 66.6% | 10 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.9 | 1.7 | 3.1 | 5.0 | 8.4 | 11.1 | 13.0 | 10.5 | 8.2 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 0.1 | 30.5 | 68.6% | ||||
Pittsburgh | 47.0% | 2.9% | 44.1% | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.6 | 2.5 | 4.7 | 6.9 | 8.1 | 7.4 | 7.4 | 5.6 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 53.0 | 45.4% | ||||
North Carolina St. | 7.3% | 1.2% | 6.2% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.8 | 1.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 92.7 | 6.2% | ||||
Notre Dame | 1.6% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 98.4 | 1.0% | ||||||
Miami (FL) | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 98.6 | 1.0% | ||||||||
Wake Forest | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.4 | 0.4% | |||||||
Boston College | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 | 99.8 | 0.0% |
Team | Tourney Bid | First Four | First Round | Second Round | Sweet Sixteen | Elite Eight | Final Four | Final Game | Champion |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Virginia | 98.8% | 0.4% | 98.6% | 85.2% | 55.4% | 30.4% | 15.0% | 7.0% | 2.9% |
Florida St. | 97.9% | 0.7% | 97.7% | 78.7% | 47.3% | 24.4% | 11.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% |
North Carolina | 72.3% | 7.9% | 68.7% | 39.1% | 14.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Syracuse | 54.6% | 7.4% | 51.1% | 27.5% | 9.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Louisville | 80.5% | 6.0% | 77.4% | 42.6% | 15.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
Georgia Tech | 44.2% | 7.1% | 40.9% | 21.2% | 7.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Duke | 21.4% | 5.2% | 19.1% | 9.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Virginia Tech | 67.5% | 7.3% | 63.5% | 30.0% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
Clemson | 69.5% | 8.1% | 65.0% | 29.1% | 8.0% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Pittsburgh | 47.0% | 7.7% | 42.9% | 19.4% | 5.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
North Carolina St. | 7.3% | 2.2% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Notre Dame | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Miami (FL) | 1.4% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Wake Forest | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Boston College | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Number of Teams | |||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
One or More | Avg # | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | |
Tourney Bid | 100.0% | 6.6 | 0.1 | 1.5 | 11.1 | 31.2 | 36.2 | 16.8 | 2.9 | 0.1 | |||||||
1st Round | 100.0% | 6.3 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 3.0 | 16.8 | 36.6 | 31.2 | 10.9 | 1.3 | 0.1 | ||||||
2nd Round | 99.9% | 3.9 | 0.1 | 1.4 | 9.3 | 26.9 | 34.2 | 20.9 | 6.4 | 0.8 | 0.1 | ||||||
Sweet Sixteen | 91.7% | 1.8 | 8.3 | 32.0 | 38.3 | 17.4 | 3.6 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | |||||||
Elite Eight | 62.9% | 0.8 | 37.1 | 45.6 | 15.4 | 1.9 | 0.1 | ||||||||||
Final Four | 32.6% | 0.4 | 67.4 | 29.5 | 3.0 | 0.1 | |||||||||||
Final Game | 14.7% | 0.1 | 85.3 | 14.4 | 0.3 | ||||||||||||
Champion | 5.8% | 0.1 | 94.2 | 5.8 |